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2020 Dumpster Fire (Enter at your own risk)


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50 minutes ago, geaux_sioux said:

Top level info here. Guest is a world renown expert on infectious disease.

 

To recap.......

10-15x worse than our flu season

96M cases

48M hospitalizations

480K deaths

......all within the next 3-7 months.

 

 

 

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15 minutes ago, Cratter said:

There was a global pandemic in 2005.

Bird flu pandemic 'could kill 150m'

Fast forward 15 years...

Less than 500 people have died worldwide.

Oops. Guess there were a little off on those projections.

You missed the big "if" in that article, which was if the bird flu virus mutates and becomes readily transmissible between people.

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1 hour ago, Oxbow6 said:

To recap.......

10-15x worse than our flu season

96M cases

48M hospitalizations

480K deaths

......all within the next 3-7 months.

 

 

 

 

10 minutes ago, UNDfaninMICH said:

You missed the big "if" in that article, which was if the bird flu virus mutates and becomes readily transmissible between people.

Are there ifs in the numbers above?

Or is it a big certainty???

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39 minutes ago, streetsahead said:

No fans at Minnesota-Penn State semifinal

 

Did they move it to Mariucci?  :)   But seriously, that definitely plays into UM's hands some since they're used to playing in an empty arena, and if nothing else eliminates some of the home ice advantage of having a good crowd that would be at Pegula.

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24 minutes ago, UNDfaninMICH said:

You missed the big "if" in that article, which was if the bird flu virus mutates and becomes readily transmissible between people.

Quote

could mutate into a form transmittable between people.

It later did mutate into a form transmittable between people.

Quote

"A flu outbreak is imminent but no one knows if it will be next week or in three years' time," a WHO spokeswoman said. "It is really difficult to know how many people will be infected but we know we have to get prepared."

She said the "best case scenario" would be 7.4 million deaths globally.

They later learned it wasn't as easily transmittable between people are they originally thought.

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Dr. Brian Monahan, attending physician of the US Congress, told staffers to expect 70-160 million infections among the US population.  1 in 3.

He also said "80 percent of infected people will recover."   Didn't say what about the remaining 20%.

https://www.axios.com/congressional-physician-predicts-75-150-million-us-coronavirus-cases-fec69e77-1515-4fbc-8340-c53b65c22c53.html

 

 

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Just now, farce poobah said:

Dr. Brian Monahan, attending physician of the US Congress, told staffers to expect 70-160 million infections among the US population.  1 in 3.

He also said "80 percent of infected people will recover."   Didn't say what about the remaining 20%.

https://www.axios.com/congressional-physician-predicts-75-150-million-us-coronavirus-cases-fec69e77-1515-4fbc-8340-c53b65c22c53.html

 

 

My guess is he knows the age ranges of U.S. citizens and 80% fall in the range that can fight it off.

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14 minutes ago, farce poobah said:

Dr. Brian Monahan, attending physician of the US Congress, told staffers to expect 70-160 million infections among the US population.  1 in 3.

He also said "80 percent of infected people will recover."   Didn't say what about the remaining 20%.

https://www.axios.com/congressional-physician-predicts-75-150-million-us-coronavirus-cases-fec69e77-1515-4fbc-8340-c53b65c22c53.html

 

 

1 in 3 Americans will get the Coronavirus. 

And some are saying that's a low number.

Could be 60%.

Some crazy stuff!

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Some math: (updated)

Quote

including statistical modeling from Harvard epidemiologist Marc Lipsitch, have said that somewhere between 20% and 60% of adults worldwide might catch the virus.

Middle range 40%.

40% of USA adult (over 18) populations is 83,000,000

That's how many in the USA adults are likely to get coronavirus.

Quote

Dr. Brian Monahan, the attending physician of the U.S. Congress, told staffers that about 80% of people who contract coronavirus will ultimately be fine, one of the sources said.

20% of 83,000,000 is 16,000,000

The experts right now best guess scenario is 16,000,000 Americans adults wont "ultimately be fine" from Coronavirus.

 

Quote

1% of 83,000,000 is 830,000.

Best guess numbers right now say 830,000 American Adults will die from the coronavirus.

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