2020 Dumpster Fire (Enter at your own risk)

[Oxbow6]

Based on that model and the current death rate of 1.8% that is roughly 2700 deaths in ND over the 18 month span.

25 obits in Forum today. Say 20 deaths a day in this area and that's over 7000 in a year.......just in this area. Not the entire state. 

I think most reasonable ND residents will give this 3-4 more weeks tops of sitting at home doing nothing, not working before they say we need to get back to living.

[Nodak78]

42 minutes ago, Redneksioux said:

We have 275 or so vents.

If we flatten the curve to spread this out perfectly......

150k infected over 18 months = 8333 infected per month.

If 1 in 5 require hospitalization that means 1666 hospitalized per month

If 1 in 5 hospitalized require ICU that’s 333 ICU beds per month and we are short on vents.

Lets hope that model is high but I’ve seen many say that 60-80% could be infected over 18 months. And we haven’t proven that we can flatten the curve yet. 

One model has the total infected at 60k.   right now the models mean squat.

[Cratter]

The modeling shows no hospital or ICU bed shortage for North Dakota.

https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections

[Cratter]

ND will likely end up with 163 coronavirus deaths when it's basically over the beginning of August.

 

Total COVID-19 deaths projected to August 4, 2020 in North Dakota

163COVID-19 deaths

[Siouxphan27]

One article I read today said north Dakota has under 300 ventilators.  Another article said we have 400.

[MafiaMan]

7 minutes ago, Cratter said:

ND will likely end up with 163 coronavirus deaths when it's basically over the beginning of August.

 

Total COVID-19 deaths projected to August 4, 2020 in North Dakota

163COVID-19 deaths

SAFER AT HOME!  

[Cratter]

163 total deaths will put it about the 8th leading cause of death in the state.

[Redneksioux]

5 minutes ago, Siouxphan27 said:

One article I read today said north Dakota has under 300 ventilators.  Another article said we have 400.

We must’ve acquired some? Or they are counting non invasive vents now too?

[Cratter]

4 positive out of 617 tests today in ND.

 .6% positive rate.

[Siouxphan27]

Just now, Redneksioux said:

We must’ve acquired some? Or they are counting non invasive vents now too?

I don't know.  I read both stories at the same time this morning on inforum and kfgo.com.   Neither mentioned types of ventilator.   

[Cratter]

[Oxbow6]

So let's say 2700 are going to pass away from this virus over 18 months.......but Burgum ended up flipping the lives of around 117k students K-12 upside down for how long??? He better see the big picture pretty soon.

[Siouxphan27]

13 minutes ago, Cratter said:

163 total deaths will put it about the 8th leading cause of death in the state.

With all the solitary confinement, autoerotic asphyxiation may start to climb that list, bumping Corona to 9th.  

[BarnWinterSportsEngelstad]

3 hours ago, Goon said:

Yes, it's come to the Walleye capital of the world. 

Well with most things we usually follow Minnesota, except attendance at hockey games.
I guess, just have to watch DL youtube fishing vids this summer.

[UNDBIZ]

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/29/business/coronavirus-us-ventilator-shortage.html#click=https://t.co/CFv90IO7PI

Interesting piece from the NY Times on attempts to bulk up the nation's emergency supply of ventilators. 

[Cratter]

No one could have ever seen this coming...

On 3/23/2020 at 6:32 PM, Cratter said:

When does Walmart and Target rope off everything but groceries?

 

[Siouxphan27]

29 minutes ago, Cratter said:

No one could have ever seen this coming...

 

 Does anyone have a chart for the latest projections of lives saved from coronavirus due to not selling Legos? 

[MafiaMan]

6 minutes ago, Siouxphan27 said:

 Does anyone have a chart for the latest projections of lives saved from coronavirus due to not selling Legos? 

SAFER WITHOUT LEGOS!

[UNDBIZ]

I can't remember if this was already mentioned here, but hopefully they get these tests manufactured and distributed quickly. 

 

[jdub27]

1 hour ago, Oxbow6 said:

So let's say 2700 are going to pass away from this virus over 18 months.......but Burgum ended up flipping the lives of around 117k students K-12 upside down for how long??? He better see the big picture pretty soon.

Yeah, he's totally on an island with how extreme he's been with the decisions he's made...

[Oxbow6]

18 minutes ago, jdub27 said:

Yeah, he's totally on an island with how extreme he's been with the decisions he's made...

Kind of irrelevant now that we are locked into another 30+ days of federal "slow the spread" guidelines but I appreciate you checking in.

Pop back in here on April 30.......we can count up all the businesses and restaurants locally that go under.

 

[MafiaMan]

24 minutes ago, Oxbow6 said:

Kind of irrelevant now that we are locked into another 30+ days of federal "slow the spread" guidelines but I appreciate you checking in.

Pop back in here on April 30.......we can count up all the businesses and restaurants locally that go under.

Well, on the plus side, when you and the family are finally able to take that east coast trip you have always talked about, the Kennedy Center will be open!

[Siouxphan27]

46 minutes ago, Oxbow6 said:

Kind of irrelevant now that we are locked into another 30+ days of federal "slow the spread" guidelines but I appreciate you checking in.

Pop back in here on April 30.......we can count up all the businesses and restaurants locally that go under.

 

I heard the remaining Forever 21’s are thinking of rebranding and becoming Covid 19’s.  

[yzerman19]

3 minutes ago, Siouxphan27 said:

I heard the remaining Forever 21’s are thinking of rebranding and becoming Covid 19’s.  

I heard R Kelly is scared of it...he was cool with covid 15 or 16 though

[Cratter]

Quote

After this story was originally written and published for Sunday's print edition, state Adjutant General Alan Dohrmann on Saturday revealed new numbers for North Dakota's ventilator and hospital bed capacity. Dohrmann said there are now 408 ventilators ready to be used in the state — higher than state data indicated late last week.