I agree with the observation about what the Sioux need to do, and I'd go a step further and say we'll probably need to sweep SCSU to win the comparison.
The comparison over Miami (since we didn't play head to head) has 3 points.
Currently:
Point 1 is for RPI. Sioux .589, Miami .579
2 is for TUC, currently 0-0 since Miami has only played 9 TUC's. And if VT disappears from TUC status, that point likely won't come into play. (They would play at most 2 games vs TUC's in the CCHA playoffs.) Even if VT stays a TUC, if Miami loses to a TUC (State, Michigan or Notre Dame), then UND wins the comparision provided we win 6 of 8 remaining.
3 is for COP, currently Miami leads 3-0 vs 2-1. (But if we sweep SCSU, and if they lose to Michigan State, it flips to UND.)
Looking forward to the end of the season, each of the 3 points in the comparison could swing either way.
While the Sioux best chance is to sweep St Cloud AND to win at least 6 of 8 (keeping our TUC over .65), IF Miami wins 1 TUC game and doesn't lose to any other TUC's, AND if they don't lose to Michigan State, they'll win the comparison with UND regardless of how well we do.
I'd really much rather be a #1 seed, assuring we don't get sent to CC and making it much less likely that we get sent to play Wisconsin in Wisconsin. Anything else would be easy.