Far too early, but what the hell...Bracketology

[InHeavenThereIsNoBeer]

34 minutes ago, hky said:

Moy's Valentine version of Bracketology, Sioux Falls regional:

#14 Northeastern vs. #4 Denver;  #12 UND vs. #5 Minnesota State Mankota

 

Yikes.

 

If there's one thing I learned about Northeastern, it's that you don't want to play them in a regional when they're on a hot streak....

[brianvf]

2 hours ago, InHeavenThereIsNoBeer said:

If there's one thing I learned about Northeastern, it's that you don't want to play them in a regional when they're on a hot streak....

Especially if they score early.  Man, hard to come back from that.

[siouxfaninseattle]

I have a buddy that is a Northeastern fan. He and all the Northeastern fans were certain that they would beat UND in 2016. Didn't quite work out how they thought it would.

[InHeavenThereIsNoBeer]

12 minutes ago, siouxfaninseattle said:

I have a buddy that is a Northeastern fan. He and all the Northeastern fans were certain that they would beat UND in 2016. Didn't quite work out how they thought it would.

 

[siouxstudent]

1 hour ago, brianvf said:

Especially if they score early.  Man, hard to come back from that.

Im sure they would make light work of Denver...

[GoalieMask]

It's goofy as heck this week so try to follow Moy's logic.  Personally, I'd rather see the Gophers in UND's regional than DU.

http://www.uscho.com/2018/02/21/bracketology-might-see-michigan-go-worcester-minnesota-duluth-bridgeport/

[siouxfan512]

10 minutes ago, GoalieMask said:

It's goofy as heck this week so try to follow Moy's logic.  Personally, I'd rather see the Gophers in UND's regional than DU.

http://www.uscho.com/2018/02/21/bracketology-might-see-michigan-go-worcester-minnesota-duluth-bridgeport/

I just can't decide which opposing whiny Head Coach I'd rather see cry.

[Pump It Up]

7 minutes ago, GoalieMask said:

It's goofy as heck this week so try to follow Moy's logic.  Personally, I'd rather see the Gophers in UND's regional than DU.

http://www.uscho.com/2018/02/21/bracketology-might-see-michigan-go-worcester-minnesota-duluth-bridgeport/

With how mucked up it is, I tend to think they'd throw out the Handbook and go with something similar to what Moy has.  With no one west of the Chesapeake Bay other than UND wanting to host, it's going to be a mess.

[BarnWinterSportsEngelstad]

29 minutes ago, siouxfan512 said:

I just can't decide which opposing whiny Head Coach I'd rather see cry.

How about making them both whine/cry? That would be a great regional in Sioux County = Sioux Falls, full of UND fans. 

Really, at this point, what do we have to lose? 

We soooo need to get there!

[GoalieMask]

I'm reminded a lot about the 2014 season as follow along this journey on the bubble.  Just getting in was a victory that year.  0% expectations as the #4 seed....then they kick in the door and make it to Philly.   That was fun.

2011, 2015, 2016 were stressors because they were supposed to advance.  Don't get me wrong, I loved all three, it's just neat when the underdog advances and especially when the underdog wears green.

[Goon]

4 hours ago, GoalieMask said:

It's goofy as heck this week so try to follow Moy's logic.  Personally, I'd rather see the Gophers in UND's regional than DU.

http://www.uscho.com/2018/02/21/bracketology-might-see-michigan-go-worcester-minnesota-duluth-bridgeport/

I could see DU losing to NU. They’re not world beaters. 

[petey23]

Well with the NCHC moving into their last weekend of regular season play and everyone else moving into their tournament playoffs, the current pairwise is a mess.

Going to take some tough decisions by the committee to keep everyone happy with this set-up.

My best guess at how it would look. Had to move SCSU out of Sioux Falls to avoid conference match-up with tournament host team North Dakota. Since SCSU is the #1 seed and has to get on a plane, distance does not matter. I moved them to Bridgeport so they get the lowest ranked team. Since Penn St. is also a host team and a 4 seed currently, Notre Dame cannot play here so they are moved to Sioux Falls since they are also getting on a plane no matter where they go. Cornell is the 3 seed so they stay out East. I also swapped Providence and Northeastern for attendance reasons although not a huge factor as far as travel for either school goes. I could see them flipping the SCSU/Mercyhurst game with the Cornell/BC game but then you are taking BC out of Boston. If you just flip SCSU and Cornell you are making the #1 overall play BC in Boston.

Sioux Falls, SD
2-Notre Dame* vs. 14-UND
8-UMD vs. 9-Minnesota

Allentown, PA
4- Mankato St.* vs. 13-Penn State
7-Clarkson vs. 10-Michigan

Bridgeport, CT
1-SCSU* vs. 22-Mercyhurst*
6-Ohio St. Vs. 12-Providence

Worcester, MA
3-Cornell* vs. 15-B.C.*
5-Denver vs. 11-Northeastern

Teams on the bubble
15-Nebraska-Omaha
17-Northern Michigan
18-Bowling Green
19-Union College
20-Western Michigan
21-Boston U

 

[franchise]

Notre Dame hasn't impressed me, so I'd be ok with this

[UNDColorado]

29 minutes ago, franchise said:

Notre Dame hasn't impressed me, so I'd be ok with this

Heck, I'd be okay just making the tournament at this point!

[GoalieMask]

16 hours ago, petey23 said:

Sioux Falls, SD
2-Notre Dame* vs. 14-UND
8-UMD vs. 9-Minnesota

Allentown, PA
4- Mankato St.* vs. 13-Penn State
7-Clarkson vs. 10-Michigan

Bridgeport, CT
1-SCSU* vs. 22-Mercyhurst*
6-Ohio St. Vs. 12-Providence

Worcester, MA
3-Cornell* vs. 15-B.C.*
5-Denver vs. 11-Northeastern

Teams on the bubble
15-Nebraska-Omaha
17-Northern Michigan
18-Bowling Green
19-Union College
20-Western Michigan
21-Boston U

 

I think if Penn State is out altogether they will send Notre Dame to Allentown and maybe Mankato to Sioux Falls vs UND.

strange that if the Gophers lose this weekend they will have a three week break before they play in NCAAs.   One week rest is ok but they might want to consider and exhibition vs. DeVry University in the meantime.

A split for UND this weekend, meanwhile, bumps them up to 12 or 13.  

[franchise]

2 hours ago, UNDColorado said:

Heck, I'd be okay just making the tournament at this point!

That was going to be my post, but I was being optimistic

[InHeavenThereIsNoBeer]

1 hour ago, GoalieMask said:

A split for UND this weekend, meanwhile, bumps them up to 12 or 13.  

Most likely is that they stay at #14 with a split. https://collegehockeyranked.com/forecast/pwrchart/north-dakota/oneweek/

Even if they sweep SCSU somehow it looks like they'd be #11 or #12. In  any scenario, I'd think they still have to get to the X or their season is likely over.

It's setting up a lot like 2014....fingers crossed 

[franchise]

8 minutes ago, InHeavenThereIsNoBeer said:

Most likely is that they stay at #14 with a split. https://collegehockeyranked.com/forecast/pwrchart/north-dakota/oneweek/

Even if they sweep SCSU somehow it looks like they'd be #11 or #12. In  any scenario, I'd think they still have to get to the X or their season is likely over.

It's setting up a lot like 2014....fingers crossed 

I had them 15, if swept.  At 14 with a split or win/tie.  Up to 12 with a sweep and climbing to 11 if Michigan loses one.

[petey23]

3 hours ago, GoalieMask said:

I think if Penn State is out altogether they will send Notre Dame to Allentown and maybe Mankato to Sioux Falls vs UND.

strange that if the Gophers lose this weekend they will have a three week break before they play in NCAAs.   One week rest is ok but they might want to consider and exhibition vs. DeVry University in the meantime.

A split for UND this weekend, meanwhile, bumps them up to 12 or 13.  

agree. that is why it is a mess this week.

[AJS]

Of course if they don't make it, UND will only have themselves to blame, but over the last two weekends, the results for teams around UND couldn't have been worse. Still can't believe the results in the Big 10 conference.

[sprig]

Schloss says we lose tiebreakers to both wmu and Omaha if we end up tied. Don't believe that's right as we swept wmu???

[iluvdebbies]

15 minutes ago, sprig said:

Schloss says we lose tiebreakers to both wmu and Omaha if we end up tied. Don't believe that's right as we swept wmu???

He's right. Since they played only the one series against WMU...... conference wins is the first tie breaker.

[sprig]

1 minute ago, iluvdebbies said:

He's right. Since they played only the one series against WMU...... conference wins is the first tie breaker.

 Thought he should know,  obviously i didn't know the  one series tiebreaker rule

[brianvf]

Schloss had a telling stat in his weekend rewind about how UND has gone 2-3-1 in the last 3 weekends against CC (5th), UNO (7th), and Miami (8th).
That's the season right there.  Those are the games that you need to win and this second half was really setup well for a good run...they just botched it.

Imagine if they went 4-2 in that stretch how much better they'd be situated in both NCHC and PWR.
Those are the things they can look back on when they're hitting the golf course after the 1st round NCHC series.

[BarnWinterSportsEngelstad]

On 2/26/2018 at 4:34 PM, brianvf said:

Schloss had a telling stat in his weekend rewind about how UND has gone 2-3-1 in the last 3 weekends against CC (5th), UNO (7th), and Miami (8th).
That's the season right there.  Those are the games that you need to win and this second half was really setup well for a good run...they just botched it.

Imagine if they went 4-2 in that stretch how much better they'd be situated in both NCHC and PWR.
Those are the things they can look back on when they're hitting the golf course after the 1st round NCHC series.

Three NCHC teams are tied just barely below us, and we earned playoff home ice (with a NCAA loss & tie) for a 16th season in a row. Might need an ink cop on this post?

For the way this season has played out, right now there is a part of me, that kind of feels like, I'd be satisfied with us just making it to Sioux Falls, so that our NCAA streak continues.      -----------     And, then of coarse, if we make the NCAAs, I'd be automatically regrouping, and showing up in SD. 

This next game is huge. With a Friday loss, our odds really go down being we are 15th in the PairWise. A sweep in GF is almost a must, if we are to slip once at the X.

Edited March 6, 2018 by BarnWinterSportsEngelstad
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