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2020 Dumpster Fire (Enter at your own risk)


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Just now, UND1983 said:

Minnesota has 73,966 deaths to go to reach the fear-based prediction that their super-smart Governor laid out for everyone.  

he was relying on the data available per the science and that number was based on if we did nothing to mitigate the spread.   I know that doesn't fit your narrative but at least be fair and acknowledge that.

It is really just a math thing.  R0 has been estimated at 2 to 2.5 if no mitigation.  Really trying to lower that number and we have in MN.  It has drastically been reduced.  It also isn't over yet.

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Just now, Siouxperman8 said:

he was relying on the data available per the science and that number was based on if we did nothing to mitigate the spread.   I know that doesn't fit your narrative but at least be fair and acknowledge that.

It is really just a math thing.  R0 has been estimated at 2 to 2.5 if no mitigation.  Really trying to lower that number and we have in MN.  It has drastically been reduced.  It also isn't over yet.

Thank you.  Why would he even waste his f'n time saying something that isn't going to happen.....other than to promote fear and spread fear porn?  Of course actions are going to be taken, medications are going to be developed, and PPE is going to spread to people/workers.  Just like every other time in American history.  

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9 minutes ago, southpaw said:

Shh... we have a "medical expert" posting this morning.

Oh wait, that's right @keikla stopped posting in these threads.

Tell your sister we all appreciate her efforts.

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3 minutes ago, UND1983 said:

Thank you.  Why would he even waste his f'n time saying something that isn't going to happen.....other than to promote fear and spread fear porn?  Of course actions are going to be taken, medications are going to be developed, and PPE is going to spread to people/workers.  Just like every other time in American history.  

Again - those weren't his numbers.   They are based on science from the experts on what could happen if we did nothing.  It is a way to lay out your case to explain why you are taking the actions you are taking.  

I will continue to take my information from epidemiologists and other experts in the field vs. a person on a message board bitching because not enough people have died.   

 

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6 minutes ago, UND1983 said:

I could say that UND hockey is going to get beat 21-0 in hockey by Bemidji if they don't put in a goaltender to try to slow down the Beaver attack.  But they probably will.  

Yes.  So we take measures to prevent that.  You are making my point in that doing nothing to mitigate the spread would be like playing without a goalie.  We are on the same page there.

 

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Just now, Siouxperman8 said:

Yes.  So we take measures to prevent that.  You are making my point in that doing nothing to mitigate the spread would be like playing without a goalie.  We are on the same page there.

 

Agreed.  

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3 minutes ago, Siouxperman8 said:

Again - those weren't his numbers.   They are based on science from the experts on what could happen if we did nothing.  It is a way to lay out your case to explain why you are taking the actions you are taking.  

I will continue to take my information from epidemiologists and other experts in the field vs. a person on a message board bitching because not enough people have died.   

 

The whole problem is that the experts largely have no clue.  They are taking their best guess, but obviously those best guesses are colored depending on many factors.

For example, NY is dramatically below their "best case" projections, and those projections factored in full mitigation.  I suspect MN is the same.  Let's just hope that the projections continue to be on the high side.

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1 minute ago, Walsh Hall said:

The whole problem is that the experts largely have no clue.  They are taking their best guess, but obviously those best guesses are colored depending on many factors.

For example, NY is dramatically below their "best case" projections, and those projections factored in full mitigation.  I suspect MN is the same.  Let's just hope that the projections continue to be on the high side.

For sure.   I expect we normally prepare for the worst and hope for the best when it comes to health concerns.

I am tapping out on this thread again.  I try to stay away but it sucks me in every once in a while.  Sorry for posting.

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Just now, Walsh Hall said:

The whole problem is that the experts largely have no clue.  They are taking their best guess, but obviously those best guesses are colored depending on many factors.

For example, NY is dramatically below their "best case" projections, and those projections factored in full mitigation.  I suspect MN is the same.  Let's just hope that the projections continue to be on the high side.

Real data has never matched the projected numbers from models from day one. So if the number continually come in below "best case" projections, which they have at almost every turn, how long does this lockdown continue?

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3 minutes ago, Oxbow6 said:

Real data has never matched the projected numbers from models from day one. So if the number continually come in below "best case" projections, which they have at almost every turn, how long does this lockdown continue?

Ideally?  At this point, stay the current course until April 27th.  April 27 - June 1 exercise social distancing.  Limited seating at restaurants, etc....  June 1, 2020 Open for business while continuing to use common sense.

The Twins better be playing home games by July 9th so I can get my UND hat...

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  • UNDBIZ changed the title to 5G Corona (Enter at your own risk)
  • UNDBIZ unlocked this topic

Since everyone likes projections......500x as many people will be unemployed from this crisis than those that died from it. Not that that matters.

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2 hours ago, Oxbow6 said:

Since everyone likes projections......500x as many people will be unemployed from this crisis than those that died from it. Not that that matters.

Add me to the list of unemployed as of noon yesterday.  

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