stickboy1956
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Posts posted by stickboy1956
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solid game overall. BE had some huge saves. take the point and cheer on scsu tonight
go sioux
get the 2 points tomorrow!!!
side note - the only 2 games this year where we scored 3 or more goals we didnt win was at cc in a loss earlier this season and this game at home in a tie
GO SIOUXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
go scsu !!
Our blueline had a rough game Sat. Joe needs to be our best D and he wasn't by a long shot. Rau's goal was all on Joe (not the goalie - note to the Ralph staff - he was the player of the game). Too many turnovers and too many gambles.
With CC's speed, fundamental hockey is a must (pucks to the net, finish checks all over the ice). Trying to be too fancy/ one-on-one won't work against this team. When we forechecked hard and physical, the puck stayed in their end. We need 60 min of that on Sun.
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Of all places why UMD? Is there area that great (never been there) or program for that matter (development of players for future NHL play)?
There are other AJHL players there at UMD.
Brett Hull was pretty good in the NHL. Niskanen and Raymond aren't bad, either.
If you look at the numbers it didn't add up for us - too many D coming in the next 2 years.
2010 projected roster
Marto sr
Lapoint sr
Blood jr
Feinhage jr
Mc William so
Gleason so
Mattson fr
(Forbert) USHL?
I'm sad for the Sioux but am glad for Scott he landed a high-profile recruit - better there than Den/Wisco. Of course UMTC doesn't need him.
With a new arena coming, Scott could keep landing good players from W Canada and N Minn.
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Actually, I see it being VERY detrimental towards UAA.
I do think it will affect our recruiting eventually.
They are right there when it comes to BC and Alberta. Even Saskatchewan isn't that far away.
I don't want UBC. I don't want UAH. I don't want BGSU to go away either.
Remember, many years ago, some would have said the same thing about UND.
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That's pretty neat, it's cool to see some people have a good head on their shoulders out there.
Typical hockey player - classy.
I'm glad I'm not a fan of this sport.
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Sorry -- just grabbed last year's outcome. Consider that a worst case if you'd like. For the record, last year's two losses were the worst in Hakstol's career, but UND also hasn't swept through the tourney since before SiouxSports has been keeping records (1998).
Fun question, and definitely possible.
I tried to permute enough matchups to give a good overall guide. All assume a sweep of the reg. season:
Two wins against MTech, a win over UMD, and a win over Denver: ~70% chance of being #4 or higher
Two wins against MTech, a win over UW, and a win over Denver: ~80% chance of being #4 or higher
Two wins against MTech, a win over UMD, and a loss to Denver: ~20% chance of being #4 or higher
Two wins/one loss against MTech, a win over UMD, and a win over Denver: ~50% chance of being #4 or higher
Two wins against MTech, a win over UW, and a win over Minnesota: ~70% chance of being #4 or higher
Two wins against MTech, a win over SCSU, and a loss to Minnesota: ~30% chance of being #4 or higher
You get the idea...
Thanks Jim, great work.
Safe to say beating higher ranked (RPI) teams the rest of the year give us a chance to get a #1 seed. In some ways, we should be rooting for the higher ranked WCHA teams to be winning the rest of the way (including Denver), except when they play us.
For example, it would be better for us to face/beat Denver in the Final5 final than see them upset in the semis by Wisco/CC.
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The latest brackets from USCHO:
Bridgeport looks to be the easiest bracket...I think DU could easily advance out of there (especially with Bozak back).
I'm not really a fan of the UND bracket. I like that they are in Minneapolis, but a rematch against a tough Princeton team, and then a potential showdown against UMD or UM.
That's what you get when you are a 3 seed. Would be great to run the table and end up #1 at the Mooch.
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Good reminder. I was pondering the likely impact of the conference tournament the other day and it occurred to me that one problem is that due to our success, the first round opponent will be weak so the games won't be worth nearly as much as the CC and UW games. Looking at UND's RPI breakdown, you can see that our win over UW gives us .6530, a win over CC is .6385, but a win over MTech is only .5848. That's slightly higher than our likely RPI of .54-.55 and there will be some COP benefit, but those games might present significantly more downside potential than upside. As you said...
It's conceivable that going 2-1 in the opening round then splitting the Final Five games would leave us about where we were going in.
That is why it is important to finish the reg season strong, 3-1 at least. That would build up our RPI to a point where 2-1/1-1 would still get us in the NCAA.
I would like to see what would happen if we run the table - could we crack the top 4 and get a #1 seed? I suppose if one of those wins is against Denver that would help.
The Final 5 is going to be huge for the 3-5 seeds. One team at the Final 5 could lose 2 games (I think the 3rd place game can end in a tie) - that could be enough to push them out of the tournament.
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That is a great idea. I like it.
Just think of it as dressing 7 D and starting the game with Miller playing F and CF as the #6 D.
In crunch time, if needed, you could move Miller back to D and play with 11 F. Hak would probably shorten the bench in this situation anyway if Davidson was in the lineup.
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Thanks for the info, it seems like we'll definitely be able to tell which it way is if the situation arises.
UMass, 0.5097 (#24), 14-15-3
Too many wins will push them over .500, too many losses will push them out of the top 25 RPI. It'll be difficult for them to thread the needle, but it's certainly possible. In addition to Mankato, NMU or Maine could conceivably also get into the same situation.
If I recall, doesn't the "committee" have some sort of presser the week before selection Sun (the week of the F5)? I seem to recall USCHO/CHN covering this.
If so this question would be an important one to ask.
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will a mankato win be enough to get them to be a TUC and ifso how many spots would we move up?
We move up to 10 with a MSU win (even if -500 teams are not TUC's).
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This is how I remember it as well.
I don't recall him being ripped on at all (aside from some people calling him a bust), but most posters realized that he was injured for a good portion of the time that he was here, which is a good reason why he didn't take the ice that much.
With how he has played this year in the USHL, it seems that he is fully recovered, which is great. Hopefully he comes back next year and does well.
I think some were expecting another Oshie.
Others thought otherwise. He is obvously now healthy and will be interesting to see how much he contributes next year.
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Here's what the championship handbook has to say:
I could see it going either way -- don't compare to them as a TUC because they're not .500, or count them as a TUC but just don't pick them at large. However, to me the latter seems slightly more consistent with the way the NCAA usually implements such rules.
In the face of such ambiguity, I usually just have the PWR calculation do what CHN & USCHO do on the possibility one of them got the scoop from the committee and because people like the consistency. If it occurs this year that there's a sub .500 in the top 25, there's a small chance we'll be able to tell based on who gets selected.
Using Slack.net "Do your own rankings," a win by Mankato tonight bumps our RPI to .5495 (currently .5486), UNO win drops our RPI to .5476, a tie drops the RPI to .5485.
Where we end up in the PWR depends on whether or not UMass is considered a TUC, because their record is below .500.
Slack.net default calculation settings do not include teams below .500 and their PWR rankings are different than UCHO/CHN.
Without UMass as a TUC we are currently 10 in the PWR (via Slack.net)
http://slack.net/~whelan/tbrw/tbrw.cgi?2009
1 Boston Univ 23 .5970
2 Notre Dame 22 .5828
3 Michigan 21 .5706
4 Denver U 19 .5595
5 NorthEastern 18 .5675
6 Vermont 18 .5582
7 Princeton 17 .5546
8 Cornell 15 .5508
9 New Hampshire 15 .5504
10 North Dakota 15 .5486
11 Miami 14 .5477
12 Yale 13 .5476
13 Minn-Duluth 11 .5424
14 Ohio State 9 .5386
15 CO College 8 .5333
16 St Lawrence 8 .5306
With Mass as a TUC we are 11 in the PWR (via USCHO)
1 Boston University 24 .5970*
2t Notre Dame 22 .5828*
2t Michigan 22 .5706
4t Denver 20 .5595
4t Vermont 20 .5582
6 Princeton 18 .5546*
7 Northeastern 17 .5675
8t Cornell 16 .5508
8t New Hampshire 16 .5504
8t Miami 16 .5477
11 North Dakota 15 .5486
12 Yale 14 .5476*
13 Minnesota-Duluth 12 .5424
14 St. Lawrence 11 .5306
15 Ohio State 10 .5386
16 Colorado College 9 .5333
You see how this could be a big deal for teams on the bubble (12-14) and would impact the seedings.
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Is it time to consider moving Miller back to F?
He could still man the point on the PP. Most of his goals/assists have come on the PP anyway.
Trupp is an offensive player, not a grinder. If Toews can't go, does it make sense to throw another grinder (Davidson) in the lineup?
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as of 11pm central time we are 12 in Pwr according to CHN
http://www.collegehockeynews.com/ratings/ncaapwcr.php
In RPI we are .0012 behind Yale and .0013 behind Miami. If we can pass those team's tonight we could move up to 10 (actually tie with Cornell and NH for 8th).
Next 2 weeks we can make up some more ground in RPI by playing top 20 teams.
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Watching the Habs/Sens on NHL Network. First time I've had chance to see BLee play for the Sens this year.
Is it just me or has he gotten a lot bigger in 2 years?
What a sick league it would be if guys like Lee Oshie Toews Wheeler Kessel EJohnson (without a golf cart injury) Niskanen, Raymond, Turris etc. were still around.
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i have no problem with the rankings. they are the same every season although i do agree with some points of change maybe noted above but we have about 3 losses that have really made it a uphill climb more than usual for the sioux. keep winning and we will be very nice in the end!! go sioux
Also - the system was not designed track movement from week to week, due to factors like strength of schedule, etc. that go into the RPI formula.
What matters is the body of work for the entire season.
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Because, with the Gopher D being as bad as it is, the only reason why CC didn't win in regulation was that they lacked a finisher.
Sioux-Hab-It: I think it is part coaching, but Guentzel's departure really doesn't indicate something is wrong. For all we know, Guentzel left because Lucia didn't want to recruit his son and Guentzel wanted to be close to his son while he was in college. Who knows, really. UW had some departures in the past coaching wise, including the goaltending coach this year. However, that doesn't seem to affect UW. The fact is, the college game is changing. I really believe that the WCHA is becoming more of a defensive league for a variety or reasons. When that is the case, you have to recruit accordingly. This is something UND has done very well on average historically. Lucia's recruiting focuses on offensive aspects to the game and relies upon clogging up the passing lanes and good goaltending to cover for any other defensive lapses. If you play physical and are able to get decent passing, the rest seems to fall into place for their opponent.
That being said, I wonder if CC can put together a sweep of a team like Minnesota. They haven't this year really.
I would not be surprised in the slightest to see Minnesota win today.
With Mike Guentzel gone, there is no one on the Gopher staff that wore the "M."
Contrast that with UND. The Sioux staff can speak personally to the history and traditions of the program.
It's "family" at UND. That's not the case at UMTC - I know several ex-players disappointed that Guentzel is gone, among other things.
Both programs get talented players - UMTC maybe more. I don't think there is any question which progam gets the gritty players who will do the dirty work for the stars.
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Just found out this place is a Paul Bunyan package.
Punchline, anyone?
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Exactly. I forgot to talk about the Big 10 Network and how successful that has been as of late. The allure of every game being televised on a great network would be huge and would help PSU get off it's feet faster than anyone would think. B10 would be a powerhouse.
For UMTC, what's a larger check?
The check FSN writes to UMTC for the hockey rights
or
The increase from the Big10 Network if/when there is a Big10 hockey conf.
It's obviously from FSN. Its money they don't have to share with anyone else.
I don't know if FSN would carry any hockey games not covered by the Big10 network - I don't recall any Gopher football/basketball being shown on FSN since the Big10 network began.
FSN would be looking for programming and regional WCHA hockey would be a nice addition.
The Gophers have a great thing going with FSN right now - good money coming in and exclusive coverage over the entire region. Why would they want to change that? There is no upside for them to do so.
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For argument's sake I don't think Gleason would be very happy to spend another year in the USHL. Based on Brad's interview last summer he was O.K. with it this year but not in complete agreement: http://www.areavoices.com/undhockey/?blog=30514 And other players have noted that the coaches usually give the player an option to come in if they believe they are ready, but they just don't gurantee any playing time.
This is the only conflict I see in Olsen's recruitment. Obviously he is a top-end prospect and a guy you definately bring in if he says yes, but it creates an interesting situation for next year's class. In my opinion they will have 8 d-men next year if Olsen chooses UND and Genoway stays and the players will be forced to compete. The one thing that keeps bugging about this is that a player may be compelled to leave if he feels his ice time will be limited. I guess we'll just have to see what Olsen decides.
Even if Genoway leaves early and we get Olsen, 2010 would be a logjam for D
1 Sr Marto
2 Sr Lapoint
3 Jr Blood
4 Jr Feinhage
5 So Mc Williams
6 So Olsen
7 So Gleason
8 Fr Mattson
I don't see Marto or Lapoint leaving early. Forbort is not on this list and he is a cinch to be a top draft pick and it would be hard to make him wait a year. Even if we don't get Olsen, it is still a logjam.
The numbers don't add up for Olsen to come here.
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this is the release and where it will be shown, if not then its free on webcast through uaa site
The GCI production will be made available on channel 23 Grand Forks and in the immediate Grand Forks viewing area, which includes the East Grand Forks, Grand Forks Air Force Base, Drayton, Grafton, Minto, Manvel, Larimore, Crookston, Thompson, Reynolds, Buxton, Hatton, Mayville, Portland, Hillsboro, Galesburg and Grandin.
Looking ahead - I wonder what the TV/webcast situation will be for the Wisconsin series - the Cup may be on the line.
It looks like Charter Wisconsin will be covering those games in Madison, not FSN Wisco.
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Here's my prediction for this week's USCHO bracketology
Northeast (Manchester)
1 BU v 4 RIT
3 NH (h) v 2 Den
Midwest (Grand Rapids)
1 Mich v 4 BSU/Niagara
3 Princeton v 2 Miami
East (Bridgeport)
1 Northeastern v 4 UMD
3 UND v 2 Yale (h)
West (Mlps)
1 Vermont v 4 UMTC (h)
3 Cornell v 2 Notre Dame
re: my previous post about UND going to Mlps - this week's Btogly shows how avoiding 1st round conf match ups can shake up the natural bracket. Cornell had to flip with UND to avoid a 1st round game with Yale. Otherwise we were pegged for Mlps.
This is why it will be hard to predict a regional destination for the Sioux.
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"Regionalization," or the NCAA's cost-cutting restrictions on placement of teams in the NCAA tournament bracket, has been put on hold for one year, according to Steve Cady, chair of the Men's Division I Ice Hockey Committee and associate athletic director at Miami.
http://www.collegehockeynews.com/news/2009...onalization.php
Good news for fans of bracket integrity. It appears that aside from placing host teams in their region and avoiding 1st round conf matchups, the only other reason to "break the bracket" for geography would be moving teams around within a "seeding band."
I predicitng we end up in Mlps this year, unless we need to be moved to avoid a 1st round game with UMTC.
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Just added another goal.
Love the black jerseys.
Blacks are sweet - the reds are top 5 in all sports uniforms.
SIOUX Recruits - 2008-09 Updates, Monitoring Their Junior League Play
in Men's Hockey
Posted
It also depends how many extra F they want on the roster - counting Miller's slot, they have 3 sitting every game - is that too many?
It wouldn't shock me if both Knight and Mattson play Jr. next year, if Forney comes here next year.
I've said this before - if we need one more F, I would be shocked if it isn't Mattson v Knight.