20 wins is generally the cut line vicinity for the tournament assuming no bad losses.
We currently have 15 wins, 4 OT losses, and 1 tie.
10 wins were at home in regulation, worth .8, so 8 wins.
1 was home OT, worth .8 * .67, so 0.5 wins.
3 OT losses at home, worth .8 * .33 each, so 0.8 wins.
Tie was at home, so .5*.8= 0.4 wins.
On the road, 3 wins * 1.2 is 3.6 wins.
1 OT win on the road is 1.2 * .67= 0.8 wins
1 OT loss on the road is 1.2 *.33 = 0.4 wins
Summed up we have 14.5 wins, which we can round up to 15 with the quality win bonus. Sweep, or at least no losses to the two pairwise poison opponents left (Miami and Duluth) and we can handle some losses to more formidable opponents along the way and still be in position to make the tournament. 14 games left, with 8 on the road.