NoDak is currently 4th in the WCHA with 28 points. Here are the standings as of Sunday 2/23.
WCHA Overall
Team GP W-L-T Pts.
1 Colorado College 24 16-3-5 37
2 MSU-Mankato 26 14-5-7 35
3 Minnesota 24 13-6-5 31
4 North Dakota 24 12-8-4 28
5 Minnesota-Duluth 24 12-9-3 27
Denver 24 11-8-5 27
7 St. Cloud State 24 10-10-4 24
8 Michigan Tech 24 6-15-3 15
9 Wisconsin 24 5-15-4 14
10 Alaska-Anchorage 26 0-20-6 6
Here are the possible finishes for UND from 2nd to 3rd and what it would take for that to happen.
2nd - UND must win remaining 4 games, get 8 points for 36 total. MSU-M must lose both games to CC. UMN can only get 4 points in their final 4 games (Denver, SCSU).
3rd - UND can either win remaining 4 games, MSU-M loses both to CC, and UMN picks up 5+ points in final 4 games.
- Or get 4 points more in their last 4 games, than UMN gets. Possibilities for that are:
UND 7, UMN 3
UND 6, UMN 2
UND 5, UMN 1
UND 4, UMN 0.
- However, if Denver gets 1 more point that UND does in the final 4 games, then UND drops to 4th.
There are way to many different possibilites for 4th through 7th...however just to add this:
CC wraps up 1st place if they take 2 points from MSU-M, because they lose the tie-breaker if they only get 1.
MSU-M can get 1st place by taking 3 points at CC.
UMN can get 1st by winning final 4 games, CC getting no more than 1 point from Mankato, MSU-M getting no more than 3 points from CC.
CC cannot finish worse than 2nd.
MSU-M can get anywhere from 1st to 4th.
UMN can get anywhere from 1st to 7th. (Lose final 4 games, UND gets 4 points, UMD gets 5 points, Denver gets 5 points, SCSU gets 8 points.)
UND can get anywhere from 2nd to 7th.
Basically it comes down to playing well, and getting some teams to work for them.
UND wants UMN to lose, and lose badly. They also need CC to kick MSU-M's ass hardcore. Not to mention, UND needs to kick some Duluth/Wisco ass.
I think Denver and SCSU can each take 3 from UMN, which would give UND 3rd place if they do well. Bad news for UND is, even if they sweep both Duluth/Wisco, they can still finish 4th. However, if they sweep both, they can do no worse than 4th.
Ok, i am done with my stats. Let me know if i did anything wrong.
EDIT: So i posted it in the wrong thread.