TheFlop Posted April 23, 2020 Posted April 23, 2020 10 hours ago, Oxbow6 said: Funny thing with distance learning, according to one of my daughters, is the really poor students miraculously got smarter over the past few weeks.....grade wise. Online learning may work for college, but it has proven to be woefully inadequate for K-12. Middle School teacher friend I spoke to last week indicated about 1/4 of his students haven't done one single thing yet.....but that guidance was to not pressure students for compliance because they already have enough stress on them with Covid/losing their in person school year.
Oxbow6 Posted April 23, 2020 Posted April 23, 2020 According to JAMA of the 5700+ hospitalized patients in the Northwell Health System in NY 94% had more than one underlying medical issue other than COVID. HTN, obesity and DM, in that order, were the top 3 underlying issues. Who knew being a borderline physical train wreck increased one's risk?!?! 1 1
Oxbow6 Posted April 23, 2020 Posted April 23, 2020 9 minutes ago, TheFlop said: Online learning may work for college, but it has proven to be woefully inadequate for K-12. Middle School teacher friend I spoke to last week indicated about 1/4 of his students haven't done one single thing yet.....but that guidance was to not pressure students for compliance because they already have enough stress on them with Covid/losing their in person school year. I thought I read somewhere in the Minneapolis area over 30% haven't even checked in or done anything. Based in 25-30% non-participation seems like Montana is doing the right thing to at least give the school districts the option to get kids back in the classroom.
Oxbow6 Posted April 23, 2020 Posted April 23, 2020 Mayo Clinic is furloughing or reducing hours for 42% of it's employees across all campuses. Will affect roughly 30000 employees. Doctors and administrators taking paycuts of 10-20%. Main hospital in Rochester at 35-40% capacity. Surgical volume at 25-30%. Overall estimated loss is at $3B when this blows over.
Oxbow6 Posted April 23, 2020 Posted April 23, 2020 19 hours ago, Oxbow6 said: So on that note the weekly jobless claims report comes out tomorrow morning. Opening line is another 4.2M If you took the over again this week you're a winner. 4.43M more out of work over the past week. Unemployment now at roughly 16%. #savelives
UND1983 Posted April 23, 2020 Posted April 23, 2020 4 minutes ago, Oxbow6 said: If you took the over again this week you're a winner. 4.43M more out of work over the past week. Unemployment now at roughly 16%. But those 4.43 million people probably helped save at least one life. 1
Siouxphan27 Posted April 23, 2020 Posted April 23, 2020 6 hours ago, dynato said: For anyone curious, this is (was) the national strategy for pandemic influenza - implementation plan that president Bush orchestrated. It has a little bit of everything for everyone. https://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandemic-resources/pdf/pandemic-influenza-implementation.pdf "Low-cost or sustainable social distancing measures should be introduced within the workplace immediately after a community outbreak begins, and businesses should prepare for the possibility of measures that have the potential to disrupt their business continuity. Decisions as to how and when to implement community measures will be made on a case-by-case basis, with the Federal Government providing support and guidance to local officials. " It appears this is what is happening currently. Evidently someone must’ve saved a copy of that old plan.
Siouxphan27 Posted April 23, 2020 Posted April 23, 2020 22 minutes ago, Oxbow6 said: If you took the over again this week you're a winner. 4.43M more out of work over the past week. Unemployment now at roughly 16%. #savelives It’s gotten quite difficult to find ammo again. People are preparing for the worst.
Cratter Posted April 23, 2020 Posted April 23, 2020 It will be curious to see all government bailout money divided by total covid deaths when this is all over. 1
Oxbow6 Posted April 23, 2020 Posted April 23, 2020 As I was traveling yesterday I heard on the radio that the projected death total economically will be around 77000. Not sure if I buy that number anymore than the original 1-2M projected deaths from COVID but found it interesting that the projected economic death total now is more than the latest death projections from the virus. 1
SiouxForever Posted April 23, 2020 Posted April 23, 2020 9 hours ago, SIOUXFAN97 said: https://www.cnn.com/videos/politics/2020/04/22/las-vegas-mayor-carolyn-goodman-reopen-coronavirus-entire-interview-anderson-cooper-sot-nr-vpx.cnn one of the grossest interviews i have ever seen. Very disgusting, kudos to the Las Vegas Mayor, she has wisdom, living experience and history to showcase to Anderson Cooper. Politics aside, AC is a snake with many skeletons in his closet. His day will come, karma does exist. I watched for "entertainment" purposes too. I had no political lens on. 1
Walsh Hall Posted April 23, 2020 Posted April 23, 2020 I realize that the studies should be subject to scrutiny, but it's estimated that between 30K-50K death occur annually as a result of EACH percent increase in unemployment. It's a difficult metric to quantify, but something to consider.
yzerman19 Posted April 23, 2020 Posted April 23, 2020 1 hour ago, Oxbow6 said: According to JAMA of the 5700+ hospitalized patients in the Northwell Health System in NY 94% had more than one underlying medical issue other than COVID. HTN, obesity and DM, in that order, were the top 3 underlying issues. Who knew being a borderline physical train wreck increased one's risk?!?! Obesity as measured by BMI...and HTN now at anything over 130/80... 6’ 225 with 140/90 hardly seems like a trainwreck...especially among those of Scandinavian and Germanic ancestry but I get your point.
homer Posted April 23, 2020 Posted April 23, 2020 That interview was awful. Fully agree with the mayor that at some point, people need to be allowed to make their own decision I don’t have to go to Vegas if it suddenly a casino suddenly turns on their slot machines again Based on economic info a fair chunk of the population doesn’t have money to go their anyhow My opinion is even after things open up it is going to be extremely challenging getting people who lost their jobs to actually go back to work and not for fear of getting sick.
UNDBIZ Posted April 23, 2020 Posted April 23, 2020 10 hours ago, SIOUXFAN97 said: https://www.cnn.com/videos/politics/2020/04/22/las-vegas-mayor-carolyn-goodman-reopen-coronavirus-entire-interview-anderson-cooper-sot-nr-vpx.cnn one of the grossest interviews i have ever seen. That wasn't even an interview 1
dynato Posted April 23, 2020 Posted April 23, 2020 For those of you curious about where the "two more weeks" keeps coming from, it is actually from the current (4-23-2020) set of federal criteria for opening up. If everyday is a new peak, then you will be in an infinite loop of two more weeks.https://www.whitehouse.gov/openingamerica/#criteria
Oxbow6 Posted April 23, 2020 Posted April 23, 2020 30 minutes ago, dynato said: For those of you curious about where the "two more weeks" keeps coming from, it is actually from the current (4-23-2020) set of federal criteria for opening up. If everyday is a new peak, then you will be in an infinite loop of two more weeks.https://www.whitehouse.gov/openingamerica/#criteria No wonder Doug found Tuesday's numbers "disappointing". 1
dynato Posted April 23, 2020 Posted April 23, 2020 1 minute ago, Oxbow6 said: No wonder Doug found Tuesday's numbers "disappointing". We are still looking to meet the criteria for opening up. Then Phase I is businesses open up. Phase II is schools opening back up. There is a mass testing event today in GF for the remaining employees at LM Windpower. They encouraged all Simplot employees to get tested to help see if there is significant asymptomatic spread in our community. If this leads to a spike in cases, another "two weeks" message is likely to be given out when the results come back.
Oxbow6 Posted April 23, 2020 Posted April 23, 2020 7 minutes ago, dynato said: We are still looking to meet the criteria for opening up. Then Phase I is businesses open up. Phase II is schools opening back up. There is a mass testing event today in GF for the remaining employees at LM Windpower. They encouraged all Simplot employees to get tested to help see if there is significant asymptomatic spread in our community. If this leads to a spike in cases, another "two weeks" message is likely to be given out when the results come back. I get the "criteria" but ND has had 2 days of 50 or more positive tests. Are we ramping up testing of asymptomatic people just to move the needle up....and continually add "2 more weeks"?
UND1983 Posted April 23, 2020 Posted April 23, 2020 16 minutes ago, dynato said: We are still looking to meet the criteria for opening up. Then Phase I is businesses open up. Phase II is schools opening back up. There is a mass testing event today in GF for the remaining employees at LM Windpower. They encouraged all Simplot employees to get tested to help see if there is significant asymptomatic spread in our community. If this leads to a spike in cases, another "two weeks" message is likely to be given out when the results come back. See how this doesn't make sense? They could play that game all summer into the fall - does anybody think the virus is going away? 1
Walsh Hall Posted April 23, 2020 Posted April 23, 2020 7 minutes ago, Oxbow6 said: I get the "criteria" but ND has had 2 days of 50 or more positive tests. Are we ramping up testing of asymptomatic people just to move the needle up....and continually add "2 more weeks"? I have gotten the impression that Burgum is not just looking at the positive cases and the %. He specifically indicated that some states will be meeting the downward criteria for opening up, but will still be having significantly more positive tests and a high percentage of positive tests than ND. I suspect we'll be learning much more about the actual spread of COVID in the next couple weeks. Maybe that will spur a systematic reopening.
Oxbow6 Posted April 23, 2020 Posted April 23, 2020 4 minutes ago, Walsh Hall said: I have gotten the impression that Burgum is not just looking at the positive cases and the %. He specifically indicated that some states will be meeting the downward criteria for opening up, but will still be having significantly more positive tests and a high percentage of positive tests than ND. I suspect we'll be learning much more about the actual spread of COVID in the next couple weeks. Maybe that will spur a systematic reopening. So we are learning that the infectious rate is 50-85x higher than advertised.........
dynato Posted April 23, 2020 Posted April 23, 2020 8 minutes ago, Oxbow6 said: I get the "criteria" but ND has had 2 days of 50 or more positive tests. Are we ramping up testing of asymptomatic people just to move the needle up....and continually add "2 more weeks"? If we are still heading towards peak cases, it gives governors reason to extend for two weeks. In my opinion, the only way to know if we peaked is to have consistency with the amount of testing we do. To me this means testing more, or at least the same quantity every day, to confirm suspicions of asymptomatic spread, reaching the peak sooner. The whole mass testing event every 7 days will just skew/prolong the decision. 1 minute ago, UND1983 said: See how this doesn't make sense? They could play that game all summer into the fall - does anybody think the virus is going away? This is why I questioned the vague guidance. Both for closing in the first place and for opening up.
Walsh Hall Posted April 23, 2020 Posted April 23, 2020 https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/22/she-got-a-paycheck-protection-loan-her-employees-hate-her-for-it.html More "unintended consequences" that was completely foreseeable to anyone with common sense... 4
Walsh Hall Posted April 23, 2020 Posted April 23, 2020 11 minutes ago, Oxbow6 said: So we are learning that the infectious rate is 50-85x higher than advertised......... I suspect more "getting confirmation" than "learning".
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