NCAA seeding

[UND69er]

Some "experts" showing UND in Sioux Falls w UMD on the other side of that bracket. Don't like having to play them again. Also, would UND be ranked #1 or 2 wo the stupid loss to the Goophers?

[SJHovey]

40 minutes ago, UND69er said:

Some "experts" showing UND in Sioux Falls w UMD on the other side of that bracket. Don't like having to play them again. Also, would UND be ranked #1 or 2 wo the stupid loss to the Goophers?

We would still be #3, but our NPI would be a lot closer to Michigan and MSU.  As it is now, we have pretty much no chance to move higher than #3

[InHeavenThereIsNoBeer]

17 minutes ago, SJHovey said:

We would still be #3, but our NPI would be a lot closer to Michigan and MSU.  As it is now, we have pretty much no chance to move higher than #3

That's not true.

We move up to #1 in 7% of remaining scenarios

We move up to #2 in 21% of remaining scenarios. 

We stay at #3 in 32% of remaining scenarios.

We drop to #4 in 25% of remaining scenarios. 

Keep in mind this doesn't even factor in conference tournament play so that adds even more opportunities to move up if we run the table there.

 

[The Sicatoka]

I can look at IHTINB's table (objective analytics), but looking at bracketology (subjective) this far out is just noise to me. Sorry. YMMV. 

[SJHovey]

1 hour ago, InHeavenThereIsNoBeer said:

That's not true.

We move up to #1 in 7% of remaining scenarios

We move up to #2 in 21% of remaining scenarios. 

We stay at #3 in 32% of remaining scenarios.

We drop to #4 in 25% of remaining scenarios. 

Keep in mind this doesn't even factor in conference tournament play so that adds even more opportunities to move up if we run the table there.

 

There is a big gap in NPI points between us and #2 Michigan (1.46 points).

That's the same gap as between #8 Denver and #15 Wisconsin.

[nodakvindy]

24 minutes ago, SJHovey said:

There is a big gap in NPI points between us and #2 Michigan (1.46 points).

That's the same gap as between #8 Denver and #15 Wisconsin.

A sweep of western would go a long way in narrowing that gap. 

[Dustin]

Unless you're going to be the #1 overall seed and get the Atlantic Hockey champion, I don't see much difference between playing seeds 13-15.  Now maybe there's an "undeserving" bid stealer from, say, the CCHA, but even so, the likely candidates would be just below the bubble.

[atxsioux]

Think with the CHL adding depth to almost all of college hockey you're now typically going to have a lot of quality "4 seeds" outside of that 4 seed from Atlantic hockey.

That even would happen once in a while in past years, just think it will likely be the case pretty much every year now.

[InHeavenThereIsNoBeer]

2 hours ago, SJHovey said:

There is a big gap in NPI points between us and #2 Michigan (1.46 points).

That's the same gap as between #8 Denver and #15 Wisconsin.

Ok? Not sure how that changes the percentages shared 

[InHeavenThereIsNoBeer]

1 hour ago, Dustin said:

Unless you're going to be the #1 overall seed and get the Atlantic Hockey champion, I don't see much difference between playing seeds 13-15.  Now maybe there's an "undeserving" bid stealer from, say, the CCHA, but even so, the likely candidates would be just below the bubble.

Agreed and even if a team steals a bid in any other other leagues they’re coming into the ncaas hot and with confidence

[TNF]

1 hour ago, Dustin said:

Unless you're going to be the #1 overall seed and get the Atlantic Hockey champion, I don't see much difference between playing seeds 13-15.  Now maybe there's an "undeserving" bid stealer from, say, the CCHA, but even so, the likely candidates would be just below the bubble.

And in most scenarios heading to Sioux Falls for attendance reasons any way with Mich/Mich St going east/northeast. The only issue might be seeding wise if we should land with Denver and they have to be placed in Loveland. But even then the committee most likely would swap citing attendance. 

[90siouxfan]

I assume there is a scenario that drops us to fifth....  2nd seed in sioux falls?  What 1 seed would like that scenario?