jimdahl

Congratulations ladies on bringing UND to its first NCAA tournament appearance! Hopefully this season blazes a good trail for future teams.

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It's there in the post. Obviously UND winning is most important. Then, you're looking for the "Who else to watch this weekend" section. To quote:

Sioux have an opportunity to make PWR gains and position themselves for NCAA tournament berth

Official bracket

According to the championship manual, anyway, they only use the pairwise criteria, but do it a little more subjectively than for men's...

Though Roman was right on the Gophers topping UMD, they actually got there by UMD stumbling rather than Minnesota being as dominant as he hoped.<br /> <br /> I couldn't get many people to play along this year, so I'll just pat myself on the back a little. I'm going to declare victory on getting UND pretty much right (which was a pretty optimistic prediction at the time), though I clearly fell apart a bit on Nebraska-Omaha, St Cloud and Bemidji St.<br /> <br /> <table style="width:400px"> <caption>WCHA Final</caption> <tr><td>Team </td><td>Roman</td><td> Me</td><td> Actual</td></tr> <tr><td>UMN </td><td>42 </td><td> 40</td><td> 40</td></tr> <tr><td>UMD </td><td>41 </td><td> 40</td><td> 37</td></tr> <tr><td>Denver </td><td>35 </td><td> 34</td><td> 36</td></tr> <tr><td>UND </td><td> </td><td> 34</td><td> 33</td></tr> <tr><td>CC </td><td>34 </td><td> 32</td><td> 31</td></tr> <tr><td>SCSU </td><td> </td><td> 23</td><td> 28</td></tr> <tr><td>Nebraska-Omaha </td><td>33 </td><td> 33</td><td> 27</td></tr> <tr><td>MTech </td><td> </td><td> 28</td><td> 26</td></tr> <tr><td>Bemidji State </td><td> </td><td> 20</td><td> 25</td></tr> <tr><td>UW </td><td> </td><td> 26</td><td> 24</td></tr> <tr><td>Mankato </td><td> </td><td> 15</td><td> 18</td></tr> <tr><td>AA </td><td> </td><td> 11</td><td> 11</td></tr> </table>

Me too, this is all I know about the game, thanks for the updates! (null)

Brad's article in this morning's Herald reminded me that I always meant to say something about women's PWR. For the record, given that this is the first time it's been really interesting for UND, I tried to adapt the PWR forecaster to women's hockey but failed miserably. For those who follow men's hockey and the PWR closely, what I can deliver now is a succinct list of the differences in how women's teams are selected: * The championship is not D-I, but "National Collegiate" which includes any D-I or D-II team that has played 20 games against D-I or D-II opponents. * RPI weightings are different (30-24-46 instead of 25-21-54) * TUC is vs. the top 12 in RPI rather than against > .500 in RPI, though TUCs must be over .500 in RPI. That last one is most interesting. USCHO seems to interpret that as meaning that teams in the top 12 are TUCs, whereas the NCAA manual instead definitely implies that teams over .500 are TUCs but are only compared to the top 12 for the purposes of the TUC criterion. Anyway, I have everything implemented except including D-II and the 20 games rule, so there's a remote chance I finish. Here's section 2.3 "Selection Criteria" from the National Collegiate Women's Ice Hockey Championship Manual:

Well, converting the data to graphs is still a manual process, so I don't do it for every team every week. I do it for a few each week, and add them on request (so will do UMD tomorrow). I do also hope to eventually automate that piece of it so fans of other conferences can see their favorite teams without having to ask me, but I'm not there yet. However, this week for the first time ever I did post in table format the probabilities of each ranking for every NCAA team based on their own performance. That's the data you want, just not in chart format.

Sioux hosting Minnesota State in a nearly must-win situation This week with forecasts for EVERY NCAA team.

As always, lots more on the other side of the link.... Sioux-Pioneers matchup has playoff implications for both

For a very accurate but limited 1-week answer, you can go to Whelan's Build Your Own Rankings calculator, say you want to calculate PWR, and change that game to a loss. That would put UND at T-14 (#15 w/tie-breaker), so the tie did a buy the Sioux a spot this week over if it had been a loss. More abstractly, it helps: A tie goes into RPI as half a win, boosting UND's RPI by something like .0036 over if it had been a loss. That's enough to give UND the Ohio St. comparison this week, and could have similar effects at the end. Assuming Tech remains a non-TUC, it wouldn't affect H2H or TUC. And on COP gives UND's COP vs. Mich. Tech a little boost from .500 to .750. That's most helpful in comparisons with non-conference common opponents, where the effect is magnified by the small number of COPs. e.g. vs. Boston College, the Sioux now win the comparison at .75 to .6667, whereas with a loss it would have been a .625 to .6667 loss.

You should be able to see in the upper right corner whether you're signed in or not. In the black bar, it will either show your name (if you are signed in) or the text "sign in" (if you aren't). When you do sign in and ask it to remember who you are, it's supposed to remember you forever as long as you visit the Board at least every 7 days. If you don't visit for 7 days, you have to login again. Its ability to remember who you are is based on cookies, so if you have configured your browser to reject cookies or to delete them each time you close your browser or anything like that, it will forget who you are when those cookies are deleted. Finally, if you have composed a reply but aren't signed in, the screen that tells you to sign in also gives you instructions on how to preserve your post. Because some browsers will discard the text you've typed if you hit the back button, the page includes a copy of your post that you can copy to the clipboard before signing in. It appears that the post will require a bit of reformatting after you paste it back in, but you don't lose the text. Hope this helps!

Discussions like this are really quite distracting from the conversation that most people here want to have. Let me repeat myself...

Sioux looking for sweep to bolster PairWise Ranking Continues to look like 1 more loss is a lock, 2 more losses is on the edge. Also included in the post: looks at CC, Minnesota, and Ferris St.

The big winner in the latest round of nickname controversy seems to be this blog, that most Sioux fans had probably never heard of a few weeks ago. By being the most vocal champion of a very popular but contrarian (vis-a-vis the University and its official representatives) viewpoint, SayAnthing seems to have the market locked up on leading that point-of-view. I've seen more posts referencing it in the last couple weeks than the last 10 years. Kudos to them as businessmen, hope they remembered to put some ads on those pages

Note that their technique is not the PWR (which by design perfectly mimics the NCAA selection criteria, and has correctly predicted the exact tournament field for at least a decade), but is instead their own, unpublished ranking scheme: e.g. PWR says Denver is currently #7, whereas their MWP says #13. They say Notre Dame is #9, PWR says #18. Nothing wrong with someone making their own rankings (Ken Butler's is still widely revered), but predictions of whether a team will finish top 14 in MWP aren't necessarily good predictions of whether a team will make the tournament.

Fancy... thanks

You can use the advanced search (click the little widget next to the search bar near the top of any page), specify a username, and you probably want to change the results from "topics" to "posts" http://forum.siouxsp...h&fromMainBar=1

The same blogger now says it's a done deal with an official announcement coming from UNO this week. http://www.lincolnstarsblog.com/2012/02/confirmed-stars-lancers-to-play-outdoor.html

Well, like I said, the external effects tend to average out over time. Both of the most important series for UND (other than its own) went as wrong as possible for the Sioux... Denver swept and Miami swept. And there's a new #1 in town that you never would have guessed... Ferris State! From #19 on Jan. 2, they prove how much you can move with a big lossless streak.

I'm actually in a pretty good position to refute this -- no one has even been banned for taking any position on that, or any other controversial topic. The poll results above are pretty good evidence of the diversity of opinions welcome and present on this particular topic. However, this is pretty off topic, so if you have any questions or would like to discus forum moderation policies further, please start a thread in the "administration" forum.

I would guess that almost everybody who is voting "change" means "change as long as there are sanctions associated with it". There haven't been a lot of people on this forum truly opposed to the nickname itself.