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Everything posted by CarpeRemote

  1. I understand your position but but hindsight is easy. All-in in January and much of February couldn’t have happened under any democratic government. In December and January we weren’t aware the CCP had discontinued flights from Wuhan to Shanghai and Beijing but yet allowed 10,000’s of of superspreaders to seed the USA and Europe. We didn’t know China went from a net exporter of PPE to importing at least 2 Billion of PPE late Nov through Feb. I’m not happy with the situation; my rear view glasses say the admin could have asked for a lockdown a tiny bit sooner but I’m not sure if that was truly possible without the WHO and Fauci. What I would have done differently was order a 100% nationwide lockdown for 30 days the day the WHO and CDC finally got off-center. But there were immediate constitutional arguments (and still are) I think Trump made flight-ban calls as early as made medical and economic sense. He was a maybe a little late on Europe, but NY was already seeded. It would have been nearly impossible politically to lock down business in January or February from a political, medical, or economic standpoint based on available information. Politically the pushback from both parties, unlikely bedfellows like corporate America, coffee shop owners, and plaintiff attorneys, would have made it impossible without better cover from the WHO and CDC. To the administration’s credit, in January with limited information they worked with Gilead and Regeneron from a regulatory standpoint fast-tracking drugs. They asked Honeywell to begin outfitting two medical mask factories, and Trump stopped Chinese flights. Based on what we know now, one week wouldn’t have mattered. Information is key to real time decisions and we lacked the info to ask for a Manhattan project for test kits in November and December. Our biotech industry is the best because there is profit involved. And there was no incentive in creating tests at that time so a Manhattan project was the only answer but the administration couldn’t have possibly pulled 10 Billion (or any dollar amount) out of the house or senate to fund a project with the private sector, or even for research hospitals. Dems would have pushed back for for political gain and Republicans would have refused for political and economic reasons. It’s the price we pay for being a Democratic Republic. Trump is not a king and I think he acted mostly appropriately in a complicated situation. It’s May and despite focused efforts, just now has the world's best Pharma industry and research hospitals been able to produce a likely game changer, an antigen test that can be read with Sofia machines already in place in primary care offices. Two weeks lead-time wouldn’t have changed things. The Sofia machine antibody test wasn’t as simple as ordering it done. It’s a $5 test and takes 5 minutes. it’s 85% accurate but it’s good enough to change how we test employees so they can work. It still needs to be done in an office but I assume their will be assembly line style testing (test an entire restaurant chain or manufacturer shift) at some point. That won’t happen overnight but now we have the tool. The most reliable test was in place pretty early but it’s expensive, takes a day or two to get results, and can’t be read in an office. It still can’t be mass produced or read in high volumes. It’s the best we still have and there was no way to make it available en mass even with another 3-4 weeks lead time. From someone who has been for an air-tight lockdown (early on) and for people to voluntarily wear masks now, (so we can protect people a little more and to get us all back to work), I’m not placing political blame on anyone except maybe de Blasio who’s hubris cost us dearly, but Imo nitpicking now is wasted energy. (typed this quickly on a phone so please overlook bad grammar and structure)
  2. Sorry, I’m not a good resource for that question, therefore can’t answer to “concurrently” in real time. Plasma only began last month as part of a study. Stay healthy, this will be part of your story forever.
  3. Expressing the extreme and calling it the norm is the poorest form of debate Dr. Scott Gottlieb Former FDA Commissioner. Member of White House Bio-defense Interagency Group. Grad NYU, Mount Sinai Fellow of American Enterprise Institute BOD Pfizer “Surgical masks” (non N95) “are very helpful in preventing the spread through droplets”. Twitter Also Gottlieb, ‘Masks help, they reduce the incremental load of transmission from droplets, the smaller load you get infected with the better the outcome’ CNBC interview If I’m a couple feet away from a Covid infected person at Lowe’s, Krogers, or the airport shuttle, and he sneezes droplets of spit, I’d prefer we are both wearing masks. Common sense People should wear even cloth masks CDC and the task force It's great for people in ND but the hospital I just walked out of had over 26 staff get infected, mostly before the ‘everyone wears mask policy’. The town has over 3,000 positives, about 90 deaths, and 428 in the ICU’s. If this research hospital wasn’t using their own produced antibody plasma things would be worse. The most hypocritical thing here is the guy leading the state’s social media rant for ‘social distancing and masks are an infringement on my liberty’, was in a local ICU when he died. (Fox news and local media) I acutely understand that the curve has been flattened, ICU’s for the most part are open, and the economy needs to open quickly. But still not everyone has antibody plasma, a well trained staff, and Remdesivir. Two counties over they had 28 ICU admissions and lost 14 patients. So is it really that big a deal to wear a mask right now?
  4. Probably would have been hard not to notice 45 reefers lined up behind Bellevue and Elmhurst.
  5. No. South Korea and Italy are valid sources, and examples of policies and actions that worked relatively well and didn’t work at all.
  6. Reconnecting. It’s counterintuitive but our town and neighborhood seems to be getting closer. The place is brimming with parents and kids playing in the yards. Constant dog walking, people saying hello as they pass on foot. The neighbors just put on a fireworks display. People have put messages in chalk art at the ends of their driveways, and stuffed animals hidden in trees and shrubs for kids to “hunt” as they walk by.
  7. I think the current line of thinking is calling your single old man neighbor who can barely walk his dog and offer to go to the drugstore. In the other case offering the people in their mid 80’s a few houses down to call if there is an immediate issue. Absurd right?
  8. Christmas and pandemics evidently bring out the best and worst of people. Called my kids to be sure they are helping out their neighbors; it appears if nothing else I raised them right.
  9. Ackman might have it right: We tried to level and shorten the curve by shutting colleges, but students and people in their 20’s and 30’s filled the bars, clubs, and in some cases the streets as though it’s eternal spring break (Hoboken NJ for example) Which in turn is moving the peak outward until summer and killing the economy in the meantime. He called for a nationwide 30 day remain in place and shutdown of everything except essentials. in 30 days the infection rate and existing cases would be near zero, then we’d be mostly open for business except international travel. Markets hate uncertainty; this reduces uncertainty. The markets know a prolonged halt is disastrous; this plan for the most part, shortens the length to 1 month I ran the idea by a physician involved with a county health Dept and he agrees the math works.
  10. Criticism of the past and assignment of blame are the easiest and oft least useful actions in a crisis; anyone can do it. Some stay fixated on it, rather than dig in and help. If you don’t mind switching gears from the courtroom to the foxhole, would you share specific actions you are taking to help the greater good? I'm not saying you aren’t, I’d just like to hear other ideas
  11. Heuristics are great for choosing socks and betting with other people’s chips
  12. Or we can tough it out 3 weeks and let science gather information. Deciding the socioeconomic future of a population should not be based on cognitive bias. Not when there’s no backsies.
  13. 31,000 girls between ages 18-22 on the OSU campus who have never seen a hockey player?
  14. Since we haven’t tested with scale we don’t know what the denominator is. So today‘s statistics are almost meaningless. Some states have tested less than 5 symptomatic individuals, mostly due to lack of resources. As of 5 days ago Ohio (population of 11.5 million) had performed 10 tests. Looking at the eastern map, WV is about the only state without reported infection, but they’ve run only 3 tests. With the newly available kits we will get a realistic view over the next month. It may be overblown but we don’t know, but as we know this is about rate of acceleration and early exhaustion of medical resources which can kill an economy (and people). The history of pandemics shows there are only small windows of opportunity. Not that big a deal to let a college extend spring break using Zoom technology, and let the traveling up to 6,000 international, plus vacationing domestic students, essentially put themselves on loose home confinement. We have a great hockey team. Keep working hard.
  15. Ohio State suspends in-person classes until at least March 30. 68,000 students
  16. True But any cancellation of attendance to sporting events are about the big picture, not the relatively few in attendance. This is about the rate of acceleration. If there is a rapid escalation nationwide, medical staffs are woefully under-equipped with respirators, masks, goggles hazmat suits, quarantine rooms, cleaning resources, and trained staff. The system could be quickly overwhelmed and life would get hard for everyone from both a healthcare and economic standpoint. We don’t even have the means to collect or test samples in large numbers yet. A million kits available isn’t the same as being able to collect and test a million samples. . If you have a fever most physician offices don’t allow you in the door. One positive patient might shut down the office. Fevers are now sent to the ER. ER’s are forced to send you home, if you are lucky you get a test. In a few weeks it may not be an option to be hospitalized with pneumonia. Each time a healthcare worker gets sick we are down a man. There Is a long list of weak links in the chain so we need to keep the rate of acceleration low. It’s fine for large numbers of a healthy demographic to put themselves at risk, until they contribute to a rapid nationwide spread and put everyone’s jobs and lives at risk. No economy can handle a prolonged shutdown. We get a handle on this early or not at all. This is bigger than individuals, sometimes in this country we all come together with self sacrifice for everyone’s sake. Men go to war to keep their people healthy and employed. Proactively trying not to spread a new virus is not a big a sacrifice. See the results of the 1957 and 1968 pandemics, knowing this virus might be a much tougher foe. Maybe a little caution is warranted.
  17. The warm ones for sure. Definitely Tampa or Miami where there are things to do.
  18. Yes, Tampa or Miami. If Miami it might take a few days to round up the team for the flight home.
  19. Anything after “Sioux” was going to suck for most people, it’s very understandable. Frankly, all mascot names are a little lame, depending on perspective. But what’s truly lame is fans at games yelling nothing at all.
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