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NCAA seeding

UND69er

By UND69er
in Men's Hockey

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Dustin Grand Master

Dustin

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, SiouxFan100 said:

When are the seedlings announced?

Sunday, March 22. After the conference championship games. 

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ND_Texan
ND_Texan

I have an idea. Could we quit the whining about ticket prices? It's cluttering up the site. Another idea: Start another topic called "Ticket prices" which most of us who want to discuss hockey ca

fightingsioux4life
fightingsioux4life

You can't sleep on any team in this tournament. Whomever we get matched up with is who we'll have to beat to advance. And I think this team is well built to beat anyone in their path.

AlphaMikeFoxtrot
AlphaMikeFoxtrot

Just a cursory glance at this forum would suggest the national tournament means exponentially more to fans than conference tournaments too. That doesn't fit his narrative though so he won't acknowledg

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brianvf Grand Master

brianvf

Posted
Posted
21 minutes ago, thUNDer said:

Thinking NC$$ will put us in SF with Duluth & Western in Loveland right. 

Looks like there's a 21% chance UMD is in SF with us.
44% chance they end up #5 and get paired with WMU.
35% chance they end up #8 and get paired with Mich.

Wilbur Grand Master

Wilbur

Posted
Posted
12 minutes ago, Dustin said:

So if I am understanding this correctly, with perfect bracket integrity, UND's first round opponent will be either St. Thomas, UMass, UConn, or Augustana?

Could be Minnesota State as well. 

Dustin Grand Master

Dustin

Posted
Posted
16 minutes ago, Wilbur said:

Could be Minnesota State as well. 

 

15 minutes ago, brianvf said:

Or BC. :crazy:

Because they could steal the #15 pairwise spot, is that what you're saying?  Otherwise, they are not in the #15 column.

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Dustin Grand Master

Dustin

Posted
Posted
Just now, Dustin said:

 

Because they could steal the #15 pairwise spot, is that what you're saying?  Otherwise, they are not in the #15 column.

Could be Ohio St., Princeton, or Merrimack, for that matter then, too.

jk Experienced

jk

Posted
Posted

Not sure on this, but I think Mankato and BC only get in if they win their league, but if they do that they also move up to 13 or 14, so UND wouldn't play them in any event.

Dustin Grand Master

Dustin

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, Dustin said:

Could be Ohio St., Princeton, or Merrimack, for that matter then, too.

Or Bentley, if Harvard or Clarkson win their conferences.

atxsioux Rising Star

atxsioux

Posted
Posted
8 hours ago, cberkas said:

The only integrity the committee cares about is 1 vs 16. 

If the team we end up getting paired with is hovering around 20 in the NPI compared to the next team above being 14 in the NPI I would think they’re more likely to keep us paired. Should increase the odds of it at least 

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ND_Texan Proficient

ND_Texan

Posted
Posted
9 hours ago, cberkas said:

The only integrity the committee cares about is 1 vs 16. 

100%. No chance the committee does it differently, regardless of regional location.

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ND_Texan Proficient

ND_Texan

Posted
Posted

Well we are locked into #2 ranking. Now just a question of who we play at #15. (Yes, it will be #15, and #1 will play #16) Also, means #7 will be in our regional, most likely Providence. I disagree with those who think the brackets will be rearranged for attendance and travel considerations. The committee should and will honor bracket/NPI rating integrity, otherwise why bother doing it. 

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ND_Texan Proficient

ND_Texan

Posted
Posted
13 hours ago, Scratch said:

Looks like we are very likely to be in Duluth’s bracket. God help our defensemen discover how to keep themselves between the puck carrier and the goal

I doubt it, unless they land at #7. But most likely they land at #5 or #6 and are out of the SF region.

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ND_Texan Proficient

ND_Texan

Posted
Posted
30 minutes ago, ND_Texan said:

Well we are locked into #2 ranking. Now just a question of who we play at #15. (Yes, it will be #15, and #1 will play #16) Also, means #7 will be in our regional, most likely Providence. I disagree with those who think the brackets will be rearranged for attendance and travel considerations. The committee should and will honor bracket/NPI rating integrity, otherwise why bother doing it. 

From the NPI site:

The NPI, represented here, is the official system for selecting AND SEEDING teams for the NCAA Tournament. 

petey23 Veteran

petey23

Posted
Posted
26 minutes ago, ND_Texan said:

I doubt it, unless they land at #7. But most likely they land at #5 or #6 and are out of the SF region.

UMD has zero chance of ending up 6th. If they beat Denver they will be #5, if they lose and Providence loses they will be #7 and if Providence wins they will likely be #8. So if we don't want them in our region they need to beat Denver

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brucespook Collaborator

brucespook

Posted
Posted
14 minutes ago, ND_Texan said:

From the NPI site:

The NPI, represented here, is the official system for selecting AND SEEDING teams for the NCAA Tournament. 

Right so we play 15 in Sioux Falls.  No brainer 

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ND_Texan Proficient

ND_Texan

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, petey23 said:

UMD has zero chance of ending up 6th. If they beat Denver they will be #5, if they lose and Providence loses they will be #7 and if Providence wins they will likely be #8. So if we don't want them in our region they need to beat Denver

Wrong. Providence isn't playing, they're done. UMD stays at #6 with a loss and moves to #5 with a win.

jk Experienced

jk

Posted
Posted
7 minutes ago, ND_Texan said:

Wrong. Providence isn't playing, they're done. UMD stays at #6 with a loss and moves to #5 with a win.

If you believe the NPI probability matrix, this is incorrect.  Duluth is 5 if they win, and 7 or 8 if they lose.  I don't know what results trigger the move between 7 and 8.

brianvf Grand Master

brianvf

Posted
Posted
9 minutes ago, ND_Texan said:

Wrong. Providence isn't playing, they're done. UMD stays at #6 with a loss and moves to #5 with a win.

According to Prob Matrix, UMD can only finish 5, 7, or 8. 

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ND_Texan Proficient

ND_Texan

Posted
Posted
22 minutes ago, brianvf said:

According to Prob Matrix, UMD can only finish 5, 7, or 8. 

Okay, I was zeroed in on Providence, who still is most likely to land at #7 (over 50% chance). Denver is at 0.5% chance of #7 and UMD is at 23% chance of #7. Got it. 

brianvf Grand Master

brianvf

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, ND_Texan said:

Okay, I was zeroed in on Providence, who still is most likely to land at #7 (over 50% chance). Denver is at 0.5% chance of #7 and UMD is at 23% chance of #7. Got it. 

Slight chance of Dartmouth or Cornell at #7 too. We'll see what happens next weekend!

fargosioux Enthusiast

fargosioux

Posted
Posted

We need to hope one of the lower-ranked ECAC or Hockey East teams (Clarkson, Princeton, Harvard, Merrimack) pulls off an upset and wins their conference tournament. If one of them do, that should be our opponent in Sioux Falls.

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