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Far too early, but what the hell...Bracketology


petey23

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According to CHN pairwise probability matrix, UND's chances to make it into the tourney jumped from 26 to 44% after tonight's win.
Still only at #14 though, so not safe if there are a few upsets in the conference tourneys.

Keep the pressure on tomorrow!

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13 minutes ago, franchise said:

Got some stuff going on and can't keep tabs on the other games. What didn't go well for us last night? Harvard and Clarkson loss?

Harvard doesn't really matter. Clarkson loss increases chance of another ecac team getting the auto bid, so that's worrisome, hope for them to win the next 2.

BC winning is likely the biggest immediate concern. 

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3 minutes ago, KoolGuy2K said:

Clarkson dropped many positions with last nights loss. If they lose again and we win again, would we jump them?

Not accounting for all the other games, it doesn't look like it. 

Even with a win tonight, we likely stay at 14. Will need to win a game next weekend. 

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1 hour ago, BarnWinterSportsEngelstad said:

A sweep after tonight and 1 of 2 at the X would look pretty good, a loss tonight opens a can of worms.

Nothing has gone easy for this team this year...so we should realistically expect a loss tonight to really leave us on the edge of our seats.  ;)

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9 minutes ago, brianvf said:

Nothing has gone easy for this team this year...so we should realistically expect a loss tonight to really leave us on the edge of our seats.  ;)

Just when it was starting to get crowded on the bandwagon again... 

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3 hours ago, KoolGuy2K said:

Clarkson dropped many positions with last nights loss. If they lose again and we win again, would we jump them?

No, but if all top seeds won besides Clarkson and Army, UND would be at .5351 Clarkson .5361, So it would be close, and next week a win would jump them. That isn't taking into effect any sunday results that may adjust QWB 

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2 minutes ago, SJHovey said:

We really need Mankato and Clarkson to win tomorrow. I don’t see us climbing above 14, even with a win in St Paul. I wouldn’t bet against BC or BU in Hockey east, so we need the WCHA and ECAC to go chalk.

With BC only being one pairwise spot behind UND, a BU win over BC would be big in giving UND some PWR leeway.

 

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1 hour ago, Cratter said:

With BC only being one pairwise spot behind UND, a BU win over BC would be big in giving UND some PWR leeway.

 

As long as BU doesn’t win the HEA tourney after that win. 

Man, UND is gonna be big fans of a few programs tomorrow and next weekend. Going to be real tight unless they can put together two wins next weekend...

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29 minutes ago, sioux24/7 said:

Random question that me and my buddies are wondering, are our conference banners for winning the regular season or the conference tournament? Pretty sure it’s regular season right?

Ralph has a banner with the years of tournament winners. 

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2 hours ago, SJHovey said:

Too many teams ahead of us are done, and probably too far ahead to catch with one win. Need Mankato, NE, Providence, Clarkson and Cornell to be good to us.

Stunning to believe that at 19-17-2 and having their regular season end LAST weekend, Minnesota's almost a lock to make the tournament...

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So here's a question for those with the better pairwise skills, if UND had won every game in which they had at least a 2 goal lead which they ended up giving up and losing or tying, where would they be in the pairwise now? 

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5 minutes ago, Feff said:

So here's a question for those with the better pairwise skills, if UND had won every game in which they had at least a 2 goal lead which they ended up giving up and losing or tying, where would they be in the pairwise now? 

I posted that back a page or two. About 7 in the pairwise.

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