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Repeat against the Bears!! UND @ UNC


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Posted

Let’s rewind for a minute … to Nov 14, 2015.

UND hosted UNC, and put up 422 yards rushing (Santiago with 180, Norberg with 80, Brad only had 5 carries). We passed for 150 yards. Labatt had a pick six, and there were several turnovers going UNDs way in UND’s 45-14 beat down of Northern Colorado.

Fast forward to today. We can expect an improved UNC team, but also have to remember we are also improved. Yes, our offense is boom or bust, but we have a much more complete defense this year, and they are looking good! UNC has played better this year, but I’m not sold on them yet. They beat, Rocky Mountain College(NAIA), Abilene Christian(1-8), N. Arizona (Most impressive win), Sac St (W 27-19) and Portland St (W 56-49).

I think this is going to be the first week, in a string of weeks that will expose UNC for what they are. A team that has shown improvement, but isn’t quite there yet. They have to come to GF, host Montana and travel to Cal Poly.

Big shock in the Big Sky, but UNC has been a pretty pass heavy team this season, to go with that Sloter has 7 interception on the year. I think there will be ample opportunity for UND to continue increasing their INT numbers on the season. On the defensive side of the ball, UNC looks to have some of the same struggles as last season (9th in Rush D and 12th in pass D); UND needs to capitalize on this early in the game and take UNC out early.

Same as previous weeks: UND needs to establish the run early; but needs to get some passes around as well, and much earlier in the game. This should be doable against UNC. Weber had the top pass defense in the Sky …. Not that it is an excuse for lack of pass game this weekend. Winning the turnover battle is something UND has been tremendous at this year, and it will continue this weekend. Our defense needs to just keep doing what they are doing. A needed improvement from last week; sustain drives and chew up the clock –Need to win that possession time battle. And finally KICK COVERAGE! Has to improve from last week… otherwise kick it out of bounds. (Stats are skewed as UNC is toward the bottom of the Sky in both KO and Punt returns, but if we cover like last week, they have the people to take advantage of it.)

UND wins in Greeley, but I’ll wait to throw my score out there until I hear the injury updates. IF Keaton can’t go I’d like to see a mix of Bartels (who had some nice passes Sat.) and Brad (Who did not have a nice pass, but a TD nevertheless), Brad could throw that run element back in at the QB position. After watching Bartels run; it is conceivable that a 40 year old Peyton Manning might out sprint him. Even if Keaton can play, I don’t think you keep him out there the whole game unless you absolutely have to.

 

Here are some stats to mull over. Game is played on the field, not on paper, but I’d say this is UND’s game to lose.

SCORING OFFENSE

G

TD

FG

XPT

2XP

DXP

Saf

Points

Avg/G

4

Northern Colorado

8

39

5

37

1

0

0

288

36

7

North Dakota

9

34

11

31

0

0

1

270

30

SCORING DEFENSE

G

TD

FG

XPT

2XP

DXP

Saf

Points

Avg/G

1

North Dakota

9

25

8

19

0

0

0

193

21.4

9

Northern Colorado

8

37

12

33

2

0

0

295

36.9

TOTAL OFFENSE

G

Rush

Pass

Plays

Yards

Avg/P

TD

Avg/G

 

5

Northern Colorado

8

1523

2060

535

3583

6.7

39

447.9

 

9

North Dakota

9

1928

1579

630

3507

5.6

30

389.7

 

TOTAL DEFENSE

G

Rush

Pass

Plays

Yards

Avg/P

TD

Avg/G

 

2

North Dakota

9

884

2182

617

3066

5

23

340.7

 

12

Northern Colorado

8

1671

2233

632

3904

6.2

36

488

 

RUSHING OFFENSE

G

Att

Yards

Avg.

TD

Yards/G

     

3

North Dakota

9

416

1928

4.6

18

214.2

     

4

Northern Colorado

8

300

1523

5.1

18

190.4

     

RUSHING DEFENSE

G

Att

Yards

Avg.

TD

Yards/G

     

1

North Dakota

9

291

884

3

6

98.2

     

9

Northern Colorado

8

348

1671

4.8

20

208.9

     

PASS OFFENSE

G

Comp

Att

Int

  Pct.

Yards

Avg.

TD

Avg/G

4

Northern Colorado

8

152

235

7

64.7

2060

8.8

21

257.5

12

North Dakota

9

127

214

2

59.3

1579

7.4

12

175.4

PASS DEFENSE

G

Comp

Att

Int

  Pct.

Yards

Avg.

TD

Avg/G

4

North Dakota

9

178

326

16

54.6

2182

6.7

17

242.4

12

Northern Colorado

8

187

284

1

65.8

2233

7.9

16

279.1

KICKOFF RETURNS

G

No.

Yards

TD

Avg.

       

2

North Dakota

9

30

756

1

25.2

       

11

Northern Colorado

8

36

650

0

18.1

       

PUNT RETURN AVG

G

No.

Yards

TD

Avg.

       

12

North Dakota

9

12

35

0

2.9

       

13

Northern Colorado

8

7

14

0

2

       

INTERCEPTIONS

G

No.

Yards

TD

Avg.

       

1

North Dakota

9

16

187

3

11.7

       

13

Northern Colorado

8

1

0

0

0

       

PUNTING

G

No.

Yards

Avg/P

Ret.

Avg.

TB

Net/P

 

4

Northern Colorado

8

38

1524

40.1

76

2

0

38.1

 

6

North Dakota

9

54

2263

41.9

80

1.5

8

37.5

 

KICKOFF COVERAGE

G

No.

Yards

Avg.

Return

TB

Net Avg.

   

3

Northern Colorado

8

49

3045

62.1

604

17

42.9

   

12

North Dakota

9

51

2956

58

855

14

35.7

   

FIELD GOALS

G

Made-Att

Pct.

           

6

Northern Colorado

8

7-May

0.714

           

8

North Dakota

9

17-Nov

0.647

           

SACKS BY

G

No.

Yards

           

2

North Dakota

9

22

121

           

11

Northern Colorado

8

12

91

           

SACKS AGAINST

G

No.

Yards

           

10

Northern Colorado

8

18

111

           

11

North Dakota

9

20

127

           

PENALTIES

G

No.

Yards

Avg/G

         

7

North Dakota

9

59

512

56.9

         

13

Northern Colorado

8

74

683

85.4

         

TIME OF POSSESSION

G

Poss. Time

Avg/G

           

1

North Dakota

9

305:20:00

33:55:00

           

12

Northern Colorado

8

219:05:00

27:23:00

           

 

Gained

Lost

 

TURNOVER MARGIN

G

Fumb

Int

Total

Fumb

Int

Total

Margin

Per/G

1

North Dakota

9

7

16

23

8

2

10

13

1.44

9

Northern Colorado

8

8

1

9

4

7

11

-2

-0.25

 

  • Upvote 2
Posted
10 minutes ago, siouxfan512 said:

Let’s rewind for a minute … to Nov 14, 2015.

 

UND hosted UNC, and put up 422 yards rushing (Santiago with 180, Norberg with 80, Brad only had 5 carries). We passed for 150 yards. Labatt had a pick six, and there were several turnovers going UNDs way in UND’s 45-14 beat down of Northern Colorado.

 

Fast forward to today. We can expect an improved UNC team, but also have to remember we are also improved. Yes, our offense is boom or bust, but we have a much more complete defense this year, and they are looking good! UNC has played better this year, but I’m not sold on them yet. They beat, Rocky Mountain College(NAIA), Abilene Christian(1-8), N. Arizona (Most impressive win), Sac St (W 27-19) and Portland St (W 56-49).

 

I think this is going to be the first week, in a string of weeks that will expose UNC for what they are. A team that has shown improvement, but isn’t quite there yet. They have to come to GF, host Montana and travel to Cal Poly.

 

Big shock in the Big Sky, but UNC has been a pretty pass heavy team this season, to go with that Sloter has 7 interception on the year. I think there will be ample opportunity for UND to continue increasing their INT numbers on the season. On the defensive side of the ball, UNC looks to have some of the same struggles as last season (9th in Rush D and 12th in pass D); UND needs to capitalize on this early in the game and take UNC out early.

 

Same as previous weeks: UND needs to establish the run early; but needs to get some passes around as well, and much earlier in the game. This should be doable against UNC. Weber had the top pass defense in the Sky …. Not that it is an excuse for lack of pass game this weekend. Winning the turnover battle is something UND has been tremendous at this year, and it will continue this weekend. Our defense needs to just keep doing what they are doing. A needed improvement from last week; sustain drives and chew up the clock –Need to win that possession time battle. And finally KICK COVERAGE! Has to improve from last week… otherwise kick it out of bounds. (Stats are skewed as UNC is toward the bottom of the Sky in both KO and Punt returns, but if we cover like last week, they have the people to take advantage of it.)

 

UND wins in Greeley, but I’ll wait to throw my score out there until I hear the injury updates. IF Keaton can’t go I’d like to see a mix of Bartels (who had some nice passes Sat.) and Brad (Who did not have a nice pass, but a TD nevertheless), Brad could throw that run element back in at the QB position. After watching Bartels run; it is conceivable that a 40 year old Peyton Manning might out sprint him. Even if Keaton can play, I don’t think you keep him out there the whole game unless you absolutely have to.

 

 

 

Here are some stats to mull over. Game is played on the field, not on paper, but I’d say this is UND’s game to lose.

 

SCORING OFFENSE

 

G

 

TD

 

FG

 

XPT

 

2XP

 

DXP

 

Saf

 

Points

 

Avg/G

 

4

 

Northern Colorado

 

8

 

39

 

5

 

37

 

1

 

0

 

0

 

288

 

36

 

7

 

North Dakota

 

9

 

34

 

11

 

31

 

0

 

0

 

1

 

270

 

30

 

SCORING DEFENSE

 

G

 

TD

 

FG

 

XPT

 

2XP

 

DXP

 

Saf

 

Points

 

Avg/G

 

1

 

North Dakota

 

9

 

25

 

8

 

19

 

0

 

0

 

0

 

193

 

21.4

 

9

 

Northern Colorado

 

8

 

37

 

12

 

33

 

2

 

0

 

0

 

295

 

36.9

 

TOTAL OFFENSE

 

G

 

Rush

 

Pass

 

Plays

 

Yards

 

Avg/P

 

TD

 

Avg/G

 

 

5

 

Northern Colorado

 

8

 

1523

 

2060

 

535

 

3583

 

6.7

 

39

 

447.9

 

 

9

 

North Dakota

 

9

 

1928

 

1579

 

630

 

3507

 

5.6

 

30

 

389.7

 

 

TOTAL DEFENSE

 

G

 

Rush

 

Pass

 

Plays

 

Yards

 

Avg/P

 

TD

 

Avg/G

 

 

2

 

North Dakota

 

9

 

884

 

2182

 

617

 

3066

 

5

 

23

 

340.7

 

 

12

 

Northern Colorado

 

8

 

1671

 

2233

 

632

 

3904

 

6.2

 

36

 

488

 

 

RUSHING OFFENSE

 

G

 

Att

 

Yards

 

Avg.

 

TD

 

Yards/G

 

     

3

 

North Dakota

 

9

 

416

 

1928

 

4.6

 

18

 

214.2

 

     

4

 

Northern Colorado

 

8

 

300

 

1523

 

5.1

 

18

 

190.4

 

     

RUSHING DEFENSE

 

G

 

Att

 

Yards

 

Avg.

 

TD

 

Yards/G

 

     

1

 

North Dakota

 

9

 

291

 

884

 

3

 

6

 

98.2

 

     

9

 

Northern Colorado

 

8

 

348

 

1671

 

4.8

 

20

 

208.9

 

     

PASS OFFENSE

 

G

 

Comp

 

Att

 

Int

 

  Pct.

 

Yards

 

Avg.

 

TD

 

Avg/G

 

4

 

Northern Colorado

 

8

 

152

 

235

 

7

 

64.7

 

2060

 

8.8

 

21

 

257.5

 

12

 

North Dakota

 

9

 

127

 

214

 

2

 

59.3

 

1579

 

7.4

 

12

 

175.4

 

PASS DEFENSE

 

G

 

Comp

 

Att

 

Int

 

  Pct.

 

Yards

 

Avg.

 

TD

 

Avg/G

 

4

 

North Dakota

 

9

 

178

 

326

 

16

 

54.6

 

2182

 

6.7

 

17

 

242.4

 

12

 

Northern Colorado

 

8

 

187

 

284

 

1

 

65.8

 

2233

 

7.9

 

16

 

279.1

 

KICKOFF RETURNS

 

G

 

No.

 

Yards

 

TD

 

Avg.

 

       

2

 

North Dakota

 

9

 

30

 

756

 

1

 

25.2

 

       

11

 

Northern Colorado

 

8

 

36

 

650

 

0

 

18.1

 

       

PUNT RETURN AVG

 

G

 

No.

 

Yards

 

TD

 

Avg.

 

       

12

 

North Dakota

 

9

 

12

 

35

 

0

 

2.9

 

       

13

 

Northern Colorado

 

8

 

7

 

14

 

0

 

2

 

       

INTERCEPTIONS

 

G

 

No.

 

Yards

 

TD

 

Avg.

 

       

1

 

North Dakota

 

9

 

16

 

187

 

3

 

11.7

 

       

13

 

Northern Colorado

 

8

 

1

 

0

 

0

 

0

 

       

PUNTING

 

G

 

No.

 

Yards

 

Avg/P

 

Ret.

 

Avg.

 

TB

 

Net/P

 

 

4

 

Northern Colorado

 

8

 

38

 

1524

 

40.1

 

76

 

2

 

0

 

38.1

 

 

6

 

North Dakota

 

9

 

54

 

2263

 

41.9

 

80

 

1.5

 

8

 

37.5

 

 

KICKOFF COVERAGE

 

G

 

No.

 

Yards

 

Avg.

 

Return

 

TB

 

Net Avg.

 

   

3

 

Northern Colorado

 

8

 

49

 

3045

 

62.1

 

604

 

17

 

42.9

 

   

12

 

North Dakota

 

9

 

51

 

2956

 

58

 

855

 

14

 

35.7

 

   

FIELD GOALS

 

G

 

Made-Att

 

Pct.

 

           

6

 

Northern Colorado

 

8

 

7-May

 

0.714

 

           

8

 

North Dakota

 

9

 

17-Nov

 

0.647

 

           

SACKS BY

 

G

 

No.

 

Yards

 

           

2

 

North Dakota

 

9

 

22

 

121

 

           

11

 

Northern Colorado

 

8

 

12

 

91

 

           

SACKS AGAINST

 

G

 

No.

 

Yards

 

           

10

 

Northern Colorado

 

8

 

18

 

111

 

           

11

 

North Dakota

 

9

 

20

 

127

 

           

PENALTIES

 

G

 

No.

 

Yards

 

Avg/G

 

         

7

 

North Dakota

 

9

 

59

 

512

 

56.9

 

         

13

 

Northern Colorado

 

8

 

74

 

683

 

85.4

 

         

TIME OF POSSESSION

 

G

 

Poss. Time

 

Avg/G

 

           

1

 

North Dakota

 

9

 

305:20:00

 

33:55:00

 

           

12

 

Northern Colorado

 

8

 

219:05:00

 

27:23:00

 

           

 

 

Gained

 

Lost

 

 

 

TURNOVER MARGIN

 

G

 

Fumb

 

Int

 

Total

 

Fumb

 

Int

 

Total

 

Margin

 

Per/G

 

1

 

North Dakota

 

9

 

7

 

16

 

23

 

8

 

2

 

10

 

13

 

1.44

 

9

 

Northern Colorado

 

8

 

8

 

1

 

9

 

4

 

7

 

11

 

-2

 

-0.25

 

 

 

Great analysis!

  • Upvote 1
  • Downvote 1
Posted

To those coming to the game my group will be tailgating hard and looking to be set up and rolling by 9 AM MTN. Since I just got back from hunting back home in North Dakota I think it is fitting to have wild game (Pheasant, Duck, and venison burgers). I plan to make extra so please stop by. Plan is to have my large green Fighting Sioux flag flying from my blue 4runner in some fashion.

I believe Southpaw will be bringing cornhole and washer sets so the gaming will be on point. I also brought back some premium grain belt since I cant get that out here.

 

  • Upvote 2
Posted

Does UNC still have those two kick returns.... if so, Specials Teams is in for a long day.  We might want to kick it OB and let them start at the 35.

Posted
6 minutes ago, FSSD said:

Does UNC still have those two kick returns.... if so, Specials Teams is in for a long day.  We might want to kick it OB and let them start at the 35.

If they do they aren't having the same success as last year. 0 TDs.

Posted

I'm strangely optimistic for this one, perhaps because of what could happen if Poly pulls a win alongside a UND win. (and as my buddy who did his undergrad at UNC, then grad work at UND once said... its UNC :D)

Yes, Win and in for playoffs but not only that (in small minor baby steps)

-chance to win 8 D-1 games for the first time since moving up

-tie the best record since moving up (2011)

Early thoughts... about a 10 point win for the Fighting Sioux Hawks

Posted

UNC is giving up 37 points a game and is allowing 209 rushing and 271 passing yards a game. Regardless of the QB UND better be able to move the ball and put up points vs this defense.

Posted
12 minutes ago, Oxbow6 said:

UNC is giving up 37 points a game and is allowing 209 rushing and 271 passing yards a game. Regardless of the QB UND better be able to move the ball and put up points vs this defense.

This is the silver lining this week.  Their D should be bad enough that we can just grind them to dust..... should.

Posted
3 minutes ago, geaux_sioux said:

This is the silver lining this week.  Their D should be bad enough that we can just grind them to dust..... should.

I am not as optimistic.  2 average defenses just gave us a lot of trouble offensively.  Studsrud is day to day and the Bears didn't like the beating behind the wood shed last year.  Plus, the Bears are passing effectively and if we don't kick out of bounds they probably run it back.  They need to win out to be relevant.  I hope our guys know we need a really good game to win this week. 

Posted
1 minute ago, gundy1124 said:

I am not as optimistic.  2 average defenses just gave us a lot of trouble offensively.  Studsrud is day to day and the Bears didn't like the beating behind the wood shed last year.  Plus, the Bears are passing effectively and if we don't kick out of bounds they probably run it back.  They need to win out to be relevant.  I hope our guys know we need a really good game to win this week. 

It's all about getting to their qb early like last year.

Posted

Week after week there continues to be doubters - meanwhile all they do is win. They have won games without Santiago, they have won games without Reyes.  

Posted
3 hours ago, siouxstudent said:

A betting man has to take that right?

Studs plays at 100% I'd say it's a really safe bet to lay the points.....without him not so much.

Posted
31 minutes ago, UNDColorado said:

Taj Rich and Luke Stanley were both listed as questionable for the game against Weber. Anyone have any info on their recovery progress?

Taj was in sweats but had no limp at the Weber game. Could be upper body though. Never know with these things.

Posted

I personally like Greeley and have many fond memories of my time there, but I agree that it has many shortcomings and it gets ripped on plenty in Colorado. With that being said, I think it's hilarious that North Dakotans would try to get all high and mighty because after all, North Dakota is the Greeley of the U.S.

Also, South Park has also done some episodes about you all eh

I'm not your buddy guy

SP.jpg

  • Downvote 4
Posted
6 minutes ago, thebears said:

I personally like Greeley and have many fond memories of my time there, but I agree that it has many shortcomings and it gets ripped on plenty in Colorado. With that being said, I think it's hilarious that North Dakotans would try to get all high and mighty because after all, North Dakota is the Greeley of the U.S.

Also, South Park has also done some episodes about you all eh

I'm not your buddy guy

SP.jpg

Isnt' that actually what they do in Greeley?  To make being there more tolerable?

  • Upvote 1
Posted
31 minutes ago, thebears said:

I personally like Greeley and have many fond memories of my time there, but I agree that it has many shortcomings and it gets ripped on plenty in Colorado. With that being said, I think it's hilarious that North Dakotans would try to get all high and mighty because after all, North Dakota is the Greeley of the U.S.

Also, South Park has also done some episodes about you all eh

I'm not your buddy guy

SP.jpg

You know why I love North Dakota? Because you aren't here.

  • Upvote 2

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