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homer

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Everything posted by homer

  1. Agreed. People tend to vote with their pocket books and for many it will be very hard to look at the three years prior to Covid and not be in a better place. Even with Covid, lockdowns and children at home are may swing some of that suburb mom vote. They are realizing kids sitting in their rooms all day isn’t healthy. One candidate is showing they are all for prolonging that.
  2. Shouldn’t be anything for you to worry about tomorrow. Biden will likely have it locked up after Fla, GA and PA results start coming in according to your chart above.
  3. Still waiting on the location if anyone on this board stating Trump would win California.
  4. Where did anyone say Trump could carry California. I think every person knows that one is out of reach. Please point it out.
  5. His only resource that drew any excitement at all was Obama. Probably should have gotten Michelle out as well.
  6. I think there is a chance NC goes to the dems which makes a path for Trump difficult. Oddly enough as I said months ago i think MN flips which makes up a portion of that loss. Biden I able to draw any crowds unless Obama is with him really has to be concerning for the dems momentum to get people out in Tuesday. If your not overly excited about your candidate, will you wait in line for an hour plus to cast your vote. If your child has been sitting at home falling behind at school, will you sit in line to vote for further lockdown? Big wildcard for me is how much of the population shift of people moving out of NY and the west coast states (CA, OR and WA) change demographics for states like AZ, CO and states further northeast.
  7. Dallas and Baton Rouge come to mind. The difference between Obama and Trump is that Trump doesn’t rush out to condemn police before seeing all the facts. Police were hung out to dry under Obama which is what started a lot of this turmoil.
  8. That’s actually funny. Reality is there is like 300 people in that picture. Something to brag about. Not sure where that is at but he’s looking to win the “soul” of America. I’m assuming Michigan with Obama. Wonder what Trumps rally looked like today in Michigan.
  9. We will see when the dust settles but the 25%-30% numbers I’ve seen have been for black voters. I’m not confusing anything. He will be much higher with the minority vote this year is my prediction.
  10. Every demographic will be up this year. It will be a net gain.
  11. So if you are going to believe polling national polling Trump is polling around 25%-30% minority vote nationally and even higher in FL. That certainly does equate to an advantage when he was around 8% in 2016. There is a reason the D’s rely so heavily on the minority vote. Only 70% could make things interesting.
  12. So the recent mask mandate in Fargo isn’t working?? This is the exact thing D’s try to pick trump apart for but in reverse. You know someone who is following the rules but no one else is. I can tell you actually being in Fargo that nearly everywhere you go people are wearing masks. Nearly every business is now requiring it. Your not going to name the business so no one can prove you wrong but others in here from Fargo will likely agree, not many places not wearing masks now. I wish your brother a healthy and full recovery.
  13. I think Trump does better with the minority’s vote this year so if hey are showing up that’s not a bad thing. His disadvantage right now is the senior vote. Not polling well there.
  14. Believe it he media, people are licking door knobs in the Midwest. Complete disregard for safety.
  15. If it’s an issue and people are concerned I’m sure they will vote out leadership in the upcoming election. Isn’t that what Biden is running on?
  16. They will blame Trump. It’s like Obama taking credit for the economy just prior to Covid.
  17. Interesting take Not a pollster by any means but a different opinion by someone watching this pretty closely https://www.yahoo.com/news/michael-moore-don-t-believe-103022716.html?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cueWFob28uY29tLw&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAADayEnr8kzmeOQD1NT88GsSrKXA5Esc0Pkh-UXgLREOYv1PAyBUyVJMDOvbTKpJAJUPOlO9u7NxqIN3JsrJRLLUr8vqSUyUmW9ya2ri6GoAOTOtgp_SUg7DMMuXwWUXXLcgWDvxmgTzOp0vwDK5BwXwIFHJtZKTtk7DkhLSfd80p
  18. Trump said in the town hall he did that he would have a peaceful transfer of power. It was right on TV.
  19. Who said there would be?
  20. Article about the last few pages of discussion. Aligns with the reasoning for D’s to be very confident heading into next week. https://www.yahoo.com/news/2020-polls-trump-pull-another-155921662.html
  21. And the total vote count may reflect that. Not sure that I would be overly confident that these poll results are reflective of the handful of battle ground states needed by each candidate to win the electoral vote. Trumps margin for error is nearly zero in those however unless he flips a state like MN.
  22. It mentions 5% more of responders identified as Dems.
  23. A national poll actually matters a lot as you know the president isn’t elected by national results. Again, you list another poll that over samples democrats. You should have nothing to worry about next week.
  24. Great response.
  25. I see you still can’t answer or simply avoid questions that counter your childish name calling. Be better......
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