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Midwestern Hawk

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Posts posted by Midwestern Hawk

  1. 21 minutes ago, AJS said:

    I posted this earlier this week. There is a chance that the reason it was so lopsided is because SDSU is a step or two better than ANY other FCS team, except for Montana State. Let’s let this one play out for a few more weeks. 

    Even if they’re the best FCS team, we had zero answers for them on O or D.  

    Many of you have played and/or coached.  

    Was this game over before it began?  (Art of War).  I’ve had that feeling  about this team the last season and a half.  Actually since the Bison debacle at the Alerus.

    • Upvote 1
  2. On 10/2/2023 at 10:56 AM, SIOUXFAN97 said:

    4-4 so far.......any changes with USD beating the bizons in fargo?

    After the Yotes beat the Bison, the game @USD moves to a "L" from a "toss up".  Remainder of the schedule gives us 2 more wins(W Ill and Ind St), 3 losses( NDSU, @UNI, @USD) and 2 "toss-ups"(@Murray St and Ill St).   

    We will finish with 4-6 wins and 5-7 losses. 

    Vintage Bubba ball.

    • Upvote 1
  3. 13 minutes ago, AJS said:

    I've talked about this before, but it just feels like a high-stakes year for the program. You can feel the frustration from the fanbase. As much as things feel off right now, the hope has to be that UND just got the best team in the FCS (which is true) A+ game on the road. Next three games feel like it's make or break for Bubba. Where I'll disagree with some is I think an 8-3 record would be a success, but with how uninspiring and frustrating the Boise State / SDSU games have been, the NDSU game is feeling more and more like a must win. 

    Based on the last 2 games, and more importantly, Bubba's body of work over the last 2+ seasons, winning 6 of the next 7 games is little more than a pipe dream.  Anything is still possible but when a team can't throw the ball downfield, cant run the ball consistently and cant stop the run it does not usually end well.   

    I'm afraid our big game coaching acumen was on display in the first quarter as we could not move the ball and could not stop our opponent after a bye week.  UGh. 

  4. 9 minutes ago, nodakvindy said:

    That was fine 10 years ago. No longer an excuse. Need an infusion on new ideas and new blood into the program.  Unfortunately UND"s seeming abervsion to bring in any outsiders probably prevents that. 

    Let’s not forget we defeated SDSU in Spring of 2021 and we were driving for the go ahead score late in the 4th in the fall of 2021.  IMO we have faltered since.

    • Upvote 1
  5. On 11/27/2022 at 8:39 AM, Midwestern Hawk said:

    I think things will be much the same as far as coaching and personnel.  Here is a very early prediction on the 2023 season...

    Drake - easy W

    Northern Arizona - W

    @Boise State - L

    @South Dakota State - L

    Western Illinois - W

    North Dakota State - L

    @Northern Iowa - L

    Indiana State - W

    @Murray State - Toss up - bad team but we are on road in a new venue

    @South Dakota - Toss up - avg team but on the road

    Illinois State - Toss up - good team but at home

    There you have it.  somewhere between 4-7 and 7-4.  

    After the result in Fargo, I move the @USD game to a L.  We finish between 3-8 and 6-5.

    • Upvote 2
  6. 15 hours ago, gundy1124 said:

    At least we won the game last season vrs NAU but we were lucky as heck.  Danny was off, like way off most of the game and were toast before Bo made a ridiculous play or two and some trickeration.  What we do have going is we play much better at home.  

    TEAM STATS             UND    NAU

    1st Downs                     19      28

    3rd down efficiency   3-11  9-16

    Total Yards                 318     448 

    Passing yards            206     324

    Comp-Att                  21-33   33-48

    Rushing                        112     124

    Rushing Attempts         25      35

    Possession                 31:15     28:45

    Hard to argue with your analysis.  Just reinforces my points throughout this thread as to where UND is as a program.  I do think the ALERUS is worth a TD minimum, so I would still pick us at this point.   If for some reason we lose at home to NAU, then all bets are off, IMO, for the rest of the season.  2-5 going into Indiana State would be a disaster for all of us.

  7. On 4/15/2023 at 2:59 PM, 108498 said:

    I hope I am way off, but I think UND will be 3-3 at best after 6 games in the fall. Losses at Boise St. and South Dakota St. And a loss against NDSU. 

    The day the season starts I will likely be back to 100% fan and be hoping for a championship season, my excitement will likely grow after drubbing Drake and what should be a victory at home vs NAU.  Boise will very likely bring us back to reality.   SDSU and NDSU are probably "ripe" for the picking, as some on here have pointed out, with changes at both programs.  At this point,  I just don't have the confidence we can get either job done.  

    If we are, in fact, 3-3 after 6, the tilt @UNI becomes hugely important.  A victory there, and a hell of a season is still possible, 3-4 and then we are back to our usual "must-win" late season scenarios to even make the playoffs.

  8. 14 hours ago, Sioux94 said:

    So because most of us don't automatically assume things like Ziebarth will never be a capable back....etc. etc., that means we all have blind faith/ignorance?  Ok   And I think the fact that there are people on here discussing football in March.....is a good thing.  

    Passion is a great thing.

  9. 3 hours ago, nodak651 said:

    Interesting.  I think we're going to have one of the best offenses in the country and I think our defense is going to be better as well, in large part, due to the coaching changes.  I think we're gonna be  a top ten team.

    Since you've been fairly down about the program/bubba, I'm curious what you were thinking we were on the cusp of?  For example: Championship, Semi Finals quality, quarters, etc?

    IMO program was on the rise through the spring season.  Maybe I was fooled, but I thought we had arrived and would be where SDSU now sits.  UND should ALWAYS be a top 10 team, and a top 3 MVFC team.  We made the playoffs last fall, but we were like 3 plays from being 4-7 instead of 7-4.  We crapped the bed in Fargo and in the first half of the playoff game.  

     

    My heart says 8-3 or 9-2, my brain after 9 years of Bubba Ball says, we have 3 guaranteed wins, 3 guaranteed losses, and if the stars line up will win 4 of the other 5 and we will all be praying for a way into the playoffs come November.  

    • Upvote 1
  10. 4 hours ago, AJS said:

    I've learned over the years to pump the breaks on optimism, so who knows. I'm not seeing what you're seeing in the Secondary. They only lose Coley and Agyekum. You think Ocansey is an unknown? I am confident the CB position will be an actual strength. When we talk about comparing to last year, I would have a hard time believing that Safety would be worse. Not saying it'll be a strength, but I would think it should be improved (healthy Fort and Buckner in Yr 2).

    Agree that the Secondary will be better than last year? I don't see how it wouldn't be.

    D-Line. This is a bit more of an unknown, but they really only lose Morrison (which is a loss) and then more Depth. They lose #'s, but I like what they brought in from the Portal. Like Safety, I don't think they'll be worse. 

    LB I'm with you. I feel ok about ILB, but no idea what to think about OLB. At the same time, they weren't great last year, so how much worse could the OLB position actually get?

     

    A couple years ago it felt like the program was on the cusp, now it feels to me like will be fighting for .500.  

    • Downvote 1
  11. 35 minutes ago, Sioux94 said:

    Why do you think we will be worse on paper this year than last year.  I would think BH would have left last year if that is what he was worried about, we lost a ton on defense going into last year....from the previous year.  This year most are back.  Our corners have more experience, hopefully Buckner has picked things up at Safety....and Fort is healthy, we got a few DL transfers I believe.  Haven't done a thorough look through to compare, but I think on paper we are slightly better than last year.  We were pretty bad last year though, so only slightly better on paper still isn't really that good.  Defense will still be our biggest concern and likely our biggest weakness this fall.  Our offense is going to have to carry us again, and I am just hoping our Defense makes some timely plays when needed.  

    BH thought he had more going into last fall, than he actually had.  Never came together.

    For all of our sakes, I hope you are correct.  Last years D was not good by any stretch of the imagination.  We gave up over 30 points a game, 10 points more per game than in 2021.  We all knew going in with what had been lost from the previous year, I was hoping for improvement as the year went on and some guys would step up, It did not happen.   IMO, Even Krzanowski and Siegel had weaker seasons in 2022, due to the lack of supporting cast around them.   

    DL is still undersized and lots of question marks after the first 3, LBs are super key in a 3-4 and I have question marks at all 4 positions.  Siegel will be strong, and Kaupinen is a liability in coverage, the other CB and safety are unknowns.  Again, hopefully I am wrong

  12. 31 minutes ago, fightingsioux4life said:

    A downgrade job.....with a higher salary. Let that sink in.

    Like I said BH also knew it was time to move on.  On paper, the defense will be worse than last fall and will be miles from some of his previous D's.  Joel will need to be a magician for the D to be even average.

    • Upvote 1
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