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CarpeRemote

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  1. No. South Korea and Italy are valid sources, and examples of policies and actions that worked relatively well and didn’t work at all.
  2. Reconnecting. It’s counterintuitive but our town and neighborhood seems to be getting closer. The place is brimming with parents and kids playing in the yards. Constant dog walking, people saying hello as they pass on foot. The neighbors just put on a fireworks display. People have put messages in chalk art at the ends of their driveways, and stuffed animals hidden in trees and shrubs for kids to “hunt” as they walk by.
  3. I think the current line of thinking is calling your single old man neighbor who can barely walk his dog and offer to go to the drugstore. In the other case offering the people in their mid 80’s a few houses down to call if there is an immediate issue. Absurd right?
  4. Christmas and pandemics evidently bring out the best and worst of people. Called my kids to be sure they are helping out their neighbors; it appears if nothing else I raised them right.
  5. Ackman might have it right: We tried to level and shorten the curve by shutting colleges, but students and people in their 20’s and 30’s filled the bars, clubs, and in some cases the streets as though it’s eternal spring break (Hoboken NJ for example) Which in turn is moving the peak outward until summer and killing the economy in the meantime. He called for a nationwide 30 day remain in place and shutdown of everything except essentials. in 30 days the infection rate and existing cases would be near zero, then we’d be mostly open for business except international travel. Markets hate uncertainty; this reduces uncertainty. The markets know a prolonged halt is disastrous; this plan for the most part, shortens the length to 1 month I ran the idea by a physician involved with a county health Dept and he agrees the math works.
  6. Criticism of the past and assignment of blame are the easiest and oft least useful actions in a crisis; anyone can do it. Some stay fixated on it, rather than dig in and help. If you don’t mind switching gears from the courtroom to the foxhole, would you share specific actions you are taking to help the greater good? I'm not saying you aren’t, I’d just like to hear other ideas
  7. Heuristics are great for choosing socks and betting with other people’s chips
  8. Or we can tough it out 3 weeks and let science gather information. Deciding the socioeconomic future of a population should not be based on cognitive bias. Not when there’s no backsies.
  9. 31,000 girls between ages 18-22 on the OSU campus who have never seen a hockey player?
  10. Since we haven’t tested with scale we don’t know what the denominator is. So today‘s statistics are almost meaningless. Some states have tested less than 5 symptomatic individuals, mostly due to lack of resources. As of 5 days ago Ohio (population of 11.5 million) had performed 10 tests. Looking at the eastern map, WV is about the only state without reported infection, but they’ve run only 3 tests. With the newly available kits we will get a realistic view over the next month. It may be overblown but we don’t know, but as we know this is about rate of acceleration and early exhaustion of medical resources which can kill an economy (and people). The history of pandemics shows there are only small windows of opportunity. Not that big a deal to let a college extend spring break using Zoom technology, and let the traveling up to 6,000 international, plus vacationing domestic students, essentially put themselves on loose home confinement. We have a great hockey team. Keep working hard.
  11. Ohio State suspends in-person classes until at least March 30. 68,000 students
  12. True But any cancellation of attendance to sporting events are about the big picture, not the relatively few in attendance. This is about the rate of acceleration. If there is a rapid escalation nationwide, medical staffs are woefully under-equipped with respirators, masks, goggles hazmat suits, quarantine rooms, cleaning resources, and trained staff. The system could be quickly overwhelmed and life would get hard for everyone from both a healthcare and economic standpoint. We don’t even have the means to collect or test samples in large numbers yet. A million kits available isn’t the same as being able to collect and test a million samples. . If you have a fever most physician offices don’t allow you in the door. One positive patient might shut down the office. Fevers are now sent to the ER. ER’s are forced to send you home, if you are lucky you get a test. In a few weeks it may not be an option to be hospitalized with pneumonia. Each time a healthcare worker gets sick we are down a man. There Is a long list of weak links in the chain so we need to keep the rate of acceleration low. It’s fine for large numbers of a healthy demographic to put themselves at risk, until they contribute to a rapid nationwide spread and put everyone’s jobs and lives at risk. No economy can handle a prolonged shutdown. We get a handle on this early or not at all. This is bigger than individuals, sometimes in this country we all come together with self sacrifice for everyone’s sake. Men go to war to keep their people healthy and employed. Proactively trying not to spread a new virus is not a big a sacrifice. See the results of the 1957 and 1968 pandemics, knowing this virus might be a much tougher foe. Maybe a little caution is warranted.
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