So as of Saturday AM, we're sitting T-5th in the Pairwise.
I think we have a great chance to get a #1 seed. In fact, my preferred scenario is for CC to get a #1 seed AND UND to get a #1. That way we don't get to face CC on their home ice where they are unbeaten. Send UND anywhere else, PLEASE. Also on my wish list is for Wisconsin to not qualify OR qualify as a #4 if the Sioux are a #1 - that way we won't get sent to Madison to play the Badgers on their home ice.
Here's one man's opinion of what has to happen for UND to get a #1 seed:
1) Raise the RPI to over .59.
For that to happen, UND needs to win 7 of 8 remaining regular season (6 of those at home!), win the 1st round WCHA, and win a game at the WCHA FF. Using the SS.com calculations (thanks guys!) and my basic excel skills, that gets us to .59.
2) New Hampshire needs to lose. A) Either drop 2 to BC, or B) lose a couple other games. If they were to lose too much, it would HURT the Sioux because we played them twice and all their wins give us points.
3) We need to sweep Denver, OR they need to lose a couple other games. (We're narrowly ahead today.)
There's lot of other possibilities for getting a #1, but that is the most likely.
4) Alternatively, even if Denver wins, we may pass Miami if they lose 2 games of their remaining. Their RPI plummets if they lose to a CCHA cupcake like Western Michigan.
5) OR, if Michigan were to lose tonight and get swept by Michigan State, that would drop them below UND. (If they
6) If UND were to play CC in the WCHA's, that would be critical because it gives us a chance to flip that comparison that is otherwise out of reach.