jimdahl

You're all crazy, it just works for me

Miami (UND's opponent next week) is enough tougher than Bemidji St (Mankato's opponent next week) that UND should have the edge if both emerge with comparable weekend records. Both are road series, so wins will be overweighted and losses underweighted. Of course, as we saw this weekend, it's so close that other things could change and offset that advantage.

UND's lead over Minnesota State is a razor thin 58.97 to 58.83 in RPI. If those were the only two games played tonight, Minnesota St gets enough of an additional RPI bonus from beating Mich Tech that Minnesota State would retake #1 if both Minnesota St and UND win. If both lose, however, UND keeps the lead. Of course, those aren't the only two games being played tonight, and the margins are thin enough that something else could flip.

Duplicate of discussion here.

We're back on! Thanks for patience.

FYI -- the service provider that hosts SiouxSports.com told me that they need to perform some emergency maintenance on some of the physical hardware that hosts SiouxSports.com. The site may have limited availability from 8:40PM ET - 10:40PM ET. Sorry for any inconvenience.

FYI -- the service provider that hosts SiouxSports.com told me that they need to perform some emergency maintenance on some of the physical hardware that hosts SiouxSports.com. The site may have limited availability from 8:40PM ET - 10:40PM ET. Sorry for any inconvenience.

I noticed while working on the PWR simulations this week, there's a new #1 in KRACH.

This is UND's best chance at climbing to #1 in a long time: http://collegehockeyranked.com/2015/02/25/big-pwr-games-of-the-week/ KRACH says the teams are about equal, with #3 Michigan Tech having about a 46% chance of winning each game. Even one loss by Minnesota State would open the door for North Dakota.

Oh my, UND made the "Big PWR Game of the Week"TM (not really). Alas, it's not because anything interesting is happening to UND, but UND could give quite a gift to Western Michigan by dropping a couple

I see what happened, it got lost in a bunch of spam. Fixed.

Sorry about that, I'm making some back end changes to improve security which sometimes breaks things. I catch most of them, but be sure to point anything out that stops working. The newsfeed is fixed. Re: collegehockeyblogs, does this form not work for you? http://collegehockeyblogs.com/suggestfeed2014.php Re: contacting me, this form sends me an email: http://siouxsports.com/feedback.php (there's a link to it on the front page labeled "feedback")

Not surprisingly, this weekend is a big PWR matchup for UND. Weekly PWR outlook

People already buy/sell things like jerseys in the respective sports forums. Plus, there's a forum just for tickets. I suppose we could expand the ticket buy/sell into "Tickets, memorabilia, etc... buy/sell"? But I always thought people kind of liked having those threads in the sports forums.

And if you're wondering how teams other than UND are doing, Tournament cutlines revisited

UND's probably not moving up in it's idle week, but is in pretty good shape for the season. Weekly UND PWR Outlook

UND stands a chance of taking over #1 this weekend

Google says now they've really fixed it.

It seems some some guys snuck a bad ad (that redirects you to a different web page) past google. It was apparently a very widespread problem (google search results for "lemode-mgz redirect" -- though I wouldn't follow any of the advice on the pages offering to help "clean your computer"). Google said a few days ago that they were working on it network-wide, so hopefully they can stay better ahead of this sort of thing going forward: Google forum discussion on topic

I'm not a good enough statistician to answer that correctly. If you think of all of the games as the population and the completed results as the sample, you could probably create a confidence interval for some hypothesis (the ranked quality of a team?). But, the games aren't independent so I'm already lost. What I have done is some analysis as to how well the as-of-today PWR predicts the final PWR, which is what we probably really want to know. That's in When to start looking at PWR (revisited). The bottom line is that it has some predictive power right away in November, but gets continually better. I personally start paying attention after the Christmas break tournaments.

That's a good point -- polls are more useful than rankings for the first couple months because historical performance is probably a better indicator of likely strength than the small sample of games.

This isn't even a PWR vs KRACH question, because the rankings mentioned are all actually pretty much in agreement right now: Rankings comparison Harvard is #1, UND is #6-7. Where it gets interesting is teams like Minnesota-Duluth which only has the 15th best win percentage, but KRACH/PWR/RPI all put at #3 because of strength of schedule (or Mass.-Lowell getting the opposite effect). I think this is actually a rankings vs polls question. While polls have some relative strengths (they can take changes like injuries or hot streaks into account), they also have relative weaknesses (historical performance bias, lack of voters' consistent exposure to all the teams). I personally find the rankings a bit more credible.

A first look at the at-large tournament cutlines To save you the trouble of reading it... Who's a lock? No one. Who's out? #38 New Hampshire and below, but #28 Notre Dame and below have a steep hill to climb.

Moderator advice -- no one was talking about NDSU but you. Please desist. This is a thread about UND recruits.

There's a link at the bottom that says "moderating team", but here's a shortcut: The moderating team