I wouldn't be surprised if Penn State puts up some huge numbers this year and has an excellent record, but then gets bounced right away from the NCAA's.
Their OOC schedule is insanely weak... 2x against Sacred Heart, 2x against Alaska, 2x against Robert Morris, 2x against Niagara, 1x against Merrimack, and 1x against Lowell. I wouldn't be shocked if they went undefeated against that competition or at the very least 9-1 with Lowell being their only decent OOC opponent.