Cratter

Bubba sucked on the road...gotta go find that stat. Schmidt (very small sample size) looks way more prepared.

UND is predicted to win 31‐24.

....the computer rankings from last year when all was said and done. UND Football was ranked the 20th. That's pretty decent. Let's not pretend we were 41st. Not great but thats where a few keys plays and they're suddenly likely 14th.

They do appear to be better....but also UND football had one of its worse years in awhile last year.... So given a "bad UND football" year last year...the outcome prediction of games this year is mainly based on last year... Let's compare, real vs predicted (FCS games): UND vs Portland: Likely Score 41-21...Actual 50-20. UND vs Montana: Likely Score 23-24...Actual 28-30. UND vs Valparaiso: Likely Score 43 -7...Actual 58-7. UND just slightly better than they should be doing based largely on last years performance...which was not obviously a good year in UND Football. Im just pointing out there was 1) no worries at this point last year 2) the cupboard wasn't as bare as the record seems because they were also a key plays from winning and making the playoffs...including beating Montana. Biggest takeaway: lotta football left to play and most of these games, especially road games and/or vs good teams... Still remain coin flips....and those games are where the season is won or lost.

Through four games. Both teams look the same. The only difference was "looked better at FBS game." But one FBS game one shouldn't put much stock in. (Let alone seeing KSU dropped hard) So we all saw it and got that little "wow boost"....this is called a "bias". Both teams played a "good Montana school" last year at this point....and the outcomes were essentially the same.

I have claimed neither pessimism nor optimism.

Youre using a sample size of 2024 entire season. Vs a few games this year. Your statistics teacher wouldn't be happy with you.

Just like your earlier claim about this year "we were close a few points, couple plays from winning." Ot, one posession games, and then a defeated last game loss. "Last year the record reflected how bad they were....but not this season!" Short memory.

We know the season really comes down to only a handful of remaining games: S Illinois NDSU USD SDSU ....best guess.....500? Win the 2 at home and lose the two on the road?

Not disagreeing with anything you wrote. Just adding last years team was a few key plays from making the playoffs too. Their record wasn't as bad as it seemed. Just like UND today 2-2 isnt as bad as it seems.

We do know this team can easily blow big leads. We know they can beat up the skinny weaks kid at home. That's all we know.

This team has won 2 games against cupcakes. Lost 2 games.... But "looks way better than last year." Sounds like a Viking fan pumping JJ after the Bears game. Only a fool thinks there's enough evidence to claim anything.

Meh. The team doesnt look much different than last year. (Edit for clarification....im responding to quote above vs "similar teams" aka "crappy teams.") Lost close games last year and already lost close game this year. Beat #4 Montana last year. Opened the season 4-1 last year with only loss to FBS team. Scored 72 last year on our "Valparaiso equivalent." (<---see im comparing "vs similar teams"). There was a fine line between good and bad season last year. (Edit: "Fine Line" means a few key plays) And it feels like its the same thing this year. Last year fell below that line. This year..tbd...but that recent Montana game could be some foreshadowing...

Shows my age i guess. Was unaware UMC dropped football. They use to come to the Alerus as the usual opener.

11,424

Valparaiso ready to go home.

All I want for Christmas is more entertaining 4th quarter home football games.

Still another quarter to go? Zzzz

If the attendance was announced and the Italian moon still open even oxbow would have left.

Romfo is the running qb now?

Slow start but Valparaiso worn down now.

On that one play Valparaiso got more yards than all their first half plays combined.

I'll take the over.

Worlds easiest pin at the one....missed

Valparaiso is the Crookston of FCS.