dynato

I do not trust the sample size enough yet to extrapolate to the entire population. 4000 ND residents tested is only %0.53 of the total population. It could be better or it could be worse. The math works out under the assumption that we are at peak covid spread in ND or that testing negative will follow linearly on the way up. Based on the available data, I can't make an assumption if we are at peak spread in ND yet, or if we are still on our way there. Likely, it will take a few weeks for us to have a more reasonable picture/ predictable outcome for our state. Thankfully I think we are going to be one of the last to get hit and the first to be done and recover.

It is attached to swanson. They placed live cameras so the public can see construction progress if you fancy that sort of stuff. https://app.oxblue.com/open/und/memorialunion

Various departments at UND and were polled by the state to see their available inventory of available masks and other related medical PPE supplies. Not just the med school.

The flu is an evil we know and have known for a century. We studied it heavily. We can account for it. We have hospital rooms available, doctors designated and trained for it. We have medicine that can be distributed to those who need it that we are confident will help with the situation and shots for help prevent it. The onset of the flu is seasonal, which is a major reason why during the winter majority of school systems shut down in the winter for a few weeks to limit spread of it. We know new viruses spread through the population exponentially so the goal is to limit how fast it grows exponentially. Corona is looking to be about 10 times more deadly than the common flu with today's stats and that is with all of shutdown measures in place. This is the kill-rate with us knowing very little about the virus. Eventually, it will likely be on the same level as the flu. However, this is all speculation, and it could indeed be much, much worse without proper procedures in place/controlling the spread (see Italy).

He posted links to a published medical journal that talks on why Italy has such high death rates for influenza. Based on numbers of deaths in 2014, 2016, and 2017 to establish a trend. The article was published late in 2019 and the only reason it remotely applies to the corona situation is that Italy has high death rates compared to the rest of the modern world. The supporting information in the article is what I had already touched on earlier - old age, multi generational households, tightly packed cities. I learned this information from Michael Osterholm, who is a world renowned specialist on infectious disease epidemiology. Hes from MN, good guy. Has a non-biased interview with Joe Rogan about infectious diseases worth checking out. I've been reading, and I do actually mean thorough reading, and linking articles like crazy. It doesn't make me an expert by any means, but it does make me well informed enough to comment. This guys bio says he podcaster, author, and filmer, not a medical professional. Anything he comments about the pandemic cannot be taken seriously, much like that of the comments made on this thread. -Also looking back, in the post you shared he never claims we are the next Italy. He just points out that the USA is not seeing as crazy of a high death toll and links to a resource for people to understand why. So he actually is contributing to moving the conversation forward - a good thing.

In the title of your article it even says "bans most" not all. Flights to and from China were still allowed at the time for business purposes. From your article, arguable the biggest airline in the USA: "Delta plans to wait until Feb. 6 to suspend China operations to help travelers in China leave the country. It said the stoppage will continue through April 30." Flights to and from china from USA were still available as late as February 13th: https://www.forbes.com/sites/tedreed/2020/02/13/you-can-still-fly-us-to-china-if-you-need-to-go/#23b1eaa9637f

Its not necessarily about the amount of ventilators, but where they are located and who they are currently being used on. Half those ventilators are for kids too. For adults, this number is 197 per million according to this published medical survey. Going to grand forks, a population of ~60,000 people, that gives grand forks a comparative total of roughly 13 ventilators. I rounded up for you. These ventilators are still needed for the typical patients. So all it is going to take for our own infrastructure to start struggling is a few severe cases. I posted another article below that is titled "Allocation of Ventilators in a Public Health Disaster", published in 2008, that goes into detail on what medical professionals actually need to deal with on the frontline. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21149215 https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/687DAE3F9B11939B5EFD5AB7DA5013B1/S193578930000077Xa.pdf/allocation_of_ventilators_in_a_public_health_disaster.pdf I personally would not take any advice on a pandemic seriously from some dude on twitter named "EconTalker" who only has a degree in economics, but you do you ☺

The same people have already been calling him a racist for years? Not a good battle to pick. Besides. You have your facts backwards. There were still flights from china into the USA up until March 3rd. Only outgoing flights to China were outright banned before February. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-health-delta-air/major-us-airlines-cancel-china-flights-as-government-steps-up-warnings-idUSKBN1ZU25I https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2020-china-coronavirus-airlines-business-effects/ https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/06/coronavirus-china-becomes-increasingly-isolated-as-airlines-pull-out.html

What is the point of this video? Did our leaders act appropriately or not? Trump is our leader and acted exactly the same as those criticized in this video, so it just comes off as hypocritical. Worse yet is the timeline in this video. The dates referenced in this video were February 2nd. A full 24 days before Trump famously said "[W]hen you have 15 people, and the 15 within a couple of days is going to be down to close to zero, that's a pretty good job we've done." This is a similar reaction to those mentioned in the video, except there were no US cases on February 2nd, and there were only 15 cases on February 26th. In the context of this video, Trump seems agree with their takes on things not being a big deal while simultaneously being several weeks behind the reaction of the general populace. Not a great look when you think about it tbh

Italy is a hot spot for travel, so the virus moved quickly throughout their population. Italy is also condensed, with trains being one of the most common modes of travel. Their population is also older than majority of first world countries (ranked 5th apparently). Their culture is set up so that the older generation lives with and is taken care of by the generation before them. Kids/adults appeared healthy, unknowingly bring the virus home to vulnerable mom/dad/grandma/grandma, which set up their system to fail. Their hospital systems were not set up for a rapid influx of patients needing respiratory care, leading to even higher than typical death tolls. I doubt any major health system in the modern world is prepared for a rapid influx of respiratory care, which is why many countries are sheltering. USA is at least more sparsely populated, besides for major cities, and there are not as many multi-generational family households which helps with the death rate. If the end result in the USA is that people think that our government over-reacted too much, that is fine because that was their goal. However, it would be heavily apparent if they under-reacted/failed to act leading to a death rate similar to that of Italy.

Here is Obama speaking on the criticism that goes with the job of being president. Much of the first minute can be applied to every presidency, especially Trump. There is Trump the person and Trump the Symbol of the presidency. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9HO-9AZjflY&feature=emb_title Here are some articles demonstrating criticism and challenging Obama's handling of the swine flu, lack of vaccines, improper response, and growing negative media coverage. These are hard to find since it was almost a decade ago. The closest thing I could find to Obama calling swine flu a hoax was he first used the argument that the traditional flu is much more deadly as a reason for the public not to be concerned and ignore the issue. A few months later he then declared a national emergency. Sounds similar to todays news. https://www.foxnews.com/transcript/deconstructing-the-swine-flu-causes-for-concern-and-calm https://www.nytimes.com/2009/10/29/us/politics/29shortage.html https://www.globalresearch.ca/obama-administration-launches-deceptive-swine-flu-propaganda-blitz/15860 http://archive.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/44032667.html/ https://www.usnews.com/news/washington-whispers/articles/2009/09/14/media-coverage-of-obama-grows-more-negative https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB125640028120405945 https://www.mediamatters.org/sean-hannity/misinformation-pandemic-conservative-media-use-h1n1-oppose-health-care-reform The media has been unfair to Trump, especially in his times of success. The justification for extra criticism is he is held to a different standard since he is not a career politician. However, when given opportunities to prove himself as a strong leader he sometimes fails. Leaders need to be called out for it, it is part of their job to handle it. With out allowing for healthy skepticism of our government and the decisions made, it will make us resemble a socialist/communist country. FDR gave an iconic response that will be remembered for generations in relation to the public being afraid. The media gave Trump an easy question about the public being scared. And there are a lot of people who are afraid (evidence by there being no toilet paper in grand forks). All he had to do was give a typical BS response to inspire and give hope to our country and all he did was crap on the reporter. This too will be an iconic response that will be remember for generations.

Ramp pass was $300 before I switched to a Staff/Faculty ($225) pass last year. Both numbers were off slightly (sorry!), as they plan on charging $625 not $650. This bump in charges is almost explicitly because of the massive debt of the parking ramp, where the parking department is financially unable to keep up with payments and the state government is no longer going to subsidize their debt's. Attached is an e-mail from someone on the inside of the parking committee letting staff/faculty what the University is trying to push through. I'll attach the comprehensive parking study they referenced as justification for price change later when I'm off mobile.

UND is forcing through a tiered parking system this fall. Parking ramp pass and on campus parking is going to be raised from ~$300/yr to $650/year. They need to make sure all the spots are cleared out everyday in order to not anger permit holders who spend that much. So sports fans affected by this change are the least of their concerns right now.

From everything I have read while lurking, I have to say I agree with @stoneySIOUX. Brad Berry was a defenseman, so as head coach he will naturally tailor a program towards defense. We saw what he was capable of doing with talent. Right now we have a program built around a solid young defensive core right now with several great goalies to back them. We dominate puck possession most games as a result. As others have said our current structure can win games even with terrible offense. This year sucked because of lack of development with our forwards/poor predictable offense, I'm inclined to believe that this is because the talent pool we had available and the league changing, not the coach. With the older forward recruits coming in next year, competing for spots along with the strong core defensive group we have here still developing, I'm pretty confident we will be able to turn this around for next year. If we have forwards that are allowed to produce and also fix our power play back to normal, I'll even go so far as to say we would be the dark horse for a championship. All this should require is a good coach. UND administration wants us to maintain a competitive program too and they need a lot of justification to fire someone. I'm sure they realized this year is a down year for offensive ability considering there's no one in the top 50 for scoring on our team this year and our top two goal scorers combined barely break the top 25. Years like this happen occasionally. If we get this class of promising forwards in and virtually nothing changes, then I would say it is fair to hold Berry accountable. Especially if we miss the NCAA playoffs or hosting the NCHC playoffs again (which according to UND loses them an average of $200,000 +).