Pairwise & Bracketology 2020

[Fader]

Decided to give this a try.  Here's my guess for this week:

Northeast-Albany (ECAC host):

   3) Cornell  vs 13) Maine,   7) U Mass vs 10) ASU

East-Worcester (Holy Cross host):

   4) Duluth vs 13) Quinnipiac,   6) Boston College vs 9) Clarkson

Midwest- Allentown (PSU host):

   1) North Dakota vs 16) AIC,  8) PSU vs 10) UM Lowell

West-Loveland (Denver host):

  2) Mankato vs 15) Ohio St,  5) Denver vs 12) Northeastern.

 

Made swaps to avoid first-round conference match ups.  (think I avoided them anyway).

[Big Green]

1 hour ago, Fader said:

Decided to give this a try.  Here's my guess for this week:

Northeast-Albany (ECAC host):

   3) Cornell  vs 13) Maine,   7) U Mass vs 10) ASU

East-Worcester (Holy Cross host):

   4) Duluth vs 13) Quinnipiac,   6) Boston College vs 9) Clarkson

Midwest- Allentown (PSU host):

   1) North Dakota vs 16) AIC,  8) PSU vs 10) UM Lowell

West-Loveland (Denver host):

  2) Mankato vs 15) Ohio St,  5) Denver vs 12) Northeastern.

 

Made swaps to avoid first-round conference match ups.  (think I avoided them anyway).

If they send Mankato to Loveland in the same region as the best 2 seed and host Denver than heads better roll.

 

[iluvdebbies]

I agree....Duluth would go to Loveland.

[petey23]

Midwest Regional-Allentown, PA
UND vs. Sacred heart
Penn State vs. Massachusetts-Lowell

Northeast Regional-Worcester, MA
Minnesota St.(Mankato) vs. Quinnipiac
Massachusetts vs. Clarkson

East Regional-Albany, NY
Cornell vs. Ohio State
Boston College vs. Arizona State

West Regional-Loveland, CO
Minnesota-Duluth vs. Maine
Denver vs. Northeastern

 

[Old Fella]

2 hours ago, petey23 said:

Midwest Regional-Allentown, PA
UND vs. Sacred heart
Penn State vs. Massachusetts-Lowell

Northeast Regional-Worcester, MA
Minnesota St.(Mankato) vs. Quinnipiac
Massachusetts vs. Clarkson

East Regional-Albany, NY
Cornell vs. Ohio State
Boston College vs. Arizona State

West Regional-Loveland, CO
Minnesota-Duluth vs. Maine
Denver vs. Northeastern

 

You are right on Spot.

[yzerman19]

I’m like this:

Allentown

UND vs Atlantic Winner
PSU vs Lowell

worcester:

MSU vs Maine
UMass vs ASU

Albany:

Cornell vs OSU

BC vs Clarkson

Loveland:

UMD vs Quinnipiac

DU vs NE

moves are:  Clarkson and Lowell to prevent first round intraconference. Swapping #9 and #11

Maine and OSU for Attendance in Worcester swapping #14 and #15

i like Clarkson in Albany for a potential (if unlikely) ECAC final.  
UND and PSU carry the water in Allentown.

UMD and DU in Loveland (Region of Death)

and you put Maine and UMass in New England

[Langster019]

Two NCHC's at a single site would be sad to see. I'd love nothing more than 3 of 4 FF finalists being NCHC.

Also, the "Midwest" host being in PA stinks as well. Not a huge fan of traveling so far East. Is what it is.

[cberkas]

54 minutes ago, Langster019 said:

Two NCHC's at a single site would be sad to see. I'd love nothing more than 3 of 4 FF finalists being NCHC.

Also, the "Midwest" host being in PA stinks as well. Not a huge fan of traveling so far East. Is what it is.

Need western to get to a 4 seed and Denver, Duluth, and UND get 1 seeds.

[The Sicatoka]

Not intended to disrespect anyone, but reality is in the 12 hours from the end of the last PWR/autobid implications game to the bracket announcement most predicted brackets will be wrong. 

I put these predictions in the category of "future FBS conference alignments" predictions made by some others, meaning I'll look at them but know they have a rounding error's chance of reality.  

[stoneySIOUX]

1 hour ago, The Sicatoka said:

Not intended to disrespect anyone, but reality is in the 12 hours from the end of the last PWR/autobid implications game to the bracket announcement most predicted brackets will be wrong. 

I put these predictions in the category of "future FBS conference alignments" predictions made by some others, meaning I'll look at them but know they have a rounding error's chance of reality.  

We all understand that are more games to be played. I've never understood why people get upset that these conversations happen. It's just fun to do -- simple as that.

[Clark17]

Mine was similar to Connelly's with the exception of a couple of 3 seed tourny locations (9 Clarkson and 10 ASU) .  Not sure why Moy swapped the 2 vs. 15 matchup with the 1 vs. 16 stating it retained bracket integrity?  His product was 2/8 and 1/7, puzzled me a bit?  Not sure what the writer from NCAA had going on, and I couldn't even begin to try and decipher the rationale.    

[Clark17]

8 minutes ago, stoneySIOUX said:

We all understand that more games to be played. I've never understood why people get upset that these conversations happen. It's just fun to do -- simple as that.

Exactly 

[Clark17]

On 2/10/2020 at 10:22 PM, yzerman19 said:

I’m like this:

Allentown

UND vs Atlantic Winner
PSU vs Lowell

worcester:

MSU vs Maine
UMass vs ASU

Albany:

Cornell vs OSU

BC vs Clarkson

Loveland:

UMD vs Quinnipiac

DU vs NE

moves are:  Clarkson and Lowell to prevent first round intraconference. Swapping #9 and #11

Maine and OSU for Attendance in Worcester swapping #14 and #15

i like Clarkson in Albany for a potential (if unlikely) ECAC final.  
UND and PSU carry the water in Allentown.

UMD and DU in Loveland (Region of Death)

and you put Maine and UMass in New England

Mine was similar except I swapped 3 of the 3 seeds which swapped ASU with Clarkson.  That probably wasn't necessary but thought why should BC get a 9 seed when they would have had an 11 had there not been a first round conf. match up. I had Maine ending up in Albany as I swapped them and Quin. and kept. the 2 vs.15 match-up  

[BarnWinterSportsEngelstad]

57 minutes ago, stoneySIOUX said:

We all understand that are more games to be played. I've never understood why people get upset that these conversations happen. It's just fun to do -- simple as that.

Yes, and the polls create a lot of conversation also as they change from week to week.

[farce poobah]

I’m imagining the brackets if hockey used smoke filled rooms.  
 

West: UND, DU, UMD, Minnesota State

Midwest: Penn State, Michigan State, AIC, Robert Morris. 

Northeast: BC, UMass , Providence, Harvard. 

East: Cornell, Clarkson, Quinnipiac, BU. 
 

I count my Pairwise blessings every day this time of year.  

[Frozen4sioux]

53 minutes ago, farce poobah said:

I’m imagining the brackets if hockey used smoke filled rooms.  
 

West: UND, DU, UMD, Minnesota State

Midwest: Penn State, Michigan State, AIC, Robert Morris. 

Northeast: BC, UMass , Providence, Harvard. 

East: Cornell, Clarkson, Quinnipiac, BU. 
 

I count my Pairwise blessings every day this time of year.  

You forgot to add Minnesota, Wisco, and Notre Dame because ...no matter what...  but;

This is exactly how it used to be and quite frankly a good reminder for anyone beeeyatching about the pwr system... maybe a few adjustments here and there.. (Kratch) but really. PWR is a godsend.

[The Sicatoka]

1 hour ago, farce poobah said:

I’m imagining the brackets if hockey used smoke filled rooms.  
 

West: UND, DU, UMD, Minnesota State

Midwest: Penn State, Michigan State, AIC, Robert Morris. 

Northeast: BC, UMass , Providence, Harvard. 

East: Cornell, Clarkson, Quinnipiac, BU. 
 

I count my Pairwise blessings every day this time of year.  

WRONG. 
NE Region (at Conte Forum): BC, AIC, BobbyMo, Beacon Hill Mite AAAs

[yzerman19]

3 hours ago, The Sicatoka said:

WRONG. 
NE Region (at Conte Forum): BC, AIC, BobbyMo, Beacon Hill Mite AAAs

You forgot Le Cordon Bleu

[planetearth]

23 hours ago, Langster019 said:

Two NCHC's at a single site would be sad to see. I'd love nothing more than 3 of 4 FF finalists being NCHC.

Also, the "Midwest" host being in PA stinks as well. Not a huge fan of traveling so far East. Is what it is.

Worcester, Mass to Albany NY: 2 hour drive

 Albany NY to Allentown PA: 3 hr 20 min drive

Worcester, Mass to Allentown PA: 4 hour 30 min drive.

Ridiculous.

[planetearth]

5 minutes ago, planetearth said:

Worcester, Mass to Albany NY: 2 hour drive

 Albany NY to Allentown PA: 3 hr 20 min drive

Worcester, Mass to Allentown PA: 4 hour 30 min drive.

Ridiculous.

Like having a regional in Grafton, Minot, and Wahpeton.

[Clark17]

Beavers up to 13 after last night.  Would likely be in if it ended last night as an at large.  Unless they were to hypothetically loose to say NMU in the WCHA championship.  I don’t think a loss to Mankato in that scenario would drop them below the cut-line.  
I always like seeing them make it to the tourney.  

[Wilbur]

1 hour ago, Clark17 said:

Beavers up to 13 after last night.  Would likely be in if it ended last night as an at large.  Unless they were to hypothetically loose to say NMU in the WCHA championship.  I don’t think a loss to Mankato in that scenario would drop them below the cut-line.  
I always like seeing them make it to the tourney.  

What a difficult draw they would be in the NCAA tournament.  That tight defensive trap system.....I'm rooting for them, but hopefully we dont end up playing them. 

[BarnWinterSportsEngelstad]

2 hours ago, Clark17 said:

Beavers up to 13 after last night.  Would likely be in if it ended last night as an at large.  Unless they were to hypothetically loose to say NMU in the WCHA championship.  I don’t think a loss to Mankato in that scenario would drop them below the cut-line.  
I always like seeing them make it to the tourney.  

Being we swept the Beavers, their winning on the way to the NCAA's announcement Sunday helps our PW.
Even somewhat helps to minimize our loss to Mankato, being both are in the WCHA. 

[Clark17]

3 hours ago, Wilbur said:

What a difficult draw they would be in the NCAA tournament.  That tight defensive trap system.....I'm rooting for them, but hopefully we dont end up playing them. 

Agree, they could be a first round nightmare.  If it was today it appears they would be out west against UMD.  Many games left though. 

[squirtcoach]

Looking at the 4 teams in the running for the last #1 seed and their RPI and PWR, it still looks to me that the NCHC frozen faceoff game between DU and UMD will be for “which team gets the last change in Loveland”.  And of course, for a shot at the University of North Dakota team Saturday night.

 

i am sure if I dusted off my monte carlo statistics program I could tell you the probability.