The nonsense numbers and trends
Duke under coach K is 4-4 in national title games (but 0-3 when facing a 1)
Duke has won all their national titles under K in towns that end in apolis (Minneapolis in 1992 and 2001, Indinapolis in 1991 and 2010).
When two teams are meeting a second time in the season, the trend is that the team who won the first match up typically has won the second time around (Duke beat Wisconsin, in Wisconsin on December 2nd)
Bo Ryan is undefeated in national title games, (he won 4 at the d-3 level)
If Wisconsin wins tonight, they would have faced the toughest road to the championship a team could face (8 Oregon, 4 UNC, 2 Arizona, 1 Kentucky, 1 Duke)
Experience edge goes to Wisconsin, talent favors Duke.
Guard play favors Duke
Post play favors Wisconsin
Key matchup that decides who wins: Dekker vs Winslow
My prediction:
Wisconsin has all the tool to win this game, but so does Duke. When these two teams met in December, Duke was porous defensively and Wisconsin didn't have a full health team with Dekker still recovering. I think Duke's D and Winslow do just enough to get K his 5th.
Duke 74
Wisco 67
MOP: Winslow