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dynato

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Everything posted by dynato

  1. Where are the educated and well articulated letters to Forum Communications to counter the bed wetting doomsdayers?
  2. Exactly, file this under the conspiracy column until we have actual evidence suggesting otherwise. So much stuff wrong? The medical and science community is majority non biased and factual. Politicians act out of their area of expertise to interpret the results and that is where many parties have gotten things wrong. Good work on dismissing the leagues of progress those two communities have made in the past century over a new virus whose characteristics are largely still not known to the world. A powerful argument to justify defending one dude on twitter with a conspiracy theory who currently holds no weight towards changing our current situation.
  3. You asked me a question and I answered it with concrete evidence of your guy being denounced by the medical and scientific community. Don't deflect because you chose a poor source of information and considered it gospel.
  4. Glad you asked: https://www.drugpolicy.org/resource/letter-scholars-and-clinicians-who-oppose-junk-science-about-marijuana On Friday, 75 scholars and clinicians signed an open letter, joining a chorus of disagreement with Berenson by arguing that “establishing marijuana as a causal link to violence at the individual level is both theoretically and empirically problematic”. The signatories include academics from New York University, Harvard Medical School and Columbia University and care providers including addiction medicine doctors, psychologists, psychiatrists and social workers." https://www.theguardian.com/society/2019/feb/17/marijuana-book-tell-your-children-alex-berenson
  5. "Alex Berenson (born January 6, 1973) is a former reporter for The New York Times and the author of several thriller novels and a book on corporate financial filings. His 2019 book Tell Your Children: The Truth About Marijuana, Mental Illness and Violence sparked controversy, earning denunciations from many in the scientific and medical communities." Sorry, I should have said "former" reporter. That only takes away from his credibility and makes him more of a conspiracy theorist than anything else. My bad. I wouldn't find a guy trustworthy if he has been denounced by the the scientific and medical community, but you do you
  6. You just shared a tweet from a guy who has a goat as his profile picture. Who is fishing for evidence to prove a point he has yet to prove is true. This is a prime example of a conspiracy theory. The equivalent of saying, I've heard stories of aliens in the USA, I just need someone from NASA to confirm it for me with stories or hard evidence. -He is also a former reporter for the New York Times, their news reporting has lately has been questioned for it's sensationalism. I look forward to you sharing all the hard evidence, complete with hospital financials, that will surely flood in to him considering it is a massive, widespread issue that is prevalent in all of our hospital systems
  7. Since the flu keeps getting brought up, let's take a closer look at the numbers together again. The flu in it's worst year in the past decade killed 61,000 Americans across 6 months. Covid in the past month alone killed 56,000 Americans. This is with unprecedented measures that have not been implemented on this scale before. Look at death rates if you want to compare 1:1. USA average crude death rate per 100,000 for flu (2017-18): 17.1 USA Average Hospitalization rate per 100,000 for flu (2017-18): 183 As of April 28th 2020: USA average crude death rate per 100,000 for covid: 17.9 USA average hospitalization rate per 100,000 for covid: 158 Low level: less hospitalizations, more deaths. Note that while the numbers are comparable for now, the flu data set is complete. The covid deaths are sill climbing, meaning the death and hospitalizations rate will only increase until the corona season is over. Yes, the numbers are inflated by NYC for both cases. Yes, older people are more likely to die. I am not hiding these facts, but they should not comfort you. NYC strayed only 30% from the mean for the flu and they are currently 644% from the mean for covid. NYC typically averages 6,000 deaths a month. Of this number, ~360 people typically die from the flu. In the past month, 27,000 people have died in NYC. That is 21,000 more deaths than typical, greater than 300% increase. Only 16,600 deaths were reported as covid. Use your noodle here and think critically on what this means. Yes this is for NYC, but other countries across the world are reporting similar data. There is simply not enough information yet to come to definitive conclusions. It is also not known how this will stack with the flu in the future. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/21/world/coronavirus-missing-deaths.html Again, these are just the numbers in this snapshot in time. The numbers which our governing bodies are weighing decisions and planning off of. They don't represent my position.
  8. To complete the conspiracy theory going around on here: The doctors obviously want the shelter in place to end because the more coronavirus patients they treat, the more money they stand to make from the federal government. Therefore it is in their best interests to convince people to go out and get sick.
  9. https://www.grandforksherald.com/newsmd/coronavirus/6458771-Burgum-says-closed-businesses-can-reopen-Friday-as-North-Dakota-sees-climbing-COVID-19-cases Burgum is vaguely optimistic
  10. Using the 2017-18 flu season data which was particularly bad year, NYC saw a comparative 30% higher death rate than the national average. So the numbers say the flu does disproportionately impact NYC too. The US crude death rate for the flu in 2017-18 per 100,000: 17.1 https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/mortality-dashboard.htm# There is a lot of information to unpack here, but it is a compilation of all mortality data for NYC from 2017. Unfortunately, it does not have hospitalization data. https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/doh/downloads/pdf/vs/2017sum.pdf NYC Influenza & Pneumonia Deaths (2017 - Page 62): 1,985 Crude Death Rate Per 100,000: 22.6 Total Deaths from all causes in 2017: 54,319 Hospitalizations for all of New York state for 2017-18 flu season: 23,337 Total positive flu tests: 82,884 Total Positive flu tests in NYC specifically: 45,368 https://www.health.ny.gov/diseases/communicable/influenza/surveillance/2017-2018/archive/2018-05-19_flu_report.pdf NYC has a website dedicated specifically to recording and tracking COVID data (March 10th to April 26th). https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page Positive Cases: 156,000 Hospitalizations: 40,050 Confirmed deaths: 11,718 Probable deaths: 5,228 Reported as COVID: 12,287 Crude Death Rate Per 100,000: 139.4 Full disclosure: I have no idea what hospitalizations are defined as.
  11. Don't be naive. Trump won the election fairly. He was smart, charismatic, handled matters decisively, and did everything he needed to right in order to win. Hint: I didn't vote against Trump. Facebook is just notorious for being a host of false information, screenshots of screenshots are not to be trusted at first glance. Facebook does not invoke real change. Political attacks do not invoke real change. If majority of people were smart, they would be able to figure out how to challenge the status quo and make the system work for them instead of against them. I understand why you are upset, we all are. If the current system is not working for you, what actions have you specifically taken to change that? If you have taken no action, but expected change to work in your favor, then you are just a sheep waiting for action to be taken for you.
  12. Believe it or not, COVID is a bipartisan issue. It'll kill you if you are an old democrat or an old republican. As I mentioned before, in order to incite change you have to lobby/contact those who are representing you. They are out of touch and likely have majority bored old people writing in and telling them to keep up the good work. It is on you to shift the balance. Here is the direct contact form for Burgum's office: https://www.governor.nd.gov/contact https://www.usa.gov/elected-officials
  13. I work in research. My job is to poke holes in other peoples research to find where they were wrong, find where they were right, and what could be improved. The same is done by others for my research. A scrutiny that is being done by all parties on coronavirus until the dust settles. Or at least the "where they were wrong" bit is being applied. Don't be personally offended that I called Facebook screenshots a poor source of reliable information. See Example of ND department of health comment To establish credibility when sharing information, you typically share directly from the primary source which has the credibility and expertise that you do not have. Work that UNDBIZ just did for you. I should not have had you doubting the validity of your own statement considering you and Cratter were ultimately right. Facebook is just not a good source to reference, too many russian influencers. If you looked at the the CDC guidelines, if someone has COVID, or was presumed to have covid, they are allowed to label the death as COVID. While it is undeniably true that hospitals do get more money for treating covid patients, theories of hospitals deliberately miscoding patients as COVID-19 for financial gain are not supported by any evidence. In relation to death, the idea that hospitals get more money to label a death as COVID is also largely unfounded.
  14. Texas received $11.2 Billion from the feds, enough to build over 650 similar hospitals. They will be okay despite spending a fraction of a percent on insurance for a hospital. https://www.cbpp.org/research/how-much-each-state-will-receive-from-the-coronavirus-relief-fund-in-the-cares-act
  15. Have you ever considered, that information posted on facebook is not reliable and that spreading misinformation hurts your credibility? I've linked to it here before. Medical professionals have already commented on it here. The CDC is very open about how medical professionals need to document deaths. Here is the link from the CDC, their handbook of death registration used since 2003. See specifically page 23, item 2 which speaks to the traditional flue and interpreting cause of death. https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/misc/hb_me.pdf Here is the link from the CDC specifically on how medical professionals outlining COVID deaths. https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvss/vsrg/vsrg03-508.pdf If you want to challenge how medical professionals do their job or buy into the sensationalism on how it is reported, then that's on you.
  16. The University, like many others, has hundreds of millions in reserves. They are required to keep a minimum reserve level for events like this. Departments who have extra reserves will tap those to pay employees until they meet the minimum reserve level or until revenues returns to normal. Those departments which did not save extra reserves will have to look at consolidating programs, removing courses from curriculum, and adapting the remaining curriculum as needed. Those unable to work remotely will have their hours reduced in the meantime so they can claim unemployment but also maintain benefits. UND for example has successfully implemented distance/online courses prior to COVID. If they market it correctly, they are posed to come out way ahead as a viable, affordable, online program for the next generation of students. As of right now, they are planning for no growth but also no further loss in students/revenue.
  17. The average age of the U.S. House of Representatives is almost 58 years old. In the Senate, it’s nearly 63 years. It's almost as if they are making decisions based on their needs rather than the country as a whole.
  18. Also for anyone curious, Dartmouth put together a project to map current cases and recent case growth on a population basis. Not a single region in California is in the top 50 for cases on a population basis. Only one city, LA, is in the top fifty on a percentage case growth basis. California is doing surprisingly well compared to other states https://test.dartmouthatlas.org/hrr-mapping/
  19. I'd say it is relevant because like the stock market, past trends do not indicate future performance. But, they do help give you an informed bet on what might be to come.
  20. Everyone's favorite model (IHME) posted their predictions on when certain states may ease social distancing. As of April 21st, they placed North Dakota at July 16th. Get ready for another 6 weeks of two more weeks if Burgum is using this model to make decisions http://www.healthdata.org/covid/updates
  21. Do not take it to the extreme and sensationalize what I said, that only deepens the mess. I didn't even reference Trump in my message. I was only speaking on the basics of checks and balances. Please define what proportional criticism is and how it relates. I am very open for any positive news or positive criticism to balance this negative criticism and defensiveness out. You are right. I updated it to say democratic constitutional republic. Semantics. Doesn't change my original message any. Popular vote is bad because one major city getting hacked could change the fate of an election. Thus highlighting the need for a safer system like the electoral college.
  22. The phrase "holding someone accountable" is now synonymous "blowing it out of proportion". It sets a dangerous, dangerous precedent. Without allowing and accepting criticism this democratic constitutional republic would quickly become a dictatorship. Praise someone when they do something good, recognize when they do something bad, and move on.
  23. Some additional good news, Italy's recovered patient count has finally passed the amount of new cases. They have been in a strict lock down since March 9th. They plan to open manufacturing and some other industries May 4th, while restaurants and other venues will be assessed Mid May. https://www.newsweek.com/coronavirus-latest-update-italy-daily-recoveries-pass-new-cases-1499948
  24. Are you saying its outrageous to send a patient who tested positive back to where they live if they do not require medical attention? Or are you saying that it is impossible to quarantine the old and vulnerable, even if their home has medical professionals and basic medical care? What is your solution?
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