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Midwestern Hawk

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Posts posted by Midwestern Hawk

  1. On 11/27/2022 at 8:39 AM, Midwestern Hawk said:

    I think things will be much the same as far as coaching and personnel.  Here is a very early prediction on the 2023 season...

    Drake - easy W

    Northern Arizona - W

    @Boise State - L

    @South Dakota State - L

    Western Illinois - W

    North Dakota State - L

    @Northern Iowa - L

    Indiana State - W

    @Murray State - Toss up - bad team but we are on road in a new venue

    @South Dakota - Toss up - avg team but on the road

    Illinois State - Toss up - good team but at home

    There you have it.  somewhere between 4-7 and 7-4.  

    After the result in Fargo, I move the @USD game to a L.  We finish between 3-8 and 6-5.

    • Upvote 2
  2. 15 hours ago, gundy1124 said:

    At least we won the game last season vrs NAU but we were lucky as heck.  Danny was off, like way off most of the game and were toast before Bo made a ridiculous play or two and some trickeration.  What we do have going is we play much better at home.  

    TEAM STATS             UND    NAU

    1st Downs                     19      28

    3rd down efficiency   3-11  9-16

    Total Yards                 318     448 

    Passing yards            206     324

    Comp-Att                  21-33   33-48

    Rushing                        112     124

    Rushing Attempts         25      35

    Possession                 31:15     28:45

    Hard to argue with your analysis.  Just reinforces my points throughout this thread as to where UND is as a program.  I do think the ALERUS is worth a TD minimum, so I would still pick us at this point.   If for some reason we lose at home to NAU, then all bets are off, IMO, for the rest of the season.  2-5 going into Indiana State would be a disaster for all of us.

  3. On 4/15/2023 at 2:59 PM, 108498 said:

    I hope I am way off, but I think UND will be 3-3 at best after 6 games in the fall. Losses at Boise St. and South Dakota St. And a loss against NDSU. 

    The day the season starts I will likely be back to 100% fan and be hoping for a championship season, my excitement will likely grow after drubbing Drake and what should be a victory at home vs NAU.  Boise will very likely bring us back to reality.   SDSU and NDSU are probably "ripe" for the picking, as some on here have pointed out, with changes at both programs.  At this point,  I just don't have the confidence we can get either job done.  

    If we are, in fact, 3-3 after 6, the tilt @UNI becomes hugely important.  A victory there, and a hell of a season is still possible, 3-4 and then we are back to our usual "must-win" late season scenarios to even make the playoffs.

  4. 14 hours ago, Sioux94 said:

    So because most of us don't automatically assume things like Ziebarth will never be a capable back....etc. etc., that means we all have blind faith/ignorance?  Ok   And I think the fact that there are people on here discussing football in March.....is a good thing.  

    Passion is a great thing.

  5. 3 hours ago, nodak651 said:

    Interesting.  I think we're going to have one of the best offenses in the country and I think our defense is going to be better as well, in large part, due to the coaching changes.  I think we're gonna be  a top ten team.

    Since you've been fairly down about the program/bubba, I'm curious what you were thinking we were on the cusp of?  For example: Championship, Semi Finals quality, quarters, etc?

    IMO program was on the rise through the spring season.  Maybe I was fooled, but I thought we had arrived and would be where SDSU now sits.  UND should ALWAYS be a top 10 team, and a top 3 MVFC team.  We made the playoffs last fall, but we were like 3 plays from being 4-7 instead of 7-4.  We crapped the bed in Fargo and in the first half of the playoff game.  

     

    My heart says 8-3 or 9-2, my brain after 9 years of Bubba Ball says, we have 3 guaranteed wins, 3 guaranteed losses, and if the stars line up will win 4 of the other 5 and we will all be praying for a way into the playoffs come November.  

    • Upvote 1
  6. 4 hours ago, AJS said:

    I've learned over the years to pump the breaks on optimism, so who knows. I'm not seeing what you're seeing in the Secondary. They only lose Coley and Agyekum. You think Ocansey is an unknown? I am confident the CB position will be an actual strength. When we talk about comparing to last year, I would have a hard time believing that Safety would be worse. Not saying it'll be a strength, but I would think it should be improved (healthy Fort and Buckner in Yr 2).

    Agree that the Secondary will be better than last year? I don't see how it wouldn't be.

    D-Line. This is a bit more of an unknown, but they really only lose Morrison (which is a loss) and then more Depth. They lose #'s, but I like what they brought in from the Portal. Like Safety, I don't think they'll be worse. 

    LB I'm with you. I feel ok about ILB, but no idea what to think about OLB. At the same time, they weren't great last year, so how much worse could the OLB position actually get?

     

    A couple years ago it felt like the program was on the cusp, now it feels to me like will be fighting for .500.  

    • Downvote 1
  7. 35 minutes ago, Sioux94 said:

    Why do you think we will be worse on paper this year than last year.  I would think BH would have left last year if that is what he was worried about, we lost a ton on defense going into last year....from the previous year.  This year most are back.  Our corners have more experience, hopefully Buckner has picked things up at Safety....and Fort is healthy, we got a few DL transfers I believe.  Haven't done a thorough look through to compare, but I think on paper we are slightly better than last year.  We were pretty bad last year though, so only slightly better on paper still isn't really that good.  Defense will still be our biggest concern and likely our biggest weakness this fall.  Our offense is going to have to carry us again, and I am just hoping our Defense makes some timely plays when needed.  

    BH thought he had more going into last fall, than he actually had.  Never came together.

    For all of our sakes, I hope you are correct.  Last years D was not good by any stretch of the imagination.  We gave up over 30 points a game, 10 points more per game than in 2021.  We all knew going in with what had been lost from the previous year, I was hoping for improvement as the year went on and some guys would step up, It did not happen.   IMO, Even Krzanowski and Siegel had weaker seasons in 2022, due to the lack of supporting cast around them.   

    DL is still undersized and lots of question marks after the first 3, LBs are super key in a 3-4 and I have question marks at all 4 positions.  Siegel will be strong, and Kaupinen is a liability in coverage, the other CB and safety are unknowns.  Again, hopefully I am wrong

  8. 31 minutes ago, fightingsioux4life said:

    A downgrade job.....with a higher salary. Let that sink in.

    Like I said BH also knew it was time to move on.  On paper, the defense will be worse than last fall and will be miles from some of his previous D's.  Joel will need to be a magician for the D to be even average.

    • Upvote 1
  9. On 2/13/2023 at 9:20 AM, farce poobah said:

    The timing of announcement gives hints as to what went on behind the scenes.  

    Immediately after last game, Head Coach asks DC for assessment, top to bottom of players, training, and all the DC staff.  And presumably a list of what to change for next season to improve results. 

    HC reviews the resulting assessment (couple weeks later), asks for changes (perhaps to DC staff).  They disagree.  HC says "its time to part ways, but I'll give you the chance to announce it to the world first".

    Bottom line, I think there's more changes to come. 

    I think BH got out while the getting was good, but time will tell.  How do we think this team will stop the run next season?  The offense will need to score 35 a game to win.  Anyone have any updates from Spring Ball?

     

    E2C69C21-4D41-4E54-984F-7EE152D7913D.jpeg

  10. On 1/4/2023 at 12:37 PM, nodak651 said:

    Relative to the competition, does Deboer have better or worse facilities than Bubba?  Despite the football team still not having a legit locker room (old one was going to be condemned) Bubba has put together a top 15 football program and the team is getting better and better.  Program is still trending in the right direction whether you feel like admitting it or not.  Program support matters just as much as coaching - see Stig for example.  Bubba just crushed Petrino this year as well, in Petrino's third season, but coaching...

    Bubba is a great man.  I am just tired of being 1-2 games over .500 or 1-2 games under .500, with games lost to questionable coaching.  Facilities have nothing to do with X’s and O’s.  Washington is a great example . Only thing which changed in Seattle,  is X’s and O’s, culture and game management.  If being a the best man won championships, we would need a gymnasium to house all the hardware won over the last decade.

    We should be in Frisco today.  We should be there 25% of the time, minimum.

    • Like 1
  11. 5 hours ago, The Sicatoka said:

    11-2 in his first year at "UDub"? Gushing seems reasonable. UDub was 4-8 in 2021.

    I have three UDub relatives. When DeBoer was hired they asked me. I said we picked Bubba over; they cringed. I said UND screwed up. They were still skeptical. 

    I set "the number" at 8 wins. If the UDub 2022 record was under 8 wins I'd owe a 1.75 of Tito's for each game under 8. Contrarily, for each win over 8 they'd owe me a 1.75 of Tito's. I made the bet with each of the three. So 11 wins, 3 over 8, times 3 bets ... 3 times 3 bets times 1.75 ... yeah, lotta Tito's coming to me. In my email this morning was note to go to Costco and send them the bill. And they didn't seem upset at all. :D 

     

    Coaching doesn't matter...;)

    • Like 2
  12. On 12/27/2022 at 1:03 PM, UND-FB-FAN said:

    Kinda missing the point, aren’t you?
     

    Re: Player utilization and development. 

    @UND1983 etal :

    "The coaching staff along with Baukol consistently develop the worst talent in the MVFC into a team which is consistently a game over .500".  Credit where credit is due...

  13. 10 minutes ago, UND08 said:

    You missed the memo MH...you're not allowed to be a UND fan and publicly question how things are done with the program!  We're just supposed to coach the same way, recruit the same way, administer the program the same way...and expect different results will just come!  We have to #TrustTheProcess for ten years and it'll eventually pay off!

    Or at least that's what I've been told both here and on social media...

    We are a game or two over .500 or under .500 every season because we are not lucky and NSDU and SDSU battle for championships every season because they are just "lucky";)...

    • Like 1
  14. 1 hour ago, F'n Hawks said:

    Considering it was a big part of the first D1 home playoff game meltdown, I think you can make the argument they are pretty close.

    Both bad, but we went for it at our own 20 yard line on 4th and 1...with the lead... in the 3rd quarter...against NDSU...with the lead. 

     

    I don't think the NDSU debacle will ever be topped, but the double reverse just reinforces my overall point.  

    • Like 2
  15. 15 hours ago, jdub27 said:

    It's truly astounding how you can continously contradict yourself to make each and every scenario fit your agenda and you either refuse see it or are just wilfully ignorant about it. I mean, bravo to blindly have that much conviction about something I guess? 

    How does that contradict what I have said?  Danny called the play, Danny works for Bubba. Why do so many of you make excuses for mediocrity over and over again?  Over time there is NO LUCK involved in winning and losing football games.  The 4th down vs NDSU is probably the worst situational football move I can remember.  If anyone can think of a worse situational move by a college or NFL football coach, let me know.

    • Like 1
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