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2020 Dumpster Fire (Enter at your own risk)


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43 minutes ago, UND1983 said:

Maybe the vulnerable need to be quarantined while the rest of the country moves on until a vaccine is found, etc?

This was suggested a while ago, but it was laughed at as being unrealistic to quarantine 1/3 of the USA population until an unknown date.  

2 hours ago, Oxbow6 said:

I'll ask this to all three of you. Softball question........give me just 5, although there are more, just 5 causes of death in NYC that resulted in more than 304 deaths in the age group 45 and under in the past 3 months?

Seems like there are a number in this thread that see this crisis as a one trick pony and are comfortable with the current lockdown measures until fall or even through the year. PM MafiaMan and ask him how this has worked out for him and his family. 

Softball answer is that using data from January and February deflates your numbers significantly considering there was only single digit cases. Based on the past month of full data, Covid is the #1 killer of residents in NYC by about 25%.

Total Deaths under 65 occur at a rate of 190 per 100,000 in 2016.
Deaths from COVID under 65 occur at a rate of 72 per 100,000 in 2020.

#2 is Malignant Neoplasms at 57.5
#3 is heart disease at 40.0
Page 17 is the reference.
https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/doh/downloads/pdf/vs/2016sum.pdf
https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page#download

This does not include hospitalization rates, which are another monster for covid.

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13 hours ago, Kab said:

Look at the raw milk being dumped

why not use this, make cheese and use it next year at schools,

fruit and vegetables being left in the fields because of low demand

? Can’t be frozen for schools.

 

Would be a great idea.  But the time, money and risk involved to figure out the logistics of how to reroute these perishables, and the unknown timeline of how long the shut down will last is unfortunately resulting in a lot of wasted raw food products.  

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20 minutes ago, dynato said:

This was suggested a while ago, but it was laughed at as being unrealistic to quarantine 1/3 of the USA population until an unknown date.  

Softball answer is that using data from January and February deflates your numbers significantly considering there was only single digit cases. Based on the past month of full data, Covid is the #1 killer of residents in NYC by about 25%.

Total Deaths under 65 occur at a rate of 190 per 100,000 in 2016.
Deaths from COVID under 65 occur at a rate of 72 per 100,000 in 2020.

#2 is Malignant Neoplasms at 57.5
#3 is heart disease at 40.0
Page 17 is the reference.
https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/doh/downloads/pdf/vs/2016sum.pdf
https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page#download

This does not include hospitalization rates, which are another monster for covid.

Different data point from Worldometer shows this morning’s NY deaths per 1M due to covid at 552/1M across all ages.  

 

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1 minute ago, yzerman19 said:

Different data point from Worldometer shows this morning’s NY deaths per 1M due to covid at 552/1M across all ages.  

 

This is New York City specific data, not New York state as a whole. I could not find information on prior mortality rates after 2016, or broken down for specifically the 45 and under age bracket. However, it still allowed for the closest 1 to 1 comparison on mortality rates for the entire age grouping of 65 and under. 

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35 minutes ago, Siouxperfan7 said:

Would also be nice if they reported the people who died from COVID-19 with underlying health conditions and how many didn't.  Would really put it in perspective.

According to the CDC, 90% of adults hospitalized for COVID had an underlying health condition. This is data for the entirety of march. I couldn't find info on deaths broken down into healthy vs underlying health conditions.
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6915e3.htm
https://www.usatoday.com/in-depth/news/2020/04/15/coronavirus-risk-90-patients-had-underlying-conditions/2962721001/

As for perspective, about half of all american adults have at least one underlying health condition. 

https://nationalhealthcouncil.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/AboutChronicDisease.pdf
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5876976/

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4 hours ago, Vegas_Sioux said:

Just because the NHL knows it’s a excellent viable option doesn’t mean the ivy towered ones in Indianapolis can see that. 

I suppose they would have demanded some snazzy new banners be covered up...

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12 hours ago, Oxbow6 said:

Right.........because 0.0055% of all NYC residents 45 years old and younger have died from COVID so far. Least that's a higher percentage than have died from murder in NYC in that age range so far this year.

Are you actually statistically illiterate?

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11 hours ago, southpaw said:

I was curious why all of sudden you're only concerned about cases for people under 45. A couple of weeks ago, you were touting numbers for people under 65.

 

Numbers arent going to be valid. Cuomo admitted that of the 11k deaths in NY they can only say 6k are for sure covid.

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