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BU @ Nodak, Saturday night game thread


Kevin G

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5 minutes ago, .357 said:

Even just 1 loss against any of those 3 teams will probably put a big dent in our PWR. Cracking the top 4 for a #1 seed in the playoffs might be a tough task this year, considering how strong DU, BC, BU, MN & MSU appear to be. 

A question for those good with numbers/scenarios: Would a split with DU & a sweep of Robert Morris be better for our PWR than a sweep of DU & a split with Robert Morris? (provided that DU finishes near the top this year & Robert Morris near the bottom)

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2025 NCAA Tournament Pairwise Comparison Ratings : College Hockey News

Simple answer is you don't lose to teams from weak conferences. 

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1 hour ago, .357 said:

Even just 1 loss against any of those 3 teams will probably put a big dent in our PWR. Cracking the top 4 for a #1 seed in the playoffs might be a tough task this year, considering how strong DU, BC, BU, MN & MSU appear to be. 

A question for those good with numbers/scenarios: Would a split with DU & a sweep of Robert Morris be better for our PWR than a sweep of DU & a split with Robert Morris? (provided that DU finishes near the top this year & Robert Morris near the bottom)

This is a great question that I've seen answered quite a bit by Adam Wodon (CHN) and Jim Connelly (USCHO) who give the same answers every time. Bad losses hurt more than good wins help. 

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3 hours ago, hockeytherapy13 said:

This is a great question that I've seen answered quite a bit by Adam Wodon (CHN) and Jim Connelly (USCHO) who give the same answers every time. Bad losses hurt more than good wins help. 

I don't care who we lose to in conference if it helps us lose the Penrose.  I can finally see that it's just a Rope-a-Dope tactic by messrs Carle and Sandelin.

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16 hours ago, brianvf said:

Doesn't get any easier the next three weekends either.
I could see a split the next three weeks against Cornell, UMD, and DU.

Cornell is a big, heavy, experienced team like Mankato.  We won't get nearly as many scoring chances as we did against BU.  Time and space on the ice will have to be earned.  Some really really good UND teams have failed to sweep Duluth in Duluth, even if our skill level is superior IMO.  And then DU will be a really tough series...they're playing lights out early this season.

Going 3-3 in those 6 games doesn't seem awesome, for sure.  But then the next three weekends are Robert Morris, BSU, and Miami.  I would hope for a 5-1 record at worst in those 6 games.

I will give Berry props with the schedule. He challenges his team. We are always high on the SOS. Winning the games against average to below average teams, has been a problem. Show up, and play fast hockey.

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On 10/27/2024 at 4:38 PM, Wilbur said:

I don't mind starting TJ, but you are right.  Gotta get Hobie in the net.  And at some point portal goalie has to stop.

In a series like this Berry should have started Hobie on Saturday especially at home. TJ was fine on Friday but who wouldn't be with a 5-goal cushion after one. If Hobie doesn't get a few starts in the next month or so he might start looking at heading someplace where he gets to play, improve, and show how good he actually is. 

In general, I didn't think TJ made any saves that he wasn't supposed to on Saturday and that second PP goal from the point he should have had. Not screened at all. 

As you said transfer goalie crap needs to stop and develop or own goalies but hey you have to play in a game to develop.  

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9 minutes ago, Stack said:

In a series like this Berry should have started Hobie on Saturday especially at home. TJ was fine on Friday but who wouldn't be with a 5-goal cushion after one. If Hobie doesn't get a few starts in the next month or so he might start looking at heading someplace where he gets to play, improve, and show how good he actually is. 

In general, I didn't think TJ made any saves that he wasn't supposed to on Saturday and that second PP goal from the point he should have had. Not screened at all. 

As you said transfer goalie crap needs to stop and develop or own goalies but hey you have to play in a game to develop.  

Why? I feel like the better goalie should play. Are we developing goalies differently than any other program in the NCAA? I don't really get why it's a big deal to get a good goalie every season. If Hobie earns his ice, he should play. 

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Return of the analytics!!  Argghh!!  ;) :crazy::whistling:

https://www.grandforksherald.com/sports/und-hockey/unds-five-on-five-play-a-positive-early-this-season

Quote

UND gave up three special teams goals Saturday night in a 4-3 loss to Boston University in Ralph Engelstad Arena. It spoiled a strong night at even strength for the Fighting Hawks.

Analytics highlighted it.

Even strength expected goals: 2.28-1 UND.
Even strength shot attempts: 53-38 UND.
Even strength shot attempts from the slot: 19-8 UND.
Even strength odd-man rushes: 7-3 UND.
Even strength offensive zone possession time: 6:06-3:33 UND.

Also, some faceoff stats:

Quote
  • UND forward Jake Schmaltz went 27-9 in the faceoff dot against Boston University and is now at 56-24 (70 percent) for the season. Cameron Berg was 12-2 in the series finale.

 

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3 hours ago, brianvf said:

Return of the analytics!!  Argghh!!  :wink::crazy::whistling:

 

2 hours ago, siouxforce19 said:

BU has a stats blog and they posted all about their xG stats and I laughed based on everyone here who hates that stat :lol:

So in the land of unicorns and Pixie dust did UND then sweep BU this past weekend? :tinfoilhat:

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On 10/26/2024 at 9:43 PM, siouxforce19 said:

This is our second series this season. Could we at least try to have some patience with this team? 

I hear that every year and it’s the same result. Other teams don’t seem to have a problem when new players are brought in, why are we different? 

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