From the link, Scenario 7 played out, (forget Notre Dame, think Big East instead):
Big East gets raided, Big East raids A10, A10 raids Horizon, Horizon raids Summit. Quoting the scenario:
I don't believe IPFW. I agree with one of the commenters when they said:
Conference moves will be about markets.
And remember, these are fans not worried about a moniker and conference membership pondering these things.