2025-26 University of North Dakota Hockey Season

[SJHovey]

2 hours ago, tnt said:

Other than what happens in postseason, this weekends games against #12 Connecticut are the only games they will be playing with teams within the bubble, so they can’t afford to lose to anyone.  Unlike the NCHC and Big Ten, the only team that could really move the needle for them is Providence, so they may need to practically run the table, and I don’t know if that gets them inside top 10.

The CHN customizer puts them at #8 if they run the table in the regular season games.

[ND_Texan]

6 minutes ago, SJHovey said:

The CHN customizer puts them at #8 if they run the table in the regular season games.

Those odds are about the same as me hooking up with Sydney Sweeney.

[tnt]

6 minutes ago, SJHovey said:

The CHN customizer puts them at #8 if they run the table in the regular season games.

So they would supplant Denver at 8?  Doesn’t Denver have something to say about that?

[nodakgirl93]

7 minutes ago, SJHovey said:

The CHN customizer puts them at #8 if they run the table in the regular season games.

The other games played by other teams should have an affect though. BC recently lost to Vermont too.

[burd]

27 minutes ago, tnt said:

So they would supplant Denver at 8?  Doesn’t Denver have something to say about that?

You think east coast bias is something only humans have?

[skateshattrick]

28 minutes ago, ND_Texan said:

Those odds are about the same as me hooking up with Sydney Sweeney.

No offense, but your odds are 0%. 

[SJHovey]

I think the way the customizer works is that it assumes the outcomes of all of the other unplayed games (where I don't put in the exact outcome) and makes those assumptions based upon KRACH or maybe a monte carlo simulation of some sort.  That's not to say that if BC ran the table they would absolutely be #8.  It's just that #8 is the most likely spot if they run the table in the regular season.

I've personally played around with it during the second half of this season and at least on a week to week basis, it's pretty good about predicting where a team will end up depending upon that weekend's games.

[SJHovey]

The other thing to remember is that there is a bonus that comes with beating any team with a 51 or higher in the NPI.  Every single one of BC's final six games are against teams at or higher than 51, so I disagree with the idea that their remaining games won't really "move the needle" much.  Also, three of them are on the road.

Do I expect BC to run the table?  No.  But I think they'll win enough of them that combined with any wins in the HE playoffs, will be enough to jump them to the #9-11 spot as I hypothesized.