Non-UND College Hockey 2025-26

[rochsioux]

Goal

[RedFrog]

Good goal ... Bentley wins.

[TwamleyShuffle]

Bentley wins game one. Chances of HC hosting regional are in doubt

[Godsmack]

So with two teams outside the top 16 winning in ECAC play, does that take away a spot for a bubble team? Or with a Dartmouth win, the bubble teams are all safe?

[ChetSteadman]

5 minutes ago, Godsmack said:

So with two teams outside the top 16 winning in ECAC play, does that take away a spot for a bubble team? Or with a Dartmouth win, the bubble teams are all safe?

It’s best of 3, so it’ll change yet.

 

[Godsmack]

As Megadeth once sang, who’s sweating bullets right now?

[fightingsioux4life]

Does Clarkson winning help us?

[cberkas]

2 minutes ago, fightingsioux4life said:

Does Clarkson winning help us?

After today the gap is .13

[cberkas]

Every time I see Powers now, I think he's the Barstool geography quiz guy and I can't unsee it.

[cberkas]

A lot of hockey this weekend with the conference tournaments and ACHA national tournament on Flo

[RedFrog]

2 minutes ago, Godsmack said:

So with two teams outside the top 16 winning in ECAC play, does that take away a spot for a bubble team? Or with a Dartmouth win, the bubble teams are all safe?

Here is my take (bubble spots are #13, #14, and #15 in NPI):

AHA:

Eliminates the NPI #16

ECAC:

Quinnipiac is a lock (Down 1-0 in best of 3 v Clarkson)

Cornell is a lock (Down 1-0 in best of 3 v Harvard)

Dartmouth is essentially a lock (Up 1-0 in best of 3 v Colgate)

Princeton is up on Union 1-0 in best of 3

If anyone other than Queue, Cornell or Dartmouth wins the ECAC, they take a bubble spot away.  Union has a slim chance to get in as an at large, but that would likely only be possible by winning the auto bid anyway.

NCHC:

All remaining teams are locks (UND, UMD, Denver and Western) and won't take any bubble spots.

B1G:

Michigan, Michigan State, and Penn State are locks and still alive.  Ohio State is the only one here who could steal a bubble spot.

Wisconsin is essentially in, but would be a team that could sweat with multiple conference upsets.

Hockey East:

Providence is the only lock.

UMass and UConn could get in if they get to the championship but don't win it ... but will likely need to win it to get in, which would also then put them in the top 15 of NPI.

Merrimack, BU, Northeastern, and BC would steal a bubble spot if they won the AQ.  

CCHA:

Augustana has the best chance of making it as an At Large ... Michigan Tech will need to win it to get in and would steal a bubble spot.  St. Thomas and Mankato need to get to the championship game to have a chance at an at large.

Conclusion:

There are essentially 12 locks (current NPI 1-12) leaving 3 bubble spots up for grabs (AHA takes one of the 4 remaining spots).  Out of those ranked 13-18 in the current NPI, current NPI #13 Augustana has the best chance of getting an at large without winning their conference tournament, but they would be sweating out the other conference tournament results leaving 2 bubble spots for the other five teams to battle over.

UMass (14), UConn (15) and BC (17) from Hockey East and St. Thomas (16) and Mankato (18) are 5 teams battling for those 2 spots.  14-18 are currently separated by only 0.328. 

After tomorrow we'll know who is still in the running from the CCHA, If St. Thomas and Mankato win, they along with Augustana would still be alive.  If either of them lose, their season will be over.

The Hockey East is only in their quarter finals and will have their semi finals and finals next weekend, so less will be decided.  Providence is the only one who can lose tomorrow and not have their season essentially ended.  UConn and/or UMass would still have life, but would need Providence to win Hockey East, Augustana win the CCHA, and for Ohio State to lose in the B1G.

[fightingsioux4life]

6 minutes ago, RedFrog said:

Here is my take (bubble spots are #13, #14, and #15 in NPI):

AHA:

Eliminates the NPI #16

ECAC:

Quinnipiac is a lock (Down 1-0 in best of 3 v Clarkson)

Cornell is a lock (Down 1-0 in best of 3 v Harvard)

Dartmouth is essentially a lock (Up 1-0 in best of 3 v Colgate)

Princeton is up on Union 1-0 in best of 3

If anyone other than Queue, Cornell or Dartmouth wins the ECAC, they take a bubble spot away.  Union has a slim chance to get in as an at large, but that would likely only be possible by winning the auto bid anyway.

NCHC:

All remaining teams are locks (UND, UMD, Denver and Western) and won't take any bubble spots.

B1G:

Michigan, Michigan State, and Penn State are locks and still alive.  Ohio State is the only one here who could steal a bubble spot.

Wisconsin is essentially in, but would be a team that could sweat with multiple conference upsets.

Hockey East:

Providence is the only lock.

UMass and UConn could get in if they get to the championship but don't win it ... but will likely need to win it to get in, which would also then put them in the top 15 of NPI.

Merrimack, BU, Northeastern, and BC would steal a bubble spot if they won the AQ.  

CCHA:

Augustana has the best chance of making it as an At Large ... Michigan Tech will need to win it to get in and would steal a bubble spot.  St. Thomas and Mankato need to get to the championship game to have a chance at an at large.

Conclusion:

There are essentially 12 locks (current NPI 1-12) leaving 3 bubble spots up for grabs (AHA takes one of the 4 remaining spots).  Out of those ranked 13-18 in the current NPI, current NPI #13 Augustana has the best chance of getting an at large without winning their conference tournament, but they would be sweating out the other conference tournament results leaving 2 bubble spots for the other five teams to battle over.

UMass (14), UConn (15) and BC (17) from Hockey East and St. Thomas (16) and Mankato (18) are 5 teams battling for those 2 spots.  14-18 are currently separated by only 0.328. 

After tomorrow we'll know who is still in the running from the CCHA, If St. Thomas and Mankato win, they along with Augustana would still be alive.  If either of them lose, their season will be over.

The Hockey East is only in their quarter finals and will have their semi finals and finals next weekend, so less will be decided.  Providence is the only one who can lose tomorrow and not have their season essentially ended.  UConn and/or UMass would still have life, but would need Providence to win Hockey East, Augustana win the CCHA, and for Ohio State to lose in the B1G.

Thanks for doing all that work breaking down all the numbers and scenarios for us.

A lot still up in the air.

[Dustin]

9 minutes ago, RedFrog said:

Here is my take (bubble spots are #13, #14, and #15 in NPI):

AHA:

Eliminates the NPI #16

ECAC:

Quinnipiac is a lock (Down 1-0 in best of 3 v Clarkson)

Cornell is a lock (Down 1-0 in best of 3 v Harvard)

Dartmouth is essentially a lock (Up 1-0 in best of 3 v Colgate)

Princeton is up on Union 1-0 in best of 3

If anyone other than Queue, Cornell or Dartmouth wins the ECAC, they take a bubble spot away.  Union has a slim chance to get in as an at large, but that would likely only be possible by winning the auto bid anyway.

NCHC:

All remaining teams are locks (UND, UMD, Denver and Western) and won't take any bubble spots.

B1G:

Michigan, Michigan State, and Penn State are locks and still alive.  Ohio State is the only one here who could steal a bubble spot.

Wisconsin is essentially in, but would be a team that could sweat with multiple conference upsets.

Hockey East:

Providence is the only lock.

UMass and UConn could get in if they get to the championship but don't win it ... but will likely need to win it to get in, which would also then put them in the top 15 of NPI.

Merrimack, BU, Northeastern, and BC would steal a bubble spot if they won the AQ.  

CCHA:

Augustana has the best chance of making it as an At Large ... Michigan Tech will need to win it to get in and would steal a bubble spot.  St. Thomas and Mankato need to get to the championship game to have a chance at an at large.

Conclusion:

There are essentially 12 locks (current NPI 1-12) leaving 3 bubble spots up for grabs (AHA takes one of the 4 remaining spots).  Out of those ranked 13-18 in the current NPI, current NPI #13 Augustana has the best chance of getting an at large without winning their conference tournament, but they would be sweating out the other conference tournament results leaving 2 bubble spots for the other five teams to battle over.

UMass (14), UConn (15) and BC (17) from Hockey East and St. Thomas (16) and Mankato (18) are 5 teams battling for those 2 spots.  14-18 are currently separated by only 0.328. 

After tomorrow we'll know who is still in the running from the CCHA, If St. Thomas and Mankato win, they along with Augustana would still be alive.  If either of them lose, their season will be over.

The Hockey East is only in their quarter finals and will have their semi finals and finals next weekend, so less will be decided.  Providence is the only one who can lose tomorrow and not have their season essentially ended.  UConn and/or UMass would still have life, but would need Providence to win Hockey East, Augustana win the CCHA, and for Ohio State to lose in the B1G.

love it.  Thanks for doing this.