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Pairwise 2018-19

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2 hours ago, SiouxFan100 said:

I am interested in your thoughts about the Pairwise ranking system. No rankings are fail proof but the Pairwise seems to be pretty fair and accepted by college hockey fans and teams.

We seem to be about where we deserve to be in the rankings. Seems like your performance gets you up and down based on how you did.

 I would question how losing to a low ranked team seems to make it real hard to overcome. That said, you should be able to get in the top 12-13 every year.

I actually really like it.  RPI is huge and should be the number one determinant, but I love that you can crush it with common opponents and head to head results.  It is a solid system.  Only negative is that winning percentage is still king in RPI, so your strength of schedule is somewhat discounted. All in all, it is fair.

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On 3/3/2019 at 8:21 AM, fsioux said:

Odds of this happening are pretty much nonexistent.  Miami is not going to sweep WMU and more than likely we split with Omaha.

Disagree.  I think we will dig down and find a sweep at home on senior weekend.  WMU/Miami played two one goal games in January and those were at WMU.  Crazier things have happened.  While probably unlikely, I would say "virtually non-existent" is a big exaggeration.  

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Quote

#20 North Dakota — Could be #16 (4 spots higher and much closer to the bubble) if Nebraska-Omaha had won either game in its October 19-20 home series hosting Notre Dame

Crazy

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Yeah, the thing about UND's position in PWR is that they lose all but 1 of the 12 comparisons above them on the sole basis of RPI, with only ~.02 separating them from #8 (UND RPI details). So, their position is very volatile with different game outcomes. It's still possible to climb toward the bubble (e.g. #15-16) with a pair of wins this weekend, but it will also take some luck on other outcomes.

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22 minutes ago, jimdahl said:

Yeah, the thing about UND's position in PWR is that they lose all but 1 of the 12 comparisons above them on the sole basis of RPI, with only ~.02 separating them from #8 (UND RPI details). So, their position is very volatile with different game outcomes. It's still possible to climb toward the bubble (e.g. #15-16) with a pair of wins this weekend, but it will also take some luck on other outcomes.

Could you tell us which games are most important so we know who to root for?(besides UND of course)

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2 hours ago, InHeavenThereIsNoBeer said:

Could you tell us which games are most important so we know who to root for?(besides UND of course)

The easiest way is usually rooting for any team we've played against all year with the exception of the ones we are fighting for a bubble spot with.

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Man, Western dropped like a stone in water the past few weeks! Weren’t they something like 8th in the PWR a few weeks ago going into the CC series? 

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1 hour ago, Godsmack said:

Man, Western dropped like a stone in water the past few weeks! Weren’t they something like 8th in the PWR a few weeks ago going into the CC series? 

MN was 8th last year and dropped like a stone. Duluth edged them out after the league tourneys.

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1 hour ago, BarnWinterSportsEngelstad said:

MN was 8th last year and dropped like a stone. Duluth edged them out after the league tourneys.

I appreciate you trying to cheer everyone up. :D

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Hey, maybe I missed an earlier comment or 2, but has anyone noticed that our RPI would much better if we had swept Cansius? I mean, we'd basically be in at this point. :-D

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Generic comment here that I wish they'd use KRACH and not RPI in the calculations of PWR. 

Quote

... the RPI can overestimate the strength of a team's schedule if their opponents also played predominantly weak schedules. A rating system which seems, both in theory and in practice, to be immune to this defect, while only considering the factors used in producing the RPI (won-lost-tied records between pairs of teams, without regard to factors such as score or home-ice advantage) is the Bradley-Terry or KRACH rating system. 

http://www.elynah.com/tbrw/2000/rankings.shtml 

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10 hours ago, Rebel_Sioux said:

Hey, maybe I missed an earlier comment or 2, but has anyone noticed that our RPI would much better if we had swept Cansius? I mean, we'd basically be in at this point. :-D

It would of been much better if we swept the four Froz4's I went to, did nothing for the Hardware Cabinet.
Positive note, we have a chance against good teams! We also have a Hardware Cabinet.


UNH
How bout University of New Hampshire
or as some say - University of No Hardware

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On ‎2‎/‎24‎/‎2019 at 3:15 PM, SIOUXELEVENS said:

This team winning 6-7 games in a row is a big stretch. Reality set in after Xmas, this team is not going any where but golfing.

More like laughable even to consider it.

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15 hours ago, Godsmack said:

Man, Western dropped like a stone in water the past few weeks! Weren’t they something like 8th in the PWR a few weeks ago going into the CC series? 

Western Michigan PWR trend - Were 9th going into CC, but you can't lose 3 of 4 when you're 9th and expect to stay there.

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15 hours ago, Big A HG said:

The easiest way is usually rooting for any team we've played against all year with the exception of the ones we are fighting for a bubble spot with.

Exactly right. Most important of those two is the teams we're fighting for bubble spots. UND really needs some of #9-#19 to get out of its way (in that group, only Western can't be flipped on RPI), so cheer against them. UND PWR details

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39 minutes ago, Siouxperfan7 said:

Need to win at least 5 games in the next 3 weeks to have a legitimate shot.  

We're only guaranteed 4 more games over 2 weeks.

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3 hours ago, The Sicatoka said:

We're only guaranteed 4 more games over 2 weeks.

Just win. 

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6 minutes ago, Goon said:

Just win. 

Quit thinking games ... win ... 

the next period.
the next shift.
the next draw.
the next free puck. 

Do the little things and the big take care of themselves. 

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1 hour ago, The Sicatoka said:

Quit thinking games ... win ... 

the next period.
the next shift.
the next draw.
the next free puck. 

Do the little things and the big take care of themselves. 

That’s not bad advice. 

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