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Posted

There is the potential for a lot of movement this week. If we take care of business and get losses from Nova, W Ill, The Citadel, YSU, JMU, and Poly we could move up to about #12 in this poll at least. This week is huge for us getting a seed and it all starts with a UND win in beautiful Greeley, CO.

  • Upvote 3
Posted

Looking through the schedules of the teams ahead of us in the stats poll, these games stick out as potential losses for each team

#15 Youngstown St -- @ #4 NDSU this week

#14 Cal Poly -- vs #3 Eastern Washington this week, @ Weber St next week

#13 SDSU -- vs USD in 2 weeks, @ UNI the week following

#12 Western Illinois -- vs UNI in 2 weeks

#11 North Carolina AT&T -- vs South Carolina St this week, @ North Carolina Central in 3 weeks (I don't know much about this conference but their opponents are second & third in their conference FWIW)

#10 Villanova -- @ Maine this week, vs #7 James Madison next week

#9 Chattanooga -- @ Alabama to close out the season (does a loss to the #1 FBS team drop them any?)

#8 Charleston Southern -- @ Liberty in 2 weeks

#7 James Madison -- @ #6 Richmond this week, @ #10 Villanova next week

#6 Richmond -- vs #7 James Madison this week

#5 Citadel -- vs #20 Samford this week, @ North Carolina to end the season (another game against a top 25 FBS team to close the season)

#4 NDSU -- vs #15 Youngstown St this week, @ USD to end the season

#3 Eastern Washington -- @ #14 Cal Poly this week

#1 Sam Houston St -- vs #17 Central Arkansas to end the year

 

Keep winning and let the chips fall where they may, plenty of opportunity to move up yet

  • Upvote 2
Posted
25 minutes ago, northdakota18 said:

Looking through the schedules of the teams ahead of us in the stats poll, these games stick out as potential losses for each team

#15 Youngstown St -- @ #4 NDSU this week

#14 Cal Poly -- vs #3 Eastern Washington this week, @ Weber St next week

#13 SDSU -- vs USD in 2 weeks, @ UNI the week following

#12 Western Illinois -- vs UNI in 2 weeks

#11 North Carolina AT&T -- vs South Carolina St this week, @ North Carolina Central in 3 weeks (I don't know much about this conference but their opponents are second & third in their conference FWIW)

#10 Villanova -- @ Maine this week, vs #7 James Madison next week

#9 Chattanooga -- @ Alabama to close out the season (does a loss to the #1 FBS team drop them any?)

#8 Charleston Southern -- @ Liberty in 2 weeks

#7 James Madison -- @ #6 Richmond this week, @ #10 Villanova next week

#6 Richmond -- vs #7 James Madison this week

#5 Citadel -- vs #20 Samford this week, @ North Carolina to end the season (another game against a top 25 FBS team to close the season)

#4 NDSU -- vs #15 Youngstown St this week, @ USD to end the season

#3 Eastern Washington -- @ #14 Cal Poly this week

#1 Sam Houston St -- vs #17 Central Arkansas to end the year

 

Keep winning and let the chips fall where they may, plenty of opportunity to move up yet

I don't think it matters where NC A&T is ranked as their conference opts out of the FCS playoffs.

Posted
54 minutes ago, northdakota18 said:

Looking through the schedules of the teams ahead of us in the stats poll, these games stick out as potential losses for each team

#15 Youngstown St -- @ #4 NDSU this week

#14 Cal Poly -- vs #3 Eastern Washington this week, @ Weber St next week

#13 SDSU -- vs USD in 2 weeks, @ UNI the week following

#12 Western Illinois -- vs UNI in 2 weeks

#11 North Carolina AT&T -- vs South Carolina St this week, @ North Carolina Central in 3 weeks (I don't know much about this conference but their opponents are second & third in their conference FWIW)

#10 Villanova -- @ Maine this week, vs #7 James Madison next week

#9 Chattanooga -- @ Alabama to close out the season (does a loss to the #1 FBS team drop them any?)

#8 Charleston Southern -- @ Liberty in 2 weeks

#7 James Madison -- @ #6 Richmond this week, @ #10 Villanova next week

#6 Richmond -- vs #7 James Madison this week

#5 Citadel -- vs #20 Samford this week, @ North Carolina to end the season (another game against a top 25 FBS team to close the season)

#4 NDSU -- vs #15 Youngstown St this week, @ USD to end the season

#3 Eastern Washington -- @ #14 Cal Poly this week

#1 Sam Houston St -- vs #17 Central Arkansas to end the year

 

Keep winning and let the chips fall where they may, plenty of opportunity to move up yet

Chattanooga is off the week and then plays Wolford(they only lost by 3 to Citadel.

Posted

Funny how a team that is undefeated in conference play and has played many of the top tier teams is getting so little love (our schedule is tougher than Montana's). As last year shows we definitely can't trust that the Big Sky rep will go to bat for us when they are in the NCAA seeding meeting- we are a newcomer, an interloper, not from west of the Missouri, someone that was supposed to be an easy win and not rock tradition. 

Posted
14 hours ago, petey23 said:

I don't think it matters where NC A&T is ranked as their conference opts out of the FCS playoffs.

Why do they opt out of the playoffs? What is the end game for them? I assume they can't be invited to a bowl, can they? Just not sure why a team wouldn't want to play in the playoffs.

Posted
13 minutes ago, CMSioux said:

Funny how a team that is undefeated in conference play and has played many of the top tier teams is getting so little love (our schedule is tougher than Montana's). As last year shows we definitely can't trust that the Big Sky rep will go to bat for us when they are in the NCAA seeding meeting- we are a newcomer, an interloper, not from west of the Missouri, someone that was supposed to be an easy win and not rock tradition. 

Zero trust in the Big Sky representative. 

  • Upvote 1
Posted

Sagarin Ratings - 11-6-16

  1. NDSU
  2. EWU
  3. UNI
  4. James Madison
  5. Jacksonville St
  6. SDSU
  7. Youngstown St
  8. Chattanooga
  9. Central Arkansas
  10. Montana
  11. Sam Houston
  12. Richmond
  13. Citadel
  14. Samford
  15. Villanova
  16. Illinois St
  17. Coastal Carolina
  18. Western Illinois
  19. Lehigh
  20. Northern Arizona
  21. Wofford
  22. Cal Poly
  23. North Dakota
  24. Charleston Southern
  25. Princeton
  26. Liberty
  27. New Hampshire
  28. South Dakota
  29. North Caronlina A&T
  30. Southern Illinois
  31. Grambling
  32. Southern Utah
  33. Tennessee Martin
  34. Colgate
  35. Harvard
  36. Albany
  37. Indiana St
  38. San Diego
  39. Kennesaw St
  40. Furman
  41. St Francis
  42. Stony Brook
  43. Penn
  44. Weber St.
Posted
5 minutes ago, bincitysioux said:

Sagarin Ratings - 11-6-16

  1. NDSU
  2. EWU
  3. UNI
  4. James Madison
  5. Jacksonville St
  6. SDSU
  7. Youngstown St
  8. Chattanooga
  9. Central Arkansas
  10. Montana
  11. Sam Houston
  12. Richmond
  13. Citadel
  14. Samford
  15. Villanova
  16. Illinois St
  17. Coastal Carolina
  18. Western Illinois
  19. Lehigh
  20. Northern Arizona
  21. Wofford
  22. Cal Poly
  23. North Dakota
  24. Charleston Southern
  25. Princeton
  26. Liberty
  27. New Hampshire
  28. South Dakota
  29. North Caronlina A&T
  30. Southern Illinois
  31. Grambling
  32. Southern Utah
  33. Tennessee Martin
  34. Colgate
  35. Harvard
  36. Albany
  37. Indiana St
  38. San Diego
  39. Kennesaw St
  40. Furman
  41. St Francis
  42. Stony Brook
  43. Penn
  44. Weber St.

What a joke

  • Upvote 2
Posted
4 hours ago, bincitysioux said:

Sagarin Ratings - 11-6-16

  1. NDSU
  2. EWU
  3. UNI
  4. James Madison
  5. Jacksonville St
  6. SDSU
  7. Youngstown St
  8. Chattanooga
  9. Central Arkansas
  10. Montana
  11. Sam Houston
  12. Richmond
  13. Citadel
  14. Samford
  15. Villanova
  16. Illinois St
  17. Coastal Carolina
  18. Western Illinois
  19. Lehigh
  20. Northern Arizona
  21. Wofford
  22. Cal Poly
  23. North Dakota
  24. Charleston Southern
  25. Princeton
  26. Liberty
  27. New Hampshire
  28. South Dakota
  29. North Caronlina A&T
  30. Southern Illinois
  31. Grambling
  32. Southern Utah
  33. Tennessee Martin
  34. Colgate
  35. Harvard
  36. Albany
  37. Indiana St
  38. San Diego
  39. Kennesaw St
  40. Furman
  41. St Francis
  42. Stony Brook
  43. Penn
  44. Weber St.

A big reason EWU is so high is because they played both NDSU and UNI.  I can't figure out how Montana is ranked considering the record and the only quality win doesn't seem so quality at this point. 

Posted

It would seem that the top 6 seeds are pretty much locked up except for the final order.

The final 2 spots seem to be attainable for Central Arkansas and Chattanooga should they win out or at least beat their FCS opponents as Chattanooga finishes with Alabama.

UND, SDSU, Richmond, Villanova, and possibly NC A&T(would need to lose their season finale to not make their bowl game but then would be eligible for playoffs) would be in line for a seed if they slip up down the stretch.

Games beneficial for UND, assuming we handle our business of Saturday

SDSU plays the Yotes this week and then finishes at UNI.....a loss to either would help

Villanova probably has to defeat JMU this weekend and if they do they would probably have a pretty good claim.

Richmond is not going to lose the rest of the season and will finish 9-2....getting crushed by Stony Brook could work to our advantage.

NC A&T is in a catch 22 situation.

Central Arkansas plays Nichols and SHSU, we need them to lose both or at least lose badly to SHSU

Chattanooga has a tough game with Wofford which we need them to lose and Alabama game should take care of itself.

If UND wins we should be no worse than 9th or 10th in the conversation but we need to be prepared for how rinky dink regionalization of the playoffs can be as we will end up with the equivalency of a 15-18 seed.

Posted

We are starting to see things firm up between four of the polls: We are no lower than 9th, no higher than 12th. I like seeing everything become more consistent (STATS Media had been the outlier).

Athlon: 9th

STATS Media: 12th

Coaches: 11th (last week), I'd expect 10th this week

AGS: 11th

 

 

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