Big Green Posted February 15, 2020 Posted February 15, 2020 20 minutes ago, squirtcoach said: Looking at the 4 teams in the running for the last #1 seed and their RPI and PWR, it still looks to me that the NCHC frozen faceoff game between DU and UMD will be for “which team gets the last change in Loveland”. And of course, for a shot at the University of North Dakota team Saturday night. i am sure if I dusted off my monte carlo statistics program I could tell you the probability. Western Michigan might have something to say about that. W. Michigan might be 3 seed Quote
squirtcoach Posted February 15, 2020 Posted February 15, 2020 If the Broncos can get enough points against Duluth and In North Dakota in the next 3 weeks to get to third place, they will have EARNED IT. Quote
Sioux>Bison Posted February 16, 2020 Posted February 16, 2020 So no way UND is in Loveland if DU keeps losing? Quote
brianvf Posted February 16, 2020 Posted February 16, 2020 13 minutes ago, Sioux>Bison said: So no way UND is in Loveland if DU keeps losing? They could put UND there if DU ends up a lower #2 seed. That wouldn't be ideal. Quote
SiouxFanatic Posted February 16, 2020 Posted February 16, 2020 7 minutes ago, brianvf said: They could put UND there if DU ends up a lower #2 seed. That wouldn't be ideal. Oh my, that scenario giving me flashback of 03-04 regional... Hard pass! Quote
brianvf Posted February 16, 2020 Posted February 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, SiouxFanatic said: Oh my, that scenario giving me flashback of 03-04 regional... Hard pass! Almost exactly the same. That year, we didn't lose to DU all year. And then we get placed in their regional and lose 1-0 in the regional final. This year, we haven't lost to DU...the last thing I want is to get placed in Loveland and hope that we could beat them yet again. Quote
sioux rube Posted February 16, 2020 Posted February 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, brianvf said: Almost exactly the same. That year, we didn't lose to DU all year. And then we get placed in their regional and lose 1-0 in the regional final. This year, we haven't lost to DU...the last thing I want is to get placed in Loveland and hope that we could beat them yet again. Could not agree more. But damnit it could happen Quote
brianvf Posted February 16, 2020 Posted February 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, sioux rube said: Could not agree more. But damnit it could happen DU is still at #5 in the PWR, but man the RPI is super close going down the line. Denver does have the easiest remaining schedule with Miami/SCSU/CC left, so they should be able to right the ship and keep their PWR up there. I hope. 1 Quote
squirtcoach Posted February 16, 2020 Posted February 16, 2020 They swept #6BC early in the season. It is going to be tough for BC to flip Denver. Quote
Fader Posted February 17, 2020 Author Posted February 17, 2020 A new week, a new guess. Bemidji up to 12th, current conference leaders given auto-bids (AIC , Minn). Cornell placed NE as ECAC host. Tried to maintain bracket integrity. Swapped UMass and Clarkson to avoid 1st round conflict. Northeast - Albany 1) Cornell 2) BC 3) ASU 4) Maine East-Worcester 1) North Dakota 2) UMass 3) Bemidji 4) AIC Midwest - Allentown 1) Mankato 2) Clarkson 3) Penn State 4) Minnesota West - Loveland 1) Duluth 2) Denver 3) Northeastern 4) Ohio State I could see the committee swapping Minn with Maine or AIC.... Quote
Old Fella Posted February 17, 2020 Posted February 17, 2020 15 minutes ago, Fader said: A new week, a new guess. Bemidji up to 12th, current conference leaders given auto-bids (AIC , Minn). Cornell placed NE as ECAC host. Tried to maintain bracket integrity. Swapped UMass and Clarkson to avoid 1st round conflict. Northeast - Albany 1) Cornell 2) BC 3) ASU 4) Maine East-Worcester 1) North Dakota 2) Clarkson 3) Northeastern 4) AIC Midwest - Allentown 1) Mankato 2) Clarkson 3) Penn State 4) Minnesota West - Loveland 1) Duluth 2) Denver 3) Bemidji St 4) Ohio State Minnesota 16 pairwise in both CNN & USCO. Quote
Fader Posted February 17, 2020 Author Posted February 17, 2020 7 minutes ago, Old Fella said: Minnesota 16 pairwise in both CNN & USCO. Yup. AIC would have bumped them with an auto-bid. Minnesota getting the B1G auto-bid bumps #15 UM-Lowell. Quote
Clark17 Posted February 17, 2020 Posted February 17, 2020 Couple games tonight, not sure what the Mich/Mich State game does to PairWise and the Gophers current spot. I think the Gophers will win the Big 10 tournament. Quote
Clark17 Posted February 17, 2020 Posted February 17, 2020 NE 1 UND 16 AIC 8 Mass 12 B - State East 3 Cornell 14 Maine 6 BC 11 ASU M - West 2 MSU - M 15 Minn 7 Clark 10 Penn West 4 UMD 13 OSU 5 DU 9 NE Swapped 9 and 12 (only option in third band) to avoid HE first round match up. Quote
Fader Posted February 17, 2020 Author Posted February 17, 2020 36 minutes ago, Clark17 said: NE 1 UND 16 AIC 8 Mass 12 B - State East 3 Cornell 14 Maine 6 BC 11 ASU Curious to your thoughts on sending Cornell to the East rather than NE. Ithaca is closer to Albany and ECAC is the host at the regional. Attendance? Quote
SJHovey Posted February 17, 2020 Posted February 17, 2020 56 minutes ago, Clark17 said: Couple games tonight, not sure what the Mich/Mich State game does to PairWise and the Gophers current spot. I think the Gophers will win the Big 10 tournament. Actually the games tonight are very interesting for the teams in the 15-18 spots of the Pairwise. Just playing around with the calculator at CHN shows these results: CC and Mich St win 15 MN 16 WMU 17 Mass-Lowell CC and Michigan win 15 WMU 16 Mass-Lowell 17 MN AF and Mich St win 15 Mass-Lowell 16 MN 17 Quinnipiac 18 WMU AF and Michigan win 15 Mass-Lowell 16 MN 17 WMU 18 Quinnipiac 1 Quote
The Sicatoka Posted February 17, 2020 Posted February 17, 2020 How is Mich/Mich St not on BTN tonight. Quote
Clark17 Posted February 17, 2020 Posted February 17, 2020 30 minutes ago, Fader said: Curious to your thoughts on sending Cornell to the East rather than NE. Ithaca is closer to Albany and ECAC is the host at the regional. Attendance? The NE is in Worcester and the East is in Albany. Quote
Clark17 Posted February 17, 2020 Posted February 17, 2020 19 minutes ago, SJHovey said: Actually the games tonight are very interesting for the teams in the 15-18 spots of the Pairwise. Just playing around with the calculator at CHN shows these results: CC and Mich St win 15 MN 16 WMU 17 Mass-Lowell CC and Michigan win 15 WMU 16 Mass-Lowell 17 MN AF and Mich St win 15 Mass-Lowell 16 MN 17 Quinnipiac 18 WMU AF and Michigan win 15 Mass-Lowell 16 MN 17 WMU 18 Quinnipiac Interesting, didn’t know they have Pairwise calculator. I will have to take a look. Quote
Kab Posted February 17, 2020 Posted February 17, 2020 For those in the know what’s the best guess on the number of teams that make the tourney not in the top 16 because they win their conference tourney Quote
SJHovey Posted February 17, 2020 Posted February 17, 2020 Just now, Kab said: For those in the know what’s the best guess on the number of teams that make the tourney not in the top 16 because they win their conference tourney I personally don't think it will be that many. Atlantic Hockey, obviously. The ECAC and WCHA are the most vulnerable because they only have two at large qualifiers right now, which means that if any other team wins the tournament, that's another spot. Right now the B1G really only has PSU and Ohio St. as qualifiers with Minnesota on the bubble, but I think that if Minnesota, Michigan or maybe even Michigan St played their way into a conference title, they'd also probably be in the top 15. Same for WMU in the NCHC. Quote
Fader Posted February 17, 2020 Author Posted February 17, 2020 30 minutes ago, Clark17 said: The NE is in Worcester and the East is in Albany. So they are. Ooops, Easily confused these days I guess. At least I did have the cities right. Quote
Clark17 Posted February 17, 2020 Posted February 17, 2020 14 minutes ago, SJHovey said: I personally don't think it will be that many. Atlantic Hockey, obviously. The ECAC and WCHA are the most vulnerable because they only have two at large qualifiers right now, which means that if any other team wins the tournament, that's another spot. Right now the B1G really only has PSU and Ohio St. as qualifiers with Minnesota on the bubble, but I think that if Minnesota, Michigan or maybe even Michigan St played their way into a conference title, they'd also probably be in the top 15. Same for WMU in the NCHC. I think The Ohio State University is working their way out in my opinion. We'll see I guess. I wonder if Penn. could find themselves in a bad spot still? That would change everything regarding regional placement. I should try the calculator and see. Quote
Clark17 Posted February 17, 2020 Posted February 17, 2020 17 minutes ago, Fader said: So they are. Ooops, Easily confused these days I guess. At least I did have the cities right. You and I are on the same page for the most part. I don’t think they would swap 2 seeds over a 3 seed swap if available but who knows? Quote
Fader Posted February 17, 2020 Author Posted February 17, 2020 4 minutes ago, Clark17 said: You and I are on the same page for the most part. I don’t think they would swap 2 seeds over a 3 seed swap if available but who knows? You are probably correct on that one, I had Clarkson in my original post twice, fixing that that I ended up swapping 3 seeds instead of the 2 as well. Quote
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