petey23 Posted January 24, 2018 Author Posted January 24, 2018 1 hour ago, franchise said: Is it still too far out to have any kind of idea how many wins we need to be in decent position? Obviously a lot of factors can play in, but... Obviously winning takes care of everything. 10 regular season games 2-3 playoff games 2 conference tournament games 9 wins would be a lock I think. 8 wins would be fairly safe win 7 of 13(not make St. Paul) and it could get interesting. If you look at teams behind us, most will have problems flipping comparisons against us while we could flip a couple of those in front of us. #12 North Dakota — comparisons won: 48 Legend for comparisons: Wins the comparison Loses the comparison Ties the comparison No comparison Common Opponents PWR Team PWC RPI Sum of Win% Record Head to Head 1t Notre Dame 0-2 .5435* — .6049* 2.250 — 2.500 4-3-1 — 6-3-1 0-0-0 1t Cornell 1-1 .5435* — .5977* 1.750 — 1.500 3-0-1 — 2-1-0 0-0-0 3 St. Cloud State 0-3 .5435* — .5941 3.000 — 4.000 6-6-0 — 8-4-0 0-1-1 4t Clarkson 0-1 .5435* — .5864* 2.750 — 2.750 5-2-1 — 5-2-1 0-0-0 4t Denver 1-3 .5435* — .5797 3.000 — 4.000 5-5-2 — 7-3-2 1-1-0 6 Minnesota State 0-2 .5435* — .5726* 1.750 — 3.000 2-3-3 — 6-2-0 0-0-0 7 Ohio State 0-2 .5435* — .5704 1.250 — 1.500 2-1-1 — 3-1-0 0-0-0 8 Western Michigan 2-2 .5435* — .5479 2.500 — 4.000 4-6-2 — 8-4-0 2-0-0 9t Minnesota 1-3 .5435* — .5461 1.250 — 2.000 1-4-3 — 3-3-0 1-1-0 9t Providence 0-2 .5435* — .5454 1.750 — 2.000 3-0-1 — 3-0-0 0-0-0 11 Minnesota-Duluth 1-3 .5435* — .5451 4.750 — 3.750 8-5-3 — 6-8-1 0-2-0 12 North Dakota 13 Northeastern 1-0 .5435* — .5405 0.000 — 0.000 0-0-0 — 0-0-0 0-0-0 14 Nebraska-Omaha 3-1 .5435* — .5393 3.250 — 3.000 5-6-3 — 6-8-0 1-1-0 15 Michigan 2-0 .5435* — .5389 2.250 — 2.125 4-1-1 — 4-1-2 0-0-0 16 Penn State 1-0 .5435* — .5356 2.250 — 2.250 4-1-1 — 3-1-1 0-0-0 17t Boston College 2-0 .5435* — .5261 1.500 — 0.000 2-2-2 — 0-4-0 0-0-0 17t Harvard 1-1 .5435* — .5250 1.750 — 2.000 3-2-1 — 2-2-0 0-0-0 19 Northern Michigan 2-0 .5435* — .5249 2.000 — 1.000 3-1-2 — 1-3-2 0-0-0 20t Bowling Green 2-0 .5435* — .5245 3.250 — 2.000 5-0-3 — 3-3-2 0-0-0 20t Wisconsin 3-0 .5435* — .5212 1.500 — 1.000 3-1-0 — 2-2-0 1-0-1 22t Bemidji State 2-1 .5435* — .5188 0.750 — 1.750 1-2-1 — 3-0-1 1-0-1 22t Miami 3-0 .5435* — .5185 2.500 — 2.000 5-5-0 — 4-6-0 1-0-1 24 Boston University 1-1 .5435* — .5110 0.750 — 1.000 1-2-1 — 1-1-0 0-0-0 25 Maine 2-0 .5435* — .5105 0.750 — 0.500 1-2-1 — 1-3-0 0-0-0 26 Colorado College 3-1 .5435* — .5093 3.750 — 3.000 6-5-3 — 5-7-2 1-1-0 1 Quote
chicofelipe Posted January 24, 2018 Posted January 24, 2018 5 minutes ago, chicofelipe said: Jim Dahl is the best source for this information. https://collegehockeyranked.com/forecast/pwrbywins/ How to read this. If we win 7 out of the last 10 scheduled games we can't drop below 12 in PWR so we should be safe to make the tournament. Quote
franchise Posted January 24, 2018 Posted January 24, 2018 30 minutes ago, chicofelipe said: How to read this. If we win 7 out of the last 10 scheduled games we can't drop below 12 in PWR so we should be safe to make the tournament. Can't say I feel good about getting 7 3 Quote
chicofelipe Posted January 24, 2018 Posted January 24, 2018 29 minutes ago, franchise said: Can't say I feel good about getting 7 Well as few as 4 out of the last 10 could put us at #12, if they are the right 4. Quote
siouxforce19 Posted January 24, 2018 Posted January 24, 2018 44 minutes ago, chicofelipe said: Well as few as 4 out of the last 10 could put us at #12, if they are the right 4. Splitting every remaining series gets us to 5. Maybe I’m optimistic about us sweeping CC, Omaha, or Miami though... (not all of them, but I think we sweep at least one of them) 1 Quote
stoneySIOUX Posted January 24, 2018 Posted January 24, 2018 3 hours ago, franchise said: Can't say I feel good about getting 7 Getting 7 makes us a lock, as I'm reading that. Still can get in with decent probability at 6 and 5 wins. I know what you're saying, though 1 Quote
franchise Posted January 24, 2018 Posted January 24, 2018 12 minutes ago, stoneySIOUX said: Getting 7 makes us a lock, as I'm reading that. Still can get in with decent probability at 6 and 5 wins. I know what you're saying, though It's much more fun during the years we are calculating how to get a 1 seed 3 Quote
UNDBIZ Posted January 24, 2018 Posted January 24, 2018 14 minutes ago, franchise said: It's much more fun during the years we are calculating how to get a 1 seed Still possible. Quote
stoneySIOUX Posted January 24, 2018 Posted January 24, 2018 27 minutes ago, franchise said: It's much more fun during the years we are calculating how to get a 1 seed Haha agreed. But, like Biz just said, it's still possible. We've seen it from this team! Quote
franchise Posted January 25, 2018 Posted January 25, 2018 2 hours ago, UNDBIZ said: Still possible. Not according to the chart Quote
siouxforce19 Posted January 25, 2018 Posted January 25, 2018 5 minutes ago, franchise said: Not according to the chart What chart are you looking at? 9 or 10 wins gets us a 1 seed. 1 Quote
franchise Posted January 25, 2018 Posted January 25, 2018 11 minutes ago, siouxforce19 said: What chart are you looking at? 9 or 10 wins gets us a 1 seed. My bad. Looked too fast and didn't comprehend that 1-4 were 1 seeds. Was looking that we couldn't get the top seed. Long day I guess Quote
siouxforce19 Posted January 25, 2018 Posted January 25, 2018 Just now, franchise said: My bad. Looked too fast and didn't comprehend that 1-4 were 1 seeds. Was looking that we couldn't get the top seed. Long day I guess Yeah I was wondering if that’s what you were thinking, but I didn’t know if you were referring to A 1 seed or the overall 1 seed. Quote
fightingsioux4life Posted January 25, 2018 Posted January 25, 2018 18 hours ago, stoneySIOUX said: Getting 7 makes us a lock, as I'm reading that. Still can get in with decent probability at 6 and 5 wins. I know what you're saying, though Maybe we'll just have to win the NCHC tournament? #unfinishedbusiness Quote
cberkas Posted January 25, 2018 Posted January 25, 2018 19 minutes ago, fightingsioux4life said: Maybe we'll just have to win the NCHC tournament? #unfinishedbusiness History says that UND should win it this year. 1 Quote
fightingsioux4life Posted January 25, 2018 Posted January 25, 2018 3 minutes ago, cberkas said: History says that UND should win it this year. It is the one title that has eluded us since we joined the NCHC. Quote
stoneySIOUX Posted January 25, 2018 Posted January 25, 2018 2 hours ago, cberkas said: History says that UND should win it this year. 2 hours ago, fightingsioux4life said: It is the one title that has eluded us since we joined the NCHC. I think he's alluding to the fact that the previous year's loser of the title game won the title the next year. Right, cberkas? Quote
cberkas Posted January 25, 2018 Posted January 25, 2018 1 hour ago, stoneySIOUX said: I think he's alluding to the fact that the previous year's loser of the title game won the title the next year. Right, cberkas? You are right. Quote
petey23 Posted January 29, 2018 Author Posted January 29, 2018 Current take..... Allentown, PA 1-Notre Dame* vs. 31-Canisius* 8-UNO vs. 9-Providence Bridgeport, CT 2-Cornell* vs. 20-BC* 7-Mankato vs. 10-UMD Sioux Falls, SD 3-SCSU vs. 18-NMU* 6-Ohio St. vs. 12-UND Worcester, MA 4-Clarkson vs. 13-WMU 5-Denver* vs. 11-Minnesota Last 4 out 14-Northeastern 15-Penn St. 16-Michigan 17-Bowling Green *--leading conference so currently assigning auto-bid 3 Quote
brianvf Posted January 29, 2018 Posted January 29, 2018 I would take that bracket for UND. Some decent matchups there...could make for some surprises. Quote
The Sicatoka Posted January 29, 2018 Posted January 29, 2018 I'm far more interested in just getting in at this point. Until I saw the last four outcomes I would not have believed Gardner being out would have that large of an impact. And then toss in no Smith and no Jones and no Bast on Saturday. I'm impressed they got the tie. All that said, back to my key point: just getting in. Jim Dahl's "how many wins to finish at X in PWR" was just updated. Seems UND must essentially go "500" in the last eight to say PWR14 or higher. Actually, I'd rather see them go 5-3 and assure no lower than PWR12 at season's end. Why? College hockey is pretty "flat" (even) this year; a couple surprise tourney-winner-autobids won't surprise me this year. 1 Quote
streetsahead Posted February 7, 2018 Posted February 7, 2018 Moy's latest with a tantalizing West Regional: http://www.uscho.com/2018/02/07/bracketology-no-new-teams-matchups-starting-get-interesting/ We'll likely end up with Corrnell, Canisius and Clarkson or something but it's fun to dream. Quote
cowboys5xsbs Posted February 14, 2018 Posted February 14, 2018 On 2/7/2018 at 9:17 AM, streetsahead said: Moy's latest with a tantalizing West Regional: http://www.uscho.com/2018/02/07/bracketology-no-new-teams-matchups-starting-get-interesting/ We'll likely end up with Corrnell, Canisius and Clarkson or something but it's fun to dream. That regional would be insanely fun Quote
hky Posted February 14, 2018 Posted February 14, 2018 Moy's Valentine version of Bracketology, Sioux Falls regional: #14 Northeastern vs. #4 Denver; #12 UND vs. #5 Minnesota State Mankota Yikes. Quote
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