jimdahl

No, the way the software works the posts are tied to the account, so there's not really a good concept of removing old accounts. I'd say about 10% of accounts are "active" at any given time. But, that can also be a feature, it's not unheard of for someone to disappear for a few years and then reappear.

The crazy thing is, remember that Yale barely made the tournament. If either BU or Michigan had won their conference championship game, Yale wouldn't have even been in.

Congratulations to FSSD and Brainerd Sioux who tied for 1st in the 10th annual bracket! Past winners: 2012 mj3und 2011 tho0505 2009 Big A HG 2008 willtippen 2007 seanpc03 2006 teamsioux 2005 mynameiscuomo 2004 paul62/BigGreyAnt41/brew003/UP2SKI

Looks like FargoSioux's got it if QU wins, being the highest score that picked QU to win it all. FargoSioux picks Looking at the current scoring, it seems like FSSD and Brainerd Sioux will hold onto a tie for the lead if Yale wins, because I don't think anyone picked Yale.

Or so says Alabama... People in the South are not so fat after all -- and they lie less

Fixed.

Wow, amazing anyone thought to write that rule and put it in the books. Like I said, I assumed it was a more general "penalty shots are instead goals if the goalie is out" type rule. Thanks!

I thought I was judging it pretty fairly -- that a lot of us of certain ages have very fond memories of it from our youths, but that its heyday also seemed to be sometime back then (for me, the 80s). Certainly no offense intended; like I said, I miss the place that's in my memories, though time seemed to have passed it by. Seems to be a controversial topic, I think I remember it stirring up some heated discussions when it closed.

No kidding. Though I also felt that way last time I visited (mid-2000s?). I don't miss the Shangri-La, but I do miss my memories of it growing up. It's so true that you can't go home again.

I've watched a lot of hockey and don't remember ever seeing this before... Video Basically, Ovechkin got a breakaway when the opposing goalie was pulled, then a player from the Tampa Bay bench stuck his stick onto the ice to try to impede his play. That resulted in an automatic goal for Ovechkin (who followed through and put it in the net anyway). I don't remember a rule leading to an automatic goal. I guess the actual infraction would normally lead to a penalty shot, but since it was an empty net it's just ruled a goal.

Find your name on the leaderboard and click it.

SiouxSports isn't exactly at full performance right now, either, but I'm trying to keep an eye on it...

I thought Niagara's opponent was South Dakota State?

Here are the Consensus Picks. About the same number of people picked Minnesota (12.4%) as KRACH's predicted odds for them (14.9%). Not so for Quinnipiac, which KRACH gave an 18.7% chance, but only 1.8% of people picked. Most expect them to fall to BC in the regional. No one expects a first round exit for UND (2.5%), and the remaining think that exiting the region (69.5%) essentially means winning the Frozen Four (62.8%). We love the WCHA -- 4-seed Wisconsin (59.6%) is favored over 1-seed Mass.-Lowell (40.4%), as is 3-seed Denver (53.5%) over 2-seed New Hampshire (46.5%), though 1-seed Notre Dame (56.7%) eeks out a win over 4-seed St. Cloud St (43.3%). Except Mankato -- though KRACH actually says Mankato is a 50.2 to 49.8 favorite, only 19.6% of Sioux fans expect them to defeat Miami.

KRACH's predictions KRACH still believes in Quinnipiac, even though Minnesota has just edged ahead for the #1 spot.

Most of us would have been better off replacing our actual picks with Boston College for pretty much the last decade.

I revisited the question of weighted vs. unweighted using this season's results (which may or may not be anomalous, I truly have no idea). A look back at 2013 forecasts (second half, scroll to On weighted vs. unweighted conference tournament projections)

As always, I'm suspicious as to whether I got it right, so I'll do a "soft launch" in the forum before throwing it on the front page. Let me know if you see any problems. http://siouxsports.com/hockey/bracket.php

Brodeur credited with his 3rd career goal. (It wasn't really him).

On the difference between 50-50 and weighted predictions this time of year, let me give a couple examples Brown is an example of a team that I said would get the most benefit from me doing it straight 50-50, because they're statistically the most outmatched (playing QU). The 2nd column is the 50-50 odds, the 3rd the weighted (by KRACH) odds: #16 0.2% 0.1% #17 2.4% 1.6% #18 6.4% 3.3% #19 10.5% 5.4% #20 17.4% 16.4% #21 20.4% 23.0% #22 15.4% 13.4% #23 6.4% 6.2% #24 6.3% 9.6% #25 6.9% 12.3% #26 5.8% 7.0% #27 1.7% 1.4% #28 0.2% 0.1% #29 0.0% 0.0% As I predicted, their good outcomes (16-19) are about doubled under 50-50 while their bad outcomes (25 in particular) are cut. However, the shape of the curve is about the same and overall differences are pretty minor. That is, of course, the most extreme example. Here's UND: #3 2.4% 1.3% #4 6.5% 5.5% #5 9.5% 8.9% #6 13.4% 11.7% #7 22.4% 21.3% #8 18.9% 22.7% #9 15.7% 14.8% #10 9.0% 10.0% #11 2.2% 3.8% #12 0.1% 0.1% Of course, saying that the two aren't very different isn't a justification for doing it one vs the other. My justification is still that the 50-50 is fact while the weighted is subjective. I'm just pointing out that even fans of the weighted can still get a lot of value from the 50-50.

In close to plain English, I'm saying that the tables I published assume that each game has an equal chance of going either way. Kirk is saying he would prefer that the outcomes that depend on Minnesota beating Colorado College be listed as more likely than vice versa. I replied that the problem with that is choosing how much more likely Minnesota is to win... do they stand an 80% chance, a 60% chance?

That's right, the table is the share of remaining possible outcomes. The big reason I do it that way is because it's mathematically irrefutable. I can state these shares as fact, and no one can come up with any disagreeing predictions. A weighted prediction would instead require me to use some subjective predictor of game outcomes. There are a couple reason it's not as bad as you think -- The predictors aren't as strong as during the regular season. Using KRACH, participants in a single conference's tournament tend to have similar strengths, such that 90% of the games don't become more biased than 65-35. Quinnipiac is an obvious exception; but on the flip side, KRACH says Michigan is a 2:3 underdog. So, I'm instead trying to give people the facts and let them ascertain what they think is likely. And the predictors' deviations from 50-50 are only magnified for very low probability events. Teams that make it through in about 50% of scenarios also make it through in a similar number of weighted scenarios. It's the guys who make it in only 4% of scenarios that might find that the 4% is a pretty unlikely corner, such that it's only 1% weighted. However, doing a weighted run so people can see and compare should be no problem. I'll try to do it.

Friday morning's reading if UND and Wisconsin win TeamPWR PossibilitiesOverallBy number of winsQuinnipiac#1 100.0%Tournament invites: 100.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #1100.0%100.0%100.0%Tournament invites:100.0%100.0%100.0%UMN#2 100.0%Tournament invites: 100.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #2100.0%100.0%100.0%Tournament invites:100.0%100.0%100.0%Miami#3 54.0%#4 32.6% #5 11.3% #6 2.0% #7 0.1% Tournament invites: 100.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #334.8%46.3%100.0% #443.6%43.3% #517.8%9.6% #63.6%0.9% #70.2% Tournament invites:100.0%100.0%100.0%Boston College#3 18.8%#4 17.0% #5 22.2% #6 21.7% #7 12.7% #8 5.5% #9 1.6% #10 0.4% #11 0.1% Tournament invites: 100.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #3 75.0% #411.1%20.7%25.0% #523.3%42.2% #629.1%28.6% #721.6%7.7% #810.6%0.7% #93.1% #100.8% #110.3% Tournament invites:100.0%100.0%100.0%Yale#3 1.3%#4 12.4% #5 13.1% #6 11.7% #7 16.8% #8 12.7% #9 7.2% #10 4.4% #11 3.1% #12 4.0% #13 6.0% #14 5.1% #15 1.9% #16 0.3% #17 0.1% #18 0.0% Tournament invites: 96.5% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #3 5.0% #4 49.4% #51.7%10.9%32.1% #64.2%17.7%11.5% #79.7%31.3%1.9% #88.9%23.4% #98.4%10.5% #107.3%4.6% #117.4%1.4% #1211.9%0.1% #1318.1% #1415.3% #155.6% #160.9% #170.4% #180.1% Tournament invites:89.4%100.0%100.0%Mass.-Lowell#3 16.9%#4 8.8% #5 16.6% #6 22.5% #7 22.1% #8 9.7% #9 2.9% #10 0.4% #11 0.0% Tournament invites: 100.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #3 1.4%66.4% #4 12.9%22.4% #58.7%38.6%10.4% #628.7%31.8%0.8% #738.6%11.3% #817.9%3.1% #95.3%0.8% #100.8%0.1% #110.0% Tournament invites:100.0%100.0%100.0%UND#3 4.3%#4 14.0% #5 17.9% #6 23.1% #7 22.8% #8 12.7% #9 3.9% #10 1.1% #11 0.3% Tournament invites: 100.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #3 17.3% #4 8.7%47.3% #57.6%23.1%33.1% #628.7%32.8%2.2% #733.6%23.8% #820.3%10.1% #97.1%1.4% #102.2% #110.5% Tournament invites:100.0%100.0%100.0%New Hampshire#6 2.6%#7 11.0% #8 34.2% #9 35.4% #10 13.2% #11 3.3% #12 0.3% #13 0.0% Tournament invites: 100.0% n/aNotre Dame#3 4.7%#4 7.7% #5 3.1% #6 1.8% #7 2.5% #8 5.0% #9 10.1% #10 15.2% #11 9.2% #12 5.5% #13 8.7% #14 6.1% #15 9.8% #16 7.6% #17 2.4% #18 0.4% Tournament invites: 82.6% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #3 18.9% #4 30.7% #5 1.9%10.4% #6 2.6%4.8% #70.0%8.3%1.6% #81.5%15.0%1.8% #99.3%14.5%7.4% #1017.1%7.7%19.0% #1114.9%2.0%5.1% #126.2%9.5%0.3% #131.9%30.9% #148.6%7.4% #1519.5%0.3% #1615.2%0.0% #174.9% #180.8% Tournament invites:65.4%99.5%100.0%Mankato#6 0.1%#7 1.4% #8 8.4% #9 19.1% #10 30.2% #11 26.0% #12 12.8% #13 1.9% #14 0.1% Tournament invites: 99.6% n/aNiagara#4 3.9%#5 8.3% #6 7.6% #7 5.0% #8 4.7% #9 7.6% #10 8.4% #11 10.7% #12 19.6% #13 21.1% #14 3.0% #15 0.2% Tournament invites: 95.9% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #4 15.5% #5 33.0% #6 0.2%30.4% #7 3.8%16.3% #80.0%14.3%4.3% #90.3%29.4%0.4% #102.0%29.6% #1112.0%18.8% #1237.1%3.9% #1342.2% #146.0% #150.4% Tournament invites:91.8%100.0%100.0%SCSU#4 3.6%#5 7.6% #6 6.9% #7 5.6% #8 6.6% #9 8.5% #10 9.5% #11 11.6% #12 16.4% #13 16.7% #14 5.9% #15 1.1% Tournament invites: 93.8% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #4 14.6% #5 30.2% #6 0.7%26.8% #7 3.9%18.6% #8 19.0%7.5% #90.4%31.4%2.0% #104.2%29.2%0.3% #1116.3%13.7% #1231.6%2.1% #1333.4% #1411.8% #152.3% Tournament invites:87.7%100.0%100.0%Denver#7 0.0%#8 0.4% #9 3.6% #10 16.1% #11 30.6% #12 31.7% #13 16.9% #14 0.7% #15 0.0% Tournament invites: 98.3% n/aWestern Michigan#13 11.9%#14 51.9% #15 29.9% #16 6.1% #17 0.1% #18 0.0% Tournament invites: 57.1% n/aUnion#8 0.0%#9 0.1% #10 0.7% #11 2.6% #12 6.5% #13 9.2% #14 12.2% #15 26.3% #16 24.1% #17 6.9% #18 5.0% #19 3.8% #20 2.0% #21 0.4% #22 0.1% Tournament invites: 41.3% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #8 0.0% #9 0.6% #10 2.7% #11 10.3% #12 26.0% #13 0.5%36.0% #144.4%11.2%24.3% #1521.3%46.1% #1625.1%37.9% #1715.3%4.3% #1815.1% #1911.4% #205.9% #211.2% #220.3% Tournament invites:14.9%27.1%100.0%UW#10 0.4%#11 2.5% #12 3.3% #13 5.1% #14 9.3% #15 7.0% #16 8.9% #17 14.8% #18 23.4% #19 15.8% #20 7.4% #21 2.0% #22 0.1% Tournament invites: 27.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #10 1.5% #11 10.1% #12 13.3% #13 20.6% #14 2.0%35.0% #15 11.8%16.2% #160.1%32.2%3.2% #1716.2%27.0% #1836.2%21.3% #1929.0%5.1% #2014.5%0.6% #213.9% #220.2% Tournament invites:0.0%7.9%100.0%Providence#13 0.0%#14 0.8% #15 5.1% #16 6.7% #17 9.1% #18 9.0% #19 14.7% #20 18.4% #21 14.0% #22 10.3% #23 7.6% #24 3.2% #25 1.2% Tournament invites: 25.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #13 0.1% #14 3.2% #15 20.3% #16 1.1%25.5% #170.1%4.5%31.8% #183.2%16.7%12.7% #1911.4%31.6%4.5% #2020.7%30.3%1.9% #2121.0%14.2%0.0% #2219.8%1.6% #2315.1%0.0% #246.4% #252.3% Tournament invites:0.0%0.2%100.0%Boston University#12 0.0%#13 2.4% #14 4.0% #15 11.2% #16 9.6% #17 9.5% #18 12.9% #19 22.2% #20 17.9% #21 8.7% #22 1.4% Tournament invites: 25.9% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #12 0.0% #13 9.7% #14 0.6%15.5% #15 3.3%41.6% #16 16.7%21.9% #17 29.4%8.6% #189.7%29.5%2.7% #1936.1%16.6% #2034.0%3.7% #2117.4%0.1% #222.8%0.0% Tournament invites:0.0%3.6%100.0%Rensselaer#14 0.8%#15 5.8% #16 19.1% #17 29.4% #18 27.6% #19 13.3% #20 3.5% #21 0.6% Tournament invites: 5.5% n/aAlaska#16 0.5%#17 3.7% #18 8.1% #19 13.6% #20 16.2% #21 14.8% #22 13.7% #23 13.8% #24 10.3% #25 4.8% #26 0.5% Tournament invites: n/aCornell#19 0.9%#20 2.7% #21 4.7% #22 9.3% #23 24.4% #24 34.1% #25 21.7% #26 2.3% Tournament invites: 0.0% n/aBrown#16 0.0%#17 0.6% #18 4.0% #19 9.9% #20 18.2% #21 25.9% #22 18.4% #23 6.2% #24 5.7% #25 6.8% #26 3.4% #27 0.8% #28 0.1% Tournament invites: 25.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #16 0.0% #17 2.6% #18 15.8% #190.5%5.1%30.5% #206.0%23.8%24.9% #2113.7%38.3%21.7% #2213.8%30.4%4.5% #2315.5%2.4% #2417.1% #2520.4% #2610.3% #272.4% #280.2% Tournament invites:0.0%0.0%100.0%Dartmouth#19 1.3%#20 7.1% #21 19.8% #22 33.4% #23 26.4% #24 10.8% #25 1.2% Tournament invites: 0.0% n/aRobert Morris#14 0.0%#15 1.7% #16 17.1% #17 23.3% #18 7.1% #19 1.4% #20 1.4% #21 3.3% #22 5.0% #23 7.7% #24 16.3% #25 12.2% #26 3.5% Tournament invites: 1.6% n/aCC#25 0.8%#26 6.7% #27 26.8% #28 44.2% #29 14.7% #30 5.4% #31 1.3% Tournament invites: 0.0% n/aOhio State#18 2.4%#19 3.0% #20 5.5% #21 5.6% #22 6.9% #23 8.2% #24 4.5% #25 2.8% #26 8.8% #27 5.6% #28 15.8% #29 17.8% #30 7.2% #31 6.0% Tournament invites: 25.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #18 9.5% #19 12.0% #20 0.3%21.5% #21 2.5%19.8% #22 10.8%16.8% #23 19.0%13.6% #24 14.0%4.1% #25 8.6%2.7% #260.5%34.3% #276.0%10.5% #2831.6% #2935.5% #3014.4% #3112.1% Tournament invites:0.0%0.0%100.0%Ferris State#25 18.8%#26 48.5% #27 27.3% #28 4.9% #29 0.5% Tournament invites: 0.0% n/aSt. Lawrence#24 0.1%#25 9.1% #26 18.5% #27 36.3% #28 21.2% #29 9.8% #30 3.3% #31 1.8% Tournament invites: 0.0% n/aNebraska-Omaha#29 11.5%#30 27.6% #31 40.2% #32 20.6% Tournament invites: 0.0% n/aMichigan#21 0.0%#22 0.4% #23 3.4% #24 8.9% #25 12.1% #26 1.0% #27 2.6% #28 8.1% #29 11.3% #30 1.4% #31 3.5% #32 1.5% Non-TUC 45.8% Tournament invites: 25.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #21 0.1% #22 1.7% #23 13.4% #24 35.5% #25 48.5% #26 3.3%0.8% #27 10.4% #28 32.4% #29 45.2% #30 5.6% #315.4%3.1% #322.9% Non-TUC91.6%0.0%0.0%Tournament invites:0.0%0.0%100.0%Connecticut#21 0.2%#22 0.9% #23 2.5% #24 6.2% #25 8.6% #26 6.7% #27 0.0% #28 0.0% #29 5.4% #30 5.7% #31 9.5% #32 4.4% Non-TUC 50.0% Tournament invites: 25.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #21 0.7% #22 3.5% #23 9.8% #24 24.8% #25 34.5% #26 26.7% #27 #28 #29 21.6% #30 22.6% #31 38.1% #32 17.6% Non-TUC100.0%0.0%0.0%Tournament invites:0.0%0.0%100.0%Holy Cross#26 0.0%#27 0.6% #28 5.7% #29 28.9% #30 49.4% #31 15.3% Tournament invites: 0.0% n/aCanisiusNon-TUC 100.0%Tournament invites: 25.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2Non-TUC100.0%100.0%100.0%Tournament invites:0.0%0.0%100.0%Mercyhurst#32 0.0%Non-TUC 100.0% Tournament invites: 25.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #32 0.0%Non-TUC100.0%100.0%100.0%Tournament invites:0.0%0.0%100.0%

Friday morning's reading if UND and Mankato win TeamPWR PossibilitiesOverallBy number of winsQuinnipiac#1 100.0%Tournament invites: 100.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #1100.0%100.0%100.0%Tournament invites:100.0%100.0%100.0%UMN#2 100.0%Tournament invites: 100.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #2100.0%100.0%100.0%Tournament invites:100.0%100.0%100.0%Miami#3 44.8%#4 33.0% #5 17.5% #6 4.4% #7 0.2% #8 0.0% Tournament invites: 100.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #324.3%34.1%96.6% #441.5%45.8%3.4% #526.1%17.7% #67.6%2.4% #70.4% #80.0% Tournament invites:100.0%100.0%100.0%Boston College#3 16.1%#4 13.6% #5 16.9% #6 19.8% #7 15.7% #8 9.4% #9 4.9% #10 2.4% #11 1.0% #12 0.2% Tournament invites: 100.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #3 64.3% #44.4%13.7%32.0% #514.0%36.0%3.7% #622.5%34.3% #724.9%13.0% #817.3%2.9% #99.7%0.2% #104.9% #112.0% #120.3% Tournament invites:100.0%100.0%100.0%Yale#3 2.6%#4 11.2% #5 10.2% #6 11.3% #7 10.7% #8 14.0% #9 9.6% #10 5.9% #11 4.9% #12 6.0% #13 7.4% #14 5.5% #15 0.7% #16 0.1% #17 0.0% Tournament invites: 97.7% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #3 10.5% #4 0.5%44.0% #50.1%5.6%31.3% #62.0%17.9%12.7% #73.5%22.0%1.5% #87.7%27.4% #99.0%15.9% #108.1%7.7% #1111.1%2.8% #1217.7%0.2% #1322.2% #1416.4% #152.0% #160.2% #170.0% Tournament invites:93.2%100.0%100.0%Mass.-Lowell#3 17.7%#4 9.0% #5 15.0% #6 20.7% #7 19.2% #8 10.9% #9 5.7% #10 1.7% #11 0.1% Tournament invites: 100.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #3 0.9%69.8% #40.9%12.0%22.3% #59.8%32.7%7.5% #623.7%35.0%0.5% #730.7%15.5% #820.4%2.6% #910.9%1.1% #103.3%0.2% #110.2% Tournament invites:100.0%100.0%100.0%UND#3 5.2%#4 12.0% #5 15.1% #6 15.4% #7 22.3% #8 17.2% #9 8.9% #10 3.1% #11 0.7% #12 0.0% Tournament invites: 100.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #3 20.6% #4 2.7%45.4% #56.2%15.5%32.5% #617.6%25.1%1.5% #730.0%29.1% #826.3%16.4% #913.7%8.4% #104.9%2.5% #111.2%0.5% #120.1% Tournament invites:100.0%100.0%100.0%New Hampshire#5 0.1%#6 3.4% #7 9.8% #8 25.1% #9 38.3% #10 19.3% #11 3.9% #12 0.1% #13 0.0% Tournament invites: 100.0% n/aNotre Dame#3 2.8%#4 5.5% #5 3.6% #6 2.0% #7 1.8% #8 2.3% #9 6.0% #10 19.0% #11 14.7% #12 6.3% #13 10.2% #14 6.6% #15 9.0% #16 6.8% #17 2.8% #18 0.6% #19 0.0% Tournament invites: 83.8% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #3 11.0% #4 0.2%21.8% #5 0.8%13.5% #6 2.5%5.6% #7 3.8%3.3% #80.0%6.9%2.4% #91.8%12.9%7.3% #1015.6%16.4%28.6% #1122.9%6.3%6.5% #128.5%8.4%0.0% #132.6%35.6% #1410.2%6.1% #1518.0%0.1% #1613.6% #175.6% #181.2% #190.0% Tournament invites:67.7%100.0%100.0%Mankato#3 10.9%#4 9.4% #5 6.9% #6 8.4% #7 10.8% #8 14.6% #9 13.8% #10 14.2% #11 8.9% #12 2.0% Tournament invites: 100.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #3 43.5% #40.1%1.2%36.3% #51.3%9.2%15.6% #63.8%21.4%4.6% #78.7%25.7% #817.3%23.8% #921.2%12.8% #1026.0%4.9% #1117.4%0.9% #124.1% Tournament invites:100.0%100.0%100.0%Niagara#4 2.5%#5 6.9% #6 7.6% #7 5.2% #8 4.5% #9 6.5% #10 10.3% #11 17.1% #12 22.7% #13 15.3% #14 1.3% Tournament invites: 98.2% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #4 10.0% #5 27.8% #6 0.0%30.3% #7 0.7%20.2% #8 9.3%8.7% #90.2%23.3%2.5% #103.0%34.8%0.5% #1121.3%25.8% #1242.3%6.1% #1330.6% #142.6% Tournament invites:96.3%100.0%100.0%SCSU#4 3.7%#5 7.9% #6 6.9% #7 4.3% #8 1.9% #9 2.8% #10 8.6% #11 11.3% #12 22.8% #13 24.0% #14 5.8% Tournament invites: 97.4% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #4 14.8% #5 31.6% #6 27.7% #7 0.1%17.2% #8 0.8%6.8% #9 9.4%1.8% #10 34.2%0.2% #113.8%37.7% #1236.6%17.8% #1347.9% #1411.6% Tournament invites:94.7%100.0%100.0%Denver#8 0.1%#9 3.3% #10 14.9% #11 34.5% #12 32.4% #13 14.6% #14 0.2% Tournament invites: 99.1% n/aWestern Michigan#13 14.7%#14 59.2% #15 23.6% #16 2.3% #17 0.2% #18 0.0% Tournament invites: 64.9% n/aUnion#8 0.0%#9 0.1% #10 0.5% #11 2.8% #12 7.4% #13 9.7% #14 12.5% #15 30.5% #16 23.5% #17 5.9% #18 4.6% #19 1.9% #20 0.5% Tournament invites: 45.2% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #8 0.0% #9 0.4% #10 2.0% #11 11.3% #12 29.8% #13 0.6%37.8% #145.6%14.1%18.7% #1526.7%51.9% #1629.0%33.3% #1717.7% #1813.9% #195.6% #201.6% Tournament invites:19.1%33.1%100.0%UW#17 7.2%#18 19.4% #19 24.1% #20 22.0% #21 18.4% #22 8.4% #23 0.5% Tournament invites: 0.0% n/aProvidence#13 0.1%#14 1.2% #15 9.6% #16 9.0% #17 8.8% #18 12.2% #19 12.4% #20 13.0% #21 11.1% #22 7.6% #23 8.2% #24 5.4% #25 1.5% Tournament invites: 25.1% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #13 0.3% #14 4.7% #15 38.3% #16 1.9%33.9% #170.3%17.2%17.3% #184.1%35.1%5.6% #199.5%30.8% #2020.0%11.9% #2120.9%2.7% #2215.0%0.4% #2316.4% #2410.9% #253.0% Tournament invites:0.0%0.2%100.0%Boston University#12 0.0%#13 3.6% #14 5.1% #15 12.8% #16 7.3% #17 8.7% #18 19.5% #19 24.9% #20 13.2% #21 4.6% #22 0.4% Tournament invites: 25.8% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #12 0.0% #13 14.2% #14 0.1%20.2% #15 1.8%49.3% #16 14.4%14.7% #171.9%29.5%1.6% #1822.3%33.5% #1940.7%18.2% #2025.1%2.4% #219.1%0.1% #220.8% Tournament invites:0.0%3.2%100.0%Rensselaer#13 0.5%#14 2.7% #15 13.0% #16 38.0% #17 30.2% #18 14.2% #19 1.3% #20 0.1% Tournament invites: 11.8% n/aAlaska#16 0.3%#17 3.1% #18 9.0% #19 12.4% #20 13.3% #21 12.9% #22 11.6% #23 14.0% #24 16.3% #25 6.7% #26 0.4% Tournament invites: n/aCornell#18 0.4%#19 3.4% #20 5.7% #21 6.4% #22 14.0% #23 27.7% #24 29.0% #25 13.3% #26 0.1% Tournament invites: 0.0% n/aBrown#16 0.2%#17 3.7% #18 8.4% #19 10.8% #20 18.1% #21 20.0% #22 16.8% #23 4.7% #24 5.8% #25 8.6% #26 2.8% #27 0.1% #28 0.0% Tournament invites: 25.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #16 0.7% #17 15.0% #18 1.0%31.9% #190.1%9.0%28.2% #205.2%27.1%20.4% #2114.8%33.8%3.8% #2217.2%26.5%0.0% #2310.8%2.6% #2417.3% #2525.9% #268.3% #270.3% #280.0% Tournament invites:0.0%0.0%100.0%Dartmouth#18 0.1%#19 2.0% #20 7.2% #21 17.5% #22 30.6% #23 27.5% #24 12.4% #25 2.7% Tournament invites: 0.0% n/aRobert Morris#14 0.0%#15 0.8% #16 12.5% #17 28.2% #18 8.9% #19 1.9% #20 3.4% #21 4.6% #22 5.3% #23 8.0% #24 16.3% #25 9.4% #26 0.8% Tournament invites: 1.1% n/aCC#25 0.9%#26 5.1% #27 29.2% #28 43.7% #29 17.2% #30 3.3% #31 0.5% #32 0.0% Tournament invites: 0.0% n/aOhio State#17 1.3%#18 2.7% #19 4.8% #20 3.6% #21 4.5% #22 5.0% #23 6.4% #24 5.1% #25 3.9% #26 9.8% #27 4.2% #28 17.6% #29 18.1% #30 5.2% #31 6.3% #32 1.5% Tournament invites: 25.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #17 5.0% #18 10.8% #19 0.0%19.0% #20 0.5%13.9% #21 2.5%15.4% #22 6.2%13.6% #23 12.8%12.9% #24 15.3%5.3% #25 11.6%4.1% #260.2%38.7% #272.3%12.4% #2835.2% #2936.3% #3010.5% #3112.7% #323.0% Tournament invites:0.0%0.0%100.0%Ferris State#25 15.4%#26 47.9% #27 29.9% #28 6.1% #29 0.7% Tournament invites: 0.0% n/aSt. Lawrence#25 11.9%#26 21.7% #27 34.2% #28 22.1% #29 7.0% #30 2.0% #31 1.1% Tournament invites: 0.0% n/aNebraska-Omaha#27 0.0%#28 0.0% #29 22.8% #30 28.8% #31 31.4% #32 17.0% Tournament invites: 0.0% n/aMichigan#21 0.1%#22 0.3% #23 1.8% #24 6.3% #25 16.1% #26 0.9% #27 2.2% #28 8.6% #29 11.0% #30 1.9% #31 1.3% #32 0.6% Non-TUC 49.0% Tournament invites: 25.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #21 0.2% #22 1.1% #23 7.1% #24 25.0% #25 64.3% #26 1.2%2.2% #27 8.9% #28 34.4% #29 44.1% #30 7.8% #311.4%2.5% #320.6%1.1% Non-TUC98.0%0.0%0.0%Tournament invites:0.0%0.0%100.0%Connecticut#22 0.0%#23 1.1% #24 3.4% #25 9.8% #26 10.7% #27 0.0% #28 0.0% #29 6.6% #30 3.7% #31 8.8% #32 6.0% Non-TUC 49.9% Tournament invites: 25.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #22 0.1% #23 4.3% #24 13.7% #25 39.1% #26 42.8% #27 #28 0.1% #29 26.4% #30 14.7% #310.1%35.0% #320.2%23.8% Non-TUC99.7%0.0%0.0%Tournament invites:0.0%0.0%100.0%Holy Cross#27 0.1%#28 1.8% #29 16.4% #30 55.1% #31 26.2% #32 0.3% Tournament invites: 0.0% n/aCanisiusNon-TUC 100.0%Tournament invites: 25.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2Non-TUC100.0%100.0%100.0%Tournament invites:0.0%0.0%100.0%Mercyhurst#32 0.0%Non-TUC 100.0% Tournament invites: 25.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #32 0.1%Non-TUC100.0%100.0%99.9%Tournament invites:0.0%0.0%100.0%

Friday morning's reading if CC and Wisconsin win TeamPWR PossibilitiesOverallBy number of winsQuinnipiac#1 100.0%Tournament invites: 100.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #1100.0%100.0%100.0%Tournament invites:100.0%100.0%100.0%UMN#2 100.0%Tournament invites: 100.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #2100.0%100.0%100.0%Tournament invites:100.0%100.0%100.0%Miami#3 55.4%#4 34.8% #5 8.1% #6 1.7% #7 0.0% Tournament invites: 100.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #337.2%51.7%95.6% #445.2%44.4%4.4% #514.4%3.4% #63.2%0.5% #70.1% Tournament invites:100.0%100.0%100.0%Boston College#3 18.8%#4 23.9% #5 28.7% #6 18.9% #7 7.7% #8 2.0% #9 0.1% Tournament invites: 100.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #3 75.0% #421.1%28.5%25.0% #534.1%46.5% #627.5%20.6% #713.4%3.9% #83.7%0.4% #90.3% Tournament invites:100.0%100.0%100.0%Yale#3 1.4%#4 16.0% #5 21.4% #6 16.8% #7 12.1% #8 6.3% #9 3.9% #10 2.7% #11 2.7% #12 4.2% #13 6.4% #14 4.7% #15 1.2% #16 0.2% #17 0.0% Tournament invites: 96.3% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #3 5.6% #4 3.9%57.5% #53.0%29.7%32.3% #64.4%34.4%4.0% #78.6%21.8%0.7% #89.2%7.7% #99.3%2.0% #107.5%0.5% #118.1%0.0% #1212.5%0.0% #1319.2% #1414.0% #153.5% #160.6% #170.0% Tournament invites:89.0%100.0%100.0%Mass.-Lowell#3 18.0%#4 7.0% #5 16.9% #6 30.5% #7 17.9% #8 8.1% #9 1.5% #10 0.1% Tournament invites: 100.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #3 1.7%70.1% #4 10.2%17.9% #59.7%36.5%11.8% #641.8%38.3%0.2% #730.4%11.1% #815.1%2.0% #92.8%0.3% #100.1%0.0% Tournament invites:100.0%100.0%100.0%UND#5 2.8%#6 9.9% #7 27.2% #8 22.1% #9 21.7% #10 13.3% #11 3.0% #12 0.0% Tournament invites: 100.0% n/aNew Hampshire#5 0.5%#6 4.8% #7 15.2% #8 41.1% #9 33.3% #10 5.0% #11 0.1% Tournament invites: 100.0% n/aNotre Dame#3 6.3%#4 6.6% #5 1.7% #6 0.5% #7 2.3% #8 2.4% #9 7.8% #10 16.4% #11 13.5% #12 6.5% #13 8.4% #14 6.5% #15 10.8% #16 8.4% #17 1.5% #18 0.1% Tournament invites: 79.7% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #3 25.1% #4 26.5% #5 1.8%4.9% #6 1.9%0.1% #7 9.3% #80.4%8.8%0.0% #96.5%15.7%2.6% #1017.7%11.1%19.3% #1116.3%2.4%19.1% #127.6%8.7%2.2% #132.3%28.8%0.2% #147.9%10.3% #1521.1%1.2% #1616.9%0.0% #173.1% #180.3% Tournament invites:60.4%97.9%100.0%Mankato#5 0.0%#6 0.3% #7 1.2% #8 4.4% #9 19.1% #10 34.2% #11 26.2% #12 11.8% #13 2.6% #14 0.2% Tournament invites: 99.0% n/aNiagara#4 5.7%#5 10.5% #6 8.5% #7 7.0% #8 3.1% #9 2.3% #10 5.2% #11 11.9% #12 21.3% #13 21.4% #14 2.9% #15 0.2% Tournament invites: 93.5% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #4 22.7% #5 1.1%40.9% #6 9.1%25.1% #7 18.5%9.5% #8 10.8%1.7% #90.0%9.0%0.1% #101.7%17.5% #1112.7%22.3% #1237.5%10.2% #1342.1%1.4% #145.7% #150.3% Tournament invites:87.2%99.5%100.0%SCSU#3 0.2%#4 6.0% #5 9.4% #6 7.9% #7 9.4% #8 9.8% #9 5.0% #10 3.3% #11 7.6% #12 16.0% #13 18.3% #14 6.0% #15 1.1% Tournament invites: 91.1% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #3 0.8% #4 23.8% #5 1.2%36.5% #6 6.4%25.3% #7 26.5%10.9% #8 36.7%2.4% #90.2%19.3%0.2% #103.1%7.1% #1114.0%2.4% #1231.9%0.3% #1336.5%0.0% #1412.1% #152.2% Tournament invites:82.3%100.0%100.0%Denver#7 0.0%#8 0.8% #9 5.3% #10 18.9% #11 30.0% #12 30.1% #13 14.7% #14 0.2% Tournament invites: 97.0% n/aWestern Michigan#13 12.3%#14 52.5% #15 29.1% #16 6.1% #17 0.0% Tournament invites: 48.1% n/aUnion#9 0.0%#10 0.4% #11 2.7% #12 7.0% #13 9.4% #14 11.9% #15 26.8% #16 24.6% #17 7.5% #18 4.1% #19 3.2% #20 1.9% #21 0.4% #22 0.1% Tournament invites: 37.9% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #9 0.1% #10 1.7% #11 10.6% #12 28.1% #13 0.6%36.6% #144.4%11.4%22.9% #1521.6%47.0% #1628.0%36.8% #1717.1%4.3% #1812.4% #199.5% #205.6% #211.2% #220.2% Tournament invites:11.9%21.4%100.0%UW#10 0.4%#11 2.3% #12 3.0% #13 4.6% #14 9.5% #15 7.7% #16 11.7% #17 17.5% #18 21.1% #19 14.7% #20 6.1% #21 1.5% #22 0.1% Tournament invites: 26.3% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #10 1.4% #11 9.1% #12 12.1% #13 18.2% #14 2.0%36.1% #15 12.7%18.2% #160.1%41.6%4.8% #1720.6%28.7% #1836.8%10.7% #1927.3%4.2% #2012.1%0.1% #212.9% #220.1% Tournament invites:0.0%5.3%100.0%Providence#13 0.0%#14 0.7% #15 5.4% #16 9.6% #17 7.4% #18 9.5% #19 17.2% #20 17.3% #21 13.1% #22 9.3% #23 6.9% #24 2.7% #25 0.7% Tournament invites: 25.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #13 0.0% #14 2.9% #15 21.4% #16 2.0%36.4% #170.0%5.0%24.6% #185.3%18.5%9.2% #1914.2%36.2%4.1% #2020.9%26.1%1.4% #2120.7%11.0% #2218.1%1.2% #2313.8% #245.5% #251.4% Tournament invites:0.0%0.2%100.0%Boston University#13 2.0%#14 4.0% #15 11.6% #16 10.9% #17 9.7% #18 10.5% #19 20.7% #20 18.4% #21 8.9% #22 3.1% #23 0.3% Tournament invites: 25.8% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #13 7.9% #14 0.5%15.5% #15 3.3%43.2% #16 19.6%24.1% #17 30.1%8.5% #188.5%24.0%0.7% #1933.3%16.2% #2034.2%5.3% #2117.4%0.7% #226.0%0.2% #230.6% Tournament invites:0.0%3.2%100.0%Rensselaer#14 0.8%#15 6.1% #16 24.7% #17 34.0% #18 22.9% #19 8.9% #20 2.4% #21 0.3% Tournament invites: 5.0% n/aAlaska#16 0.2%#17 1.9% #18 5.1% #19 11.1% #20 15.4% #21 15.2% #22 15.0% #23 15.0% #24 12.0% #25 6.4% #26 2.4% #27 0.2% Tournament invites: 0.0% n/aCornell#19 0.9%#20 2.4% #21 4.2% #22 8.8% #23 19.6% #24 28.6% #25 24.3% #26 10.2% #27 1.1% Tournament invites: 0.0% n/aBrown#16 0.1%#17 0.8% #18 4.2% #19 10.5% #20 17.4% #21 20.4% #22 14.3% #23 8.0% #24 6.5% #25 6.2% #26 7.9% #27 3.0% #28 0.5% #29 0.1% Tournament invites: 25.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #16 0.3% #17 3.4% #18 16.9% #190.5%5.3%32.7% #204.2%22.6%26.2% #217.3%32.5%17.6% #228.3%25.8%3.0% #2313.4%8.5% #2413.5%4.9% #2518.1%0.5% #2623.6% #279.1% #281.6% #290.2% Tournament invites:0.0%0.0%100.0%Dartmouth#18 0.1%#19 2.4% #20 10.4% #21 23.0% #22 31.5% #23 22.0% #24 9.5% #25 1.1% Tournament invites: 0.0% n/aRobert Morris#15 0.0%#16 3.5% #17 19.7% #18 20.1% #19 6.5% #20 0.9% #21 1.9% #22 4.6% #23 7.2% #24 10.6% #25 15.9% #26 7.0% #27 1.9% Tournament invites: 0.2% n/aCC#18 0.1%#19 0.9% #20 2.6% #21 5.7% #22 7.7% #23 11.4% #24 15.4% #25 25.2% #26 26.2% #27 4.8% Tournament invites: 25.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #18 0.4% #19 3.5% #20 10.4% #21 2.1%20.6% #22 7.0%23.7% #231.5%15.9%26.7% #247.6%33.3%13.3% #2534.0%31.8%1.3% #2647.4%9.9%0.1% #279.5% Tournament invites:0.0%0.0%100.0%Ohio State#18 2.1%#19 3.0% #20 4.9% #21 5.3% #22 5.0% #23 6.3% #24 4.4% #25 4.4% #26 2.8% #27 8.1% #28 22.3% #29 25.1% #30 0.2% #31 6.1% Tournament invites: 25.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #18 8.2% #19 12.0% #20 0.0%19.7% #21 1.4%19.7% #22 5.4%14.8% #23 11.7%13.5% #24 12.7%4.9% #25 11.7%5.9% #26 9.7%1.3% #27 32.4% #2837.5%14.3% #2949.8%0.7% #300.4% #3112.3% Tournament invites:0.0%0.0%100.0%Ferris State#26 5.9%#27 44.0% #28 39.8% #29 9.6% #30 0.7% Tournament invites: 0.0% n/aSt. Lawrence#24 0.0%#25 0.1% #26 22.4% #27 28.3% #28 29.4% #29 16.7% #30 3.1% Tournament invites: 0.0% n/aNebraska-Omaha#29 20.3%#30 47.8% #31 20.8% #32 11.1% Tournament invites: 0.0% n/aMichigan#21 0.0%#22 0.2% #23 1.8% #24 6.5% #25 8.8% #26 7.5% #27 3.8% #28 8.0% #29 11.0% #30 2.4% #31 1.1% #32 0.6% Non-TUC 48.3% Tournament invites: 25.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #21 0.1% #22 0.8% #23 7.0% #24 26.0% #25 35.4% #26 30.1% #27 14.5%0.6% #28 32.0% #29 43.8% #30 9.7% #312.2% #321.1% Non-TUC96.6%0.0%0.0%Tournament invites:0.0%0.0%100.0%Connecticut#21 0.2%#22 0.3% #23 1.5% #24 3.6% #25 6.8% #26 7.8% #27 4.8% #28 0.0% #29 8.3% #30 12.2% #31 2.0% #32 2.5% Non-TUC 50.0% Tournament invites: 25.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2 #21 0.8% #22 1.2% #23 6.2% #24 14.3% #25 27.1% #26 31.0% #27 19.3% #28 #29 33.3% #30 48.9% #31 8.0% #32 9.9% Non-TUC100.0%0.0%0.0%Tournament invites:0.0%0.0%100.0%Holy Cross#29 8.9%#30 33.5% #31 46.1% #32 11.4% Tournament invites: 0.0% n/aCanisiusNon-TUC 100.0%Tournament invites: 25.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2Non-TUC100.0%100.0%100.0%Tournament invites:0.0%0.0%100.0%MercyhurstNon-TUC 100.0%Tournament invites: 25.0% PWRWin 0Win 1Win 2Non-TUC100.0%100.0%100.0%Tournament invites:0.0%0.0%100.0%