Telly33 Posted March 4, 2019 Posted March 4, 2019 On 3/3/2019 at 8:21 AM, fsioux said: Odds of this happening are pretty much nonexistent. Miami is not going to sweep WMU and more than likely we split with Omaha. Disagree. I think we will dig down and find a sweep at home on senior weekend. WMU/Miami played two one goal games in January and those were at WMU. Crazier things have happened. While probably unlikely, I would say "virtually non-existent" is a big exaggeration. 2 Quote
Popular Post Oxbow6 Posted March 4, 2019 Popular Post Posted March 4, 2019 5 minutes ago, Telly33 said: Disagree. I think we will dig down and find a sweep at home on senior weekend. WMU/Miami played two one goal games in January and those were at WMU. Crazier things have happened. While probably unlikely, I would say "virtually non-existent" is a big exaggeration. I don't know if you have noticed but lots of us here specialize in that! 5 Quote
UNDBIZ Posted March 5, 2019 Posted March 5, 2019 Quote #20 North Dakota — Could be #16 (4 spots higher and much closer to the bubble) if Nebraska-Omaha had won either game in its October 19-20 home series hosting Notre Dame Crazy 1 Quote
The Sicatoka Posted March 5, 2019 Posted March 5, 2019 All of this shows Herm is and will always be right. Quote
jimdahl Posted March 5, 2019 Posted March 5, 2019 Yeah, the thing about UND's position in PWR is that they lose all but 1 of the 12 comparisons above them on the sole basis of RPI, with only ~.02 separating them from #8 (UND RPI details). So, their position is very volatile with different game outcomes. It's still possible to climb toward the bubble (e.g. #15-16) with a pair of wins this weekend, but it will also take some luck on other outcomes. Quote
InHeavenThereIsNoBeer Posted March 5, 2019 Posted March 5, 2019 22 minutes ago, jimdahl said: Yeah, the thing about UND's position in PWR is that they lose all but 1 of the 12 comparisons above them on the sole basis of RPI, with only ~.02 separating them from #8 (UND RPI details). So, their position is very volatile with different game outcomes. It's still possible to climb toward the bubble (e.g. #15-16) with a pair of wins this weekend, but it will also take some luck on other outcomes. Could you tell us which games are most important so we know who to root for?(besides UND of course) Quote
Big A HG Posted March 6, 2019 Posted March 6, 2019 2 hours ago, InHeavenThereIsNoBeer said: Could you tell us which games are most important so we know who to root for?(besides UND of course) The easiest way is usually rooting for any team we've played against all year with the exception of the ones we are fighting for a bubble spot with. Quote
Godsmack Posted March 6, 2019 Posted March 6, 2019 Man, Western dropped like a stone in water the past few weeks! Weren’t they something like 8th in the PWR a few weeks ago going into the CC series? Quote
BarnWinterSportsEngelstad Posted March 6, 2019 Posted March 6, 2019 1 hour ago, Godsmack said: Man, Western dropped like a stone in water the past few weeks! Weren’t they something like 8th in the PWR a few weeks ago going into the CC series? MN was 8th last year and dropped like a stone. Duluth edged them out after the league tourneys. Quote
90siouxfan Posted March 6, 2019 Posted March 6, 2019 1 hour ago, BarnWinterSportsEngelstad said: MN was 8th last year and dropped like a stone. Duluth edged them out after the league tourneys. I appreciate you trying to cheer everyone up. 2 Quote
BarnWinterSportsEngelstad Posted March 6, 2019 Posted March 6, 2019 28 minutes ago, 90siouxfan said: I appreciate you trying to cheer everyone up. There most definitely still is a two way chance! Quote
yzerman19 Posted March 6, 2019 Posted March 6, 2019 Remember, your RPI moves even after you are done playing games... 1 Quote
Rebel_Sioux Posted March 6, 2019 Posted March 6, 2019 Hey, maybe I missed an earlier comment or 2, but has anyone noticed that our RPI would much better if we had swept Cansius? I mean, we'd basically be in at this point. :-D 1 Quote
The Sicatoka Posted March 6, 2019 Posted March 6, 2019 Generic comment here that I wish they'd use KRACH and not RPI in the calculations of PWR. Quote ... the RPI can overestimate the strength of a team's schedule if their opponents also played predominantly weak schedules. A rating system which seems, both in theory and in practice, to be immune to this defect, while only considering the factors used in producing the RPI (won-lost-tied records between pairs of teams, without regard to factors such as score or home-ice advantage) is the Bradley-Terry or KRACH rating system. http://www.elynah.com/tbrw/2000/rankings.shtml 1 Quote
BarnWinterSportsEngelstad Posted March 6, 2019 Posted March 6, 2019 10 hours ago, Rebel_Sioux said: Hey, maybe I missed an earlier comment or 2, but has anyone noticed that our RPI would much better if we had swept Cansius? I mean, we'd basically be in at this point. :-D It would of been much better if we swept the four Froz4's I went to, did nothing for the Hardware Cabinet. Positive note, we have a chance against good teams! We also have a Hardware Cabinet. UNH How bout University of New Hampshire or as some say - University of No Hardware Quote
scpa0305 Posted March 6, 2019 Posted March 6, 2019 On 2/24/2019 at 3:15 PM, SIOUXELEVENS said: This team winning 6-7 games in a row is a big stretch. Reality set in after Xmas, this team is not going any where but golfing. More like laughable even to consider it. Quote
jimdahl Posted March 6, 2019 Posted March 6, 2019 15 hours ago, Godsmack said: Man, Western dropped like a stone in water the past few weeks! Weren’t they something like 8th in the PWR a few weeks ago going into the CC series? Western Michigan PWR trend - Were 9th going into CC, but you can't lose 3 of 4 when you're 9th and expect to stay there. Quote
jimdahl Posted March 6, 2019 Posted March 6, 2019 15 hours ago, Big A HG said: The easiest way is usually rooting for any team we've played against all year with the exception of the ones we are fighting for a bubble spot with. Exactly right. Most important of those two is the teams we're fighting for bubble spots. UND really needs some of #9-#19 to get out of its way (in that group, only Western can't be flipped on RPI), so cheer against them. UND PWR details Quote
Siouxperfan7 Posted March 6, 2019 Posted March 6, 2019 Need to win at least 5 games in the next 3 weeks to have a legitimate shot. Quote
The Sicatoka Posted March 6, 2019 Posted March 6, 2019 39 minutes ago, Siouxperfan7 said: Need to win at least 5 games in the next 3 weeks to have a legitimate shot. We're only guaranteed 4 more games over 2 weeks. Quote
Goon Posted March 6, 2019 Posted March 6, 2019 3 hours ago, The Sicatoka said: We're only guaranteed 4 more games over 2 weeks. Just win. Quote
The Sicatoka Posted March 6, 2019 Posted March 6, 2019 5 minutes ago, Goon said: Just win. Yes, Mr. Davis. Whatever you say, Mr. Davis. Quote
The Sicatoka Posted March 6, 2019 Posted March 6, 2019 6 minutes ago, Goon said: Just win. Quit thinking games ... win ... the next period. the next shift. the next draw. the next free puck. Do the little things and the big take care of themselves. 4 Quote
Goon Posted March 6, 2019 Posted March 6, 2019 1 hour ago, The Sicatoka said: Quit thinking games ... win ... the next period. the next shift. the next draw. the next free puck. Do the little things and the big take care of themselves. That’s not bad advice. Quote
UNDBIZ Posted March 10, 2019 Posted March 10, 2019 Unfortunately Notre Dame, Bowling Green, and Union all swept this weekend too. We're at 18 heading into the nchc tourney. 1 1 Quote
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