jimdahl

With all of tonight's scores in EXCEPT Princeton-Cornell and BC-BU... Looks like a win tomorrow lands UND between #5-#7 A loss lands UND between #7-#10 If Yale wins, we're quite likely #7 with #6 or #8 also reasonably likely. Yale loses, we're either #5-#6 or #9-#10. This should become more clear when Cornell/Princeton is settled. The other quirk is the WCHA championship game. While Denver winning could land us #5-#9 and UMD winning could land us #5-#10, it's pretty quirky if we lose tomorrow. A Denver win pretty much guarantees us a #9 slot, but a Denver loss makes #9 incredibly unlikely while making #8 or #10 quite likely.

If you want to shoot the moon -- I have a list of what it takes for the Sioux to finish #3 in the PWR in this post.

Yeah, about 30-35% of all remaining possible outcomes (so we're assuming they're all equally likely) put UMN in the playoffs. Glancing very quickly through it, the most important to them other outcome I can find is Princeton getting swept (raises their chance up close to 60%), though that's a VERY quick assessment so I could be missing something.

It looks like falling one more spot to #15 is Minnesota's most likely outcome (35% of remaining possible scenarios), staying at #14 or dropping to #16 are the outcomes for about 20-25% of scenarios each. In about 10% of outcomes they could rise to #13 or above or fall to #17 or below.

For yesterday (Mar 18)... The Alerus Center, home of UND football, is at: 1200 S. 42nd St.

It's happening.... A new look for Sioux football

Why do I have the feeling about 10 Sioux fans just clipped that for future use, just in case. Anyway, here's my take on it all. Final Look at PWR Possibilities

All caught up (for today): UND enrolles 12748 in 202 fields of study about UND

For Mar 15 UND hockey is, at times, more popular than local politics in G.F. The news story about Joe Finley returning for his senior season (1716 views) beat out Grand Forks electing a mayor (1203 views). Schlossman's blog

For Mar. 14 2008 Football #1 RB, Steven Battle weighed in at 204 roster

For Mar. 13 The Sioux Men's hockey team began its 2008-09 campaign with a 12:05 game vs. Manitoba at Sept. 27, 2008.

For Mar. 12 My favorite Sioux hockey road trip is to the Kohl Center at: 601 W Dayton St Madison, WI 53715-1206

Probably. Down to #15 in PWR

As of all games completed right at the end of the Sioux game... #5

If you like music, you best avoid something called SongSmith from Microsoft. It was making the rounds a month or two ago, but my basic understanding is that you can upload a vocal track and it magically supplies background instrumentals. I guess the thought is that anyone who can sing can be an amateur musician. What it was actually used for, as far as I can tell, is uploading vocal tracks from real songs and their hilariously bad results to YouTube.

I had the same question. See vindy's post in this thread. The most compelling evidence, including actual seeding results from past years, suggests that USCHO is wrong, it's RPI. That's why I leave it as RPI here, though have no personal insight or knowledge beyond that.

The last couple pages are just a pissing match... a thread about the NDSU game itself, for those who are interested in it, will be welcome when it approaches.

You're right that we did last time that happened, but they've since fixed it. Autobids no longer count into the TUC comparison.

Yep. For those not keeping score: of my three who to cheer for's for the weekend (excluding the two I said seemed to only matter if the Sioux lose), we got wins from B.C. and Mass.-Lowell. That was enough to flip the New Hampshire RPI point and comparison, but not yet Vermont. With AA's effort falling short, it now looks like even if Denver loses tonight and UND wins, the RPI comparison could go either way so it may or may not be enough to flip that one (though it would force a 3rd game which likely would). Sioux fans should be cheering for Mass.-Lowell. An Alaska Anchorage win would still be nice, but the UND-Denver comparison will continue to be a tossup as RPI (.551 to .558), H2H, TUC (.63 to .625), and COP (.638 to .660) could all shift in the Final Five. As jk noted above, 21-25 in RPI contains 4 WCHA teams, leading to some potential TUC shakeup.

6th. Two-way tie with Northeastern for 5th http://siouxsports.com/hockey/rankings/pwr/

My Fox Sports that claims to be showing UMN-SCSU is instead showing women's basketball Funny quote of the 1 minute I've been watching: "The Iowa women can score with anyone on the floor". John Madden they aren't.

With all the talk about the Gophers, here's a PWR chart for them. Yes, I too am disturbed that splitting then winning the rubber match is about the same as sweeping. The difference between the two is very slight, so my best guess is that it's important to help SCSU stay a TUC so UMN can get TUC credit for its then-to-be 6-1 record against SCSU.

Future Cap -- Big Joe Finley

Pretty much. The chart is as of next Monday but the CHN article is as of the end of the Final Five, so I'm predicting things could end up after this weekend where he predicts they could end up at the end of it all. So, if things went really well or pretty poorly it may be possible to land outside the range he predicted. Of course, I haven't yet actually verified that those two games could move us further, but it seems quite likely (at least on the downside). It's the same mistake we all make when we try to analyze the PWR by hand, we underestimate how far it's possible to move because it's really hard to consider the cascade of games you didn't think were important but that cumulatively can bump you another spot or two. Of course, those scenarios are also pretty unlikely -- think of how many times this season UND landed right in the middle of the distribution of predictions. You can't expect a much better result from the manual technique, and he clearly knows his PWR and writes a column that I think gives far more useful information than what the exact bracket would be if the season were over today, in mid-January.

Sure. Though I've gained a lot of confidence over the season in the technique in general, this week's chart is somewhat suspect because I was only able to get the conditional third game included for UND, not for any of the other teams. So, the ranges are probably about right, but take the whole thing with a grain of salt. From WCHA first round PWR implications