siouxfan512 Posted October 31, 2016 Share Posted October 31, 2016 Let’s rewind for a minute … to Nov 14, 2015. UND hosted UNC, and put up 422 yards rushing (Santiago with 180, Norberg with 80, Brad only had 5 carries). We passed for 150 yards. Labatt had a pick six, and there were several turnovers going UNDs way in UND’s 45-14 beat down of Northern Colorado. Fast forward to today. We can expect an improved UNC team, but also have to remember we are also improved. Yes, our offense is boom or bust, but we have a much more complete defense this year, and they are looking good! UNC has played better this year, but I’m not sold on them yet. They beat, Rocky Mountain College(NAIA), Abilene Christian(1-8), N. Arizona (Most impressive win), Sac St (W 27-19) and Portland St (W 56-49). I think this is going to be the first week, in a string of weeks that will expose UNC for what they are. A team that has shown improvement, but isn’t quite there yet. They have to come to GF, host Montana and travel to Cal Poly. Big shock in the Big Sky, but UNC has been a pretty pass heavy team this season, to go with that Sloter has 7 interception on the year. I think there will be ample opportunity for UND to continue increasing their INT numbers on the season. On the defensive side of the ball, UNC looks to have some of the same struggles as last season (9th in Rush D and 12th in pass D); UND needs to capitalize on this early in the game and take UNC out early. Same as previous weeks: UND needs to establish the run early; but needs to get some passes around as well, and much earlier in the game. This should be doable against UNC. Weber had the top pass defense in the Sky …. Not that it is an excuse for lack of pass game this weekend. Winning the turnover battle is something UND has been tremendous at this year, and it will continue this weekend. Our defense needs to just keep doing what they are doing. A needed improvement from last week; sustain drives and chew up the clock –Need to win that possession time battle. And finally KICK COVERAGE! Has to improve from last week… otherwise kick it out of bounds. (Stats are skewed as UNC is toward the bottom of the Sky in both KO and Punt returns, but if we cover like last week, they have the people to take advantage of it.) UND wins in Greeley, but I’ll wait to throw my score out there until I hear the injury updates. IF Keaton can’t go I’d like to see a mix of Bartels (who had some nice passes Sat.) and Brad (Who did not have a nice pass, but a TD nevertheless), Brad could throw that run element back in at the QB position. After watching Bartels run; it is conceivable that a 40 year old Peyton Manning might out sprint him. Even if Keaton can play, I don’t think you keep him out there the whole game unless you absolutely have to. Here are some stats to mull over. Game is played on the field, not on paper, but I’d say this is UND’s game to lose. SCORING OFFENSE G TD FG XPT 2XP DXP Saf Points Avg/G 4 Northern Colorado 8 39 5 37 1 0 0 288 36 7 North Dakota 9 34 11 31 0 0 1 270 30 SCORING DEFENSE G TD FG XPT 2XP DXP Saf Points Avg/G 1 North Dakota 9 25 8 19 0 0 0 193 21.4 9 Northern Colorado 8 37 12 33 2 0 0 295 36.9 TOTAL OFFENSE G Rush Pass Plays Yards Avg/P TD Avg/G 5 Northern Colorado 8 1523 2060 535 3583 6.7 39 447.9 9 North Dakota 9 1928 1579 630 3507 5.6 30 389.7 TOTAL DEFENSE G Rush Pass Plays Yards Avg/P TD Avg/G 2 North Dakota 9 884 2182 617 3066 5 23 340.7 12 Northern Colorado 8 1671 2233 632 3904 6.2 36 488 RUSHING OFFENSE G Att Yards Avg. TD Yards/G 3 North Dakota 9 416 1928 4.6 18 214.2 4 Northern Colorado 8 300 1523 5.1 18 190.4 RUSHING DEFENSE G Att Yards Avg. TD Yards/G 1 North Dakota 9 291 884 3 6 98.2 9 Northern Colorado 8 348 1671 4.8 20 208.9 PASS OFFENSE G Comp Att Int Pct. Yards Avg. TD Avg/G 4 Northern Colorado 8 152 235 7 64.7 2060 8.8 21 257.5 12 North Dakota 9 127 214 2 59.3 1579 7.4 12 175.4 PASS DEFENSE G Comp Att Int Pct. Yards Avg. TD Avg/G 4 North Dakota 9 178 326 16 54.6 2182 6.7 17 242.4 12 Northern Colorado 8 187 284 1 65.8 2233 7.9 16 279.1 KICKOFF RETURNS G No. Yards TD Avg. 2 North Dakota 9 30 756 1 25.2 11 Northern Colorado 8 36 650 0 18.1 PUNT RETURN AVG G No. Yards TD Avg. 12 North Dakota 9 12 35 0 2.9 13 Northern Colorado 8 7 14 0 2 INTERCEPTIONS G No. Yards TD Avg. 1 North Dakota 9 16 187 3 11.7 13 Northern Colorado 8 1 0 0 0 PUNTING G No. Yards Avg/P Ret. Avg. TB Net/P 4 Northern Colorado 8 38 1524 40.1 76 2 0 38.1 6 North Dakota 9 54 2263 41.9 80 1.5 8 37.5 KICKOFF COVERAGE G No. Yards Avg. Return TB Net Avg. 3 Northern Colorado 8 49 3045 62.1 604 17 42.9 12 North Dakota 9 51 2956 58 855 14 35.7 FIELD GOALS G Made-Att Pct. 6 Northern Colorado 8 7-May 0.714 8 North Dakota 9 17-Nov 0.647 SACKS BY G No. Yards 2 North Dakota 9 22 121 11 Northern Colorado 8 12 91 SACKS AGAINST G No. Yards 10 Northern Colorado 8 18 111 11 North Dakota 9 20 127 PENALTIES G No. Yards Avg/G 7 North Dakota 9 59 512 56.9 13 Northern Colorado 8 74 683 85.4 TIME OF POSSESSION G Poss. Time Avg/G 1 North Dakota 9 305:20:00 33:55:00 12 Northern Colorado 8 219:05:00 27:23:00 Gained Lost TURNOVER MARGIN G Fumb Int Total Fumb Int Total Margin Per/G 1 North Dakota 9 7 16 23 8 2 10 13 1.44 9 Northern Colorado 8 8 1 9 4 7 11 -2 -0.25 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UNDColorado Posted October 31, 2016 Share Posted October 31, 2016 10 minutes ago, siouxfan512 said: Let’s rewind for a minute … to Nov 14, 2015. UND hosted UNC, and put up 422 yards rushing (Santiago with 180, Norberg with 80, Brad only had 5 carries). We passed for 150 yards. Labatt had a pick six, and there were several turnovers going UNDs way in UND’s 45-14 beat down of Northern Colorado. Fast forward to today. We can expect an improved UNC team, but also have to remember we are also improved. Yes, our offense is boom or bust, but we have a much more complete defense this year, and they are looking good! UNC has played better this year, but I’m not sold on them yet. They beat, Rocky Mountain College(NAIA), Abilene Christian(1-8), N. Arizona (Most impressive win), Sac St (W 27-19) and Portland St (W 56-49). I think this is going to be the first week, in a string of weeks that will expose UNC for what they are. A team that has shown improvement, but isn’t quite there yet. They have to come to GF, host Montana and travel to Cal Poly. Big shock in the Big Sky, but UNC has been a pretty pass heavy team this season, to go with that Sloter has 7 interception on the year. I think there will be ample opportunity for UND to continue increasing their INT numbers on the season. On the defensive side of the ball, UNC looks to have some of the same struggles as last season (9th in Rush D and 12th in pass D); UND needs to capitalize on this early in the game and take UNC out early. Same as previous weeks: UND needs to establish the run early; but needs to get some passes around as well, and much earlier in the game. This should be doable against UNC. Weber had the top pass defense in the Sky …. Not that it is an excuse for lack of pass game this weekend. Winning the turnover battle is something UND has been tremendous at this year, and it will continue this weekend. Our defense needs to just keep doing what they are doing. A needed improvement from last week; sustain drives and chew up the clock –Need to win that possession time battle. And finally KICK COVERAGE! Has to improve from last week… otherwise kick it out of bounds. (Stats are skewed as UNC is toward the bottom of the Sky in both KO and Punt returns, but if we cover like last week, they have the people to take advantage of it.) UND wins in Greeley, but I’ll wait to throw my score out there until I hear the injury updates. IF Keaton can’t go I’d like to see a mix of Bartels (who had some nice passes Sat.) and Brad (Who did not have a nice pass, but a TD nevertheless), Brad could throw that run element back in at the QB position. After watching Bartels run; it is conceivable that a 40 year old Peyton Manning might out sprint him. Even if Keaton can play, I don’t think you keep him out there the whole game unless you absolutely have to. Here are some stats to mull over. Game is played on the field, not on paper, but I’d say this is UND’s game to lose. SCORING OFFENSE G TD FG XPT 2XP DXP Saf Points Avg/G 4 Northern Colorado 8 39 5 37 1 0 0 288 36 7 North Dakota 9 34 11 31 0 0 1 270 30 SCORING DEFENSE G TD FG XPT 2XP DXP Saf Points Avg/G 1 North Dakota 9 25 8 19 0 0 0 193 21.4 9 Northern Colorado 8 37 12 33 2 0 0 295 36.9 TOTAL OFFENSE G Rush Pass Plays Yards Avg/P TD Avg/G 5 Northern Colorado 8 1523 2060 535 3583 6.7 39 447.9 9 North Dakota 9 1928 1579 630 3507 5.6 30 389.7 TOTAL DEFENSE G Rush Pass Plays Yards Avg/P TD Avg/G 2 North Dakota 9 884 2182 617 3066 5 23 340.7 12 Northern Colorado 8 1671 2233 632 3904 6.2 36 488 RUSHING OFFENSE G Att Yards Avg. TD Yards/G 3 North Dakota 9 416 1928 4.6 18 214.2 4 Northern Colorado 8 300 1523 5.1 18 190.4 RUSHING DEFENSE G Att Yards Avg. TD Yards/G 1 North Dakota 9 291 884 3 6 98.2 9 Northern Colorado 8 348 1671 4.8 20 208.9 PASS OFFENSE G Comp Att Int Pct. Yards Avg. TD Avg/G 4 Northern Colorado 8 152 235 7 64.7 2060 8.8 21 257.5 12 North Dakota 9 127 214 2 59.3 1579 7.4 12 175.4 PASS DEFENSE G Comp Att Int Pct. Yards Avg. TD Avg/G 4 North Dakota 9 178 326 16 54.6 2182 6.7 17 242.4 12 Northern Colorado 8 187 284 1 65.8 2233 7.9 16 279.1 KICKOFF RETURNS G No. Yards TD Avg. 2 North Dakota 9 30 756 1 25.2 11 Northern Colorado 8 36 650 0 18.1 PUNT RETURN AVG G No. Yards TD Avg. 12 North Dakota 9 12 35 0 2.9 13 Northern Colorado 8 7 14 0 2 INTERCEPTIONS G No. Yards TD Avg. 1 North Dakota 9 16 187 3 11.7 13 Northern Colorado 8 1 0 0 0 PUNTING G No. Yards Avg/P Ret. Avg. TB Net/P 4 Northern Colorado 8 38 1524 40.1 76 2 0 38.1 6 North Dakota 9 54 2263 41.9 80 1.5 8 37.5 KICKOFF COVERAGE G No. Yards Avg. Return TB Net Avg. 3 Northern Colorado 8 49 3045 62.1 604 17 42.9 12 North Dakota 9 51 2956 58 855 14 35.7 FIELD GOALS G Made-Att Pct. 6 Northern Colorado 8 7-May 0.714 8 North Dakota 9 17-Nov 0.647 SACKS BY G No. Yards 2 North Dakota 9 22 121 11 Northern Colorado 8 12 91 SACKS AGAINST G No. Yards 10 Northern Colorado 8 18 111 11 North Dakota 9 20 127 PENALTIES G No. Yards Avg/G 7 North Dakota 9 59 512 56.9 13 Northern Colorado 8 74 683 85.4 TIME OF POSSESSION G Poss. Time Avg/G 1 North Dakota 9 305:20:00 33:55:00 12 Northern Colorado 8 219:05:00 27:23:00 Gained Lost TURNOVER MARGIN G Fumb Int Total Fumb Int Total Margin Per/G 1 North Dakota 9 7 16 23 8 2 10 13 1.44 9 Northern Colorado 8 8 1 9 4 7 11 -2 -0.25 Great analysis! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UNDColorado Posted October 31, 2016 Share Posted October 31, 2016 To those coming to the game my group will be tailgating hard and looking to be set up and rolling by 9 AM MTN. Since I just got back from hunting back home in North Dakota I think it is fitting to have wild game (Pheasant, Duck, and venison burgers). I plan to make extra so please stop by. Plan is to have my large green Fighting Sioux flag flying from my blue 4runner in some fashion. I believe Southpaw will be bringing cornhole and washer sets so the gaming will be on point. I also brought back some premium grain belt since I cant get that out here. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FSSD Posted October 31, 2016 Share Posted October 31, 2016 Does UNC still have those two kick returns.... if so, Specials Teams is in for a long day. We might want to kick it OB and let them start at the 35. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdub27 Posted October 31, 2016 Share Posted October 31, 2016 Sagarin shows UND as roughly a 7 point favorite and Massey says 5. Both closer than I expected assuming Keaton plays. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geaux_sioux Posted October 31, 2016 Share Posted October 31, 2016 6 minutes ago, FSSD said: Does UNC still have those two kick returns.... if so, Specials Teams is in for a long day. We might want to kick it OB and let them start at the 35. If they do they aren't having the same success as last year. 0 TDs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Oxbow6 Posted October 31, 2016 Share Posted October 31, 2016 Win and in......just that simple. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cratter Posted October 31, 2016 Share Posted October 31, 2016 Need to quit playing down to their opponents level. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SWSiouxMN Posted October 31, 2016 Share Posted October 31, 2016 I'm strangely optimistic for this one, perhaps because of what could happen if Poly pulls a win alongside a UND win. (and as my buddy who did his undergrad at UNC, then grad work at UND once said... its UNC ) Yes, Win and in for playoffs but not only that (in small minor baby steps) -chance to win 8 D-1 games for the first time since moving up -tie the best record since moving up (2011) Early thoughts... about a 10 point win for the Fighting Sioux Hawks Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Oxbow6 Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 UNC is giving up 37 points a game and is allowing 209 rushing and 271 passing yards a game. Regardless of the QB UND better be able to move the ball and put up points vs this defense. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geaux_sioux Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 12 minutes ago, Oxbow6 said: UNC is giving up 37 points a game and is allowing 209 rushing and 271 passing yards a game. Regardless of the QB UND better be able to move the ball and put up points vs this defense. This is the silver lining this week. Their D should be bad enough that we can just grind them to dust..... should. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gundy1124 Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 3 minutes ago, geaux_sioux said: This is the silver lining this week. Their D should be bad enough that we can just grind them to dust..... should. I am not as optimistic. 2 average defenses just gave us a lot of trouble offensively. Studsrud is day to day and the Bears didn't like the beating behind the wood shed last year. Plus, the Bears are passing effectively and if we don't kick out of bounds they probably run it back. They need to win out to be relevant. I hope our guys know we need a really good game to win this week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geaux_sioux Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 1 minute ago, gundy1124 said: I am not as optimistic. 2 average defenses just gave us a lot of trouble offensively. Studsrud is day to day and the Bears didn't like the beating behind the wood shed last year. Plus, the Bears are passing effectively and if we don't kick out of bounds they probably run it back. They need to win out to be relevant. I hope our guys know we need a really good game to win this week. It's all about getting to their qb early like last year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nodak78 Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 1 minute ago, geaux_sioux said: It's all about getting to their qb early like last year. Agree stop run and get to the QB. Win the turnover battle. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CMSioux Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 Week after week there continues to be doubters - meanwhile all they do is win. They have won games without Santiago, they have won games without Reyes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Oxbow6 Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 Line opens with UND giving 7.5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
siouxstudent Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 59 minutes ago, Oxbow6 said: Line opens with UND giving 7.5 A betting man has to take that right? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UNDColorado Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 Taj Rich and Luke Stanley were both listed as questionable for the game against Weber. Anyone have any info on their recovery progress? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Oxbow6 Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 3 hours ago, siouxstudent said: A betting man has to take that right? Studs plays at 100% I'd say it's a really safe bet to lay the points.....without him not so much. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geaux_sioux Posted November 1, 2016 Share Posted November 1, 2016 31 minutes ago, UNDColorado said: Taj Rich and Luke Stanley were both listed as questionable for the game against Weber. Anyone have any info on their recovery progress? Taj was in sweats but had no limp at the Weber game. Could be upper body though. Never know with these things. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dustin Posted November 2, 2016 Share Posted November 2, 2016 The team was out at Memorial practicing when I drove by - anybody out there watching? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thebears Posted November 4, 2016 Share Posted November 4, 2016 I personally like Greeley and have many fond memories of my time there, but I agree that it has many shortcomings and it gets ripped on plenty in Colorado. With that being said, I think it's hilarious that North Dakotans would try to get all high and mighty because after all, North Dakota is the Greeley of the U.S. Also, South Park has also done some episodes about you all eh I'm not your buddy guy 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bincitysioux Posted November 4, 2016 Share Posted November 4, 2016 6 minutes ago, thebears said: I personally like Greeley and have many fond memories of my time there, but I agree that it has many shortcomings and it gets ripped on plenty in Colorado. With that being said, I think it's hilarious that North Dakotans would try to get all high and mighty because after all, North Dakota is the Greeley of the U.S. Also, South Park has also done some episodes about you all eh I'm not your buddy guy Isnt' that actually what they do in Greeley? To make being there more tolerable? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geaux_sioux Posted November 4, 2016 Share Posted November 4, 2016 31 minutes ago, thebears said: I personally like Greeley and have many fond memories of my time there, but I agree that it has many shortcomings and it gets ripped on plenty in Colorado. With that being said, I think it's hilarious that North Dakotans would try to get all high and mighty because after all, North Dakota is the Greeley of the U.S. Also, South Park has also done some episodes about you all eh I'm not your buddy guy You know why I love North Dakota? Because you aren't here. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
siouxstudent Posted November 4, 2016 Share Posted November 4, 2016 Word on the street is no Studs this weekend, anyone else been hearing this? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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