A look at all the remaining tournament possibilities

[90siouxfan]

Great work, Jim.

For the sake of debate, can the "50% winning ratio rule" make a field of 15 teams a possibility?

as in only 15 teams in nation have winning records, I assume auto bids are exempt from this rule.

[MafiaMan]

Pro-Cinderella? So where's your love to Ohio State, Penn State, and Wisconsin?

The PSU/WI winner is a given.

[SJHovey]

Fair enough. I was looking at those stats. What you said makes sense.

 

 

I'm not either.

FWIW, here is CHN's take on each team's probabilities of making the tournament, it appears based upon KRACH.  http://www.collegehockeynews.com/ratings/probabilityMatrix.php

[Cratter]

Minnesota will make the tournament. Only question is do you want two Big Ten teams in.

[The Exiled One]

That could be one interesting scenario if it happens. I never thought of that.

 

Jim did the crunching and it looks like the Huskies have a 21% shot with just a tie. Pulling the goalie would be a bad move, however, as EAGs only happen 10-15% of the time while ENGs happen more often. They'd be better off trying to preserve the tie. Although, if either FSU or UNH win Friday night, the Huskies may just want to be ready to pull Lindgren. If FSU, UNH, & UMN all lose Friday night, a tie might be better than a 50% shot.