The Sicatoka

Bossy, now Lefleur. Rough stretch for some greats.

That's the model they used when they bought a parcel along I-94 on the Fargo/West Fargo line about a decade ago. Today it's a 10-story hospital with a specialty center planned for next to it.

Shhh!!! .... dammit ... shhhh!!!!

Someone must've heard me. @UNDmhockey just tweeted a "Louie Louie".

Past outcomes don't impact future results. If you should win 30% on average you'll win 30%. Four seeds are winning 37%. There's an outside factor in play raising the expected 30%. What is it? A reasonable idea beyond 'empty rink' is clear: Look past. UMn had a case of it vs Holy Cross (knowing UND and UMi were in the building).

And now a Michigan recruit (Fin Williams) is trading one ugly helmet for another. <-- Bad omen for Mel?

UMKC. Clemson. UMKC. Clemson. ... hmmm ... check please!

I know a guy who was at that game. He believes that experience, that humbling hard pounding by UND as he called it, toughened up RPI for their 1985 run.

Pucker Factor: High

C'mon @stoneySIOUX, you promised me you'd never re-air that outtake of us. And I still don't like that brown suit with that gold tie on you.

Let's use this years KRACH and the 3 v 14 (a regional 1 v 4) game that did happen: WMU and NE'n NE'n: 198.8 WMU: 470.6 WMU should win 70.3% of the time, NE'n 29.7%. That was a 3v14. The 1v16 and 2v15 should have stronger favorite win percentages. The 4v13 a little less. Call it "expect 30%" based on WMU/NE'n. Overall the actual 37% is stronger than the about 30% KRACH (WMU/NE'n) would have me expect. I'd say the regional 4s are getting a touch of help (37 > 30) in empty rinks.

I had no idea what an "AthleticDirectorU" is so I read their About page: I'm currently OD'd on buzzwords. Please pass the Narcan. But I am stealing "pragmatic ideation".

The specter haunting Mel Pearson and Michigan: https://www.michigandaily.com/ice-hockey/michigan-hockey-under-investigation/

Mel Pearson might not be long for Michigan. Schloss tweeted he's not at the NCAA coaches meetings in Naples. Big trouble in Ann Arbor? That's a shame.

But if you're a college hockey coach worried about keeping your position, apparently you can be.

This year in my plan would've been: AIC @ Michigan Harv @ MSU-M NE'n @ WMU Lowell @ DU MTU @ UMD UMass @ UMn SCSU @ UND <-- you might convince me to not allow intraconference first round games Notre Dame @ Q'piac ------- I'll assume 2022 winners won (with exception of the two games that didn't happen) Notre Dame @ Mich Q'piac @ MSU-M UMn @ WMU UMD @ DU ------------- Frozen Four

Go to an unregionalized 16 team field based on current process of team selection and seeded by final regular season PWR. Round of 16: The 8 higher seeds host best of 3 series at home sites. Round of 8: After reseeding the winners (again using final regular season PWR, not updated after Round of 16), best of 3 at higher seed sites. Round of 4: Frozen Four at predetermined site.

NCAA FCS (football) uses home sites up to the final two.

Heck of Twitter chat (battle?) going between Schloss, Milewski, and Woden. Woden's saying "hate to break it to you again - but there's zero impetus to make any change like this" <-- basically the small schools don't want to have to play in big, full rinks in front of ... < gasp > ... people! https://twitter.com/SchlossmanGF

The empty regionals barns will be a topic in the coaches meetings: https://www.grandforksherald.com/sports/und-hockey/commentary-its-time-to-revisit-the-idea-of-home-regionals-at-the-ncaa-mens-hockey-tournament How would you reformat the tourney to make for better environments?

And 18 total but divisible scholarships is a hard number no matter roster size <-- known fixed expense. As you say, as roster grows you have a significant variable expense.

Looks like Cavanaugh at UConn used BC's interest in him to leverage a new deal with UConn. Speculation is BC will go after Greg Brown (former York assistant, currently USHL Dubuque) next.

If you're a numbers geek, or are bored during a weekend of blizzards or thunderstorms, there's a great database on the budgets of college athletics at: https://knightnewhousedata.org/ The sorts and comparison and graphing features are really good.

I see where you're coming from. What I wonder is what impact does carrying 29 (vs 26 or 27) on a roster have on overall athletics department Title IX equity and proportionality numbers?

That needed highlighting. If there's attitudinal problems which affect team morale the formula changes.