Agreed. I think that they will finish either 4th or 5th.
4th-8th place is going to be a big cluster. You have UMD, SCSU, UW, UMN, and MTU all fighting for home ice. UMD has played 2 more games than SCSU, UW, and UMN, and 4 more games than MTU.
UW has by far the easiest remaining schedule of those 5 teams, as they don't have any more games left against UND, DU, or CC. MTU has the toughest schedule, as they still have to face CC and DU.
This weekend could provide some separation with those 5 teams, as UMD is playing OOC, SCSU plays Mankato, Tech plays CC, and UMN and UW square off.
I would rather the Sioux not have to face UMN, UW, or SCSU in the first round. I would feel more comfortable with them playing UAA, MSUM, MTU, or UMD.