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AJS

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Posts posted by AJS

  1. 6 minutes ago, northdakota18 said:

    I realize that, I'm saying since they've been releasing weekly rankings and everyone knows we'd be the 9 seed in that situation, would they set us up with a team we would outbid like Western Illinois, rather than someone like Montana who would outbid us to avoid sending the #9 team in their rankings on the road?

    That's a really good point  that I didn't really think about before you said it. Of course teams (like SDSU last year) have probably been the 9 team sent on the road, but this is the first year that everyone knows for a fact who the #9 team is. Given that both are flights, I would think that they'd match whoever is #9 and #10 (UND, SDSU, Richmond, UCA) with teams that they could outbid. It would look really bad to have UND go play at Montana.

     

    Great point.

  2. I feel good that UNI is playing for their playoff lives, not just trying to play spoiler (& playing at home). I'd bet on UNI beating SDSU, so hopefully the entire SDSU jumping UND discussion just turns out to be mid-week chatter.

  3. 3 minutes ago, Matt said:

    I agree with that, except the committee has shown themselves to be schizophrenic from week to week.  The rankings have made little sense.

    I'll throw another curve ball at you:

    What happens to the rankings if ndsu loses this week?  That could knock someone out even with a win (or a bye) as the line shifts downward.

     

    i"ll hang up and listen.

    NDSU losing will have no effect on UND or anyone looking at the 7 & 8 spot, they'll just drop down to #4 or #5 and everyone else will shuffle up a spot.

  4. 11 minutes ago, Matt said:

    I tend to agree with you but the committee this year seems to be more concerned with who you beat than the quality of your loss (last year's committee).  With that in mind, Sam hasn't beaten anybody of note.  But again, will the committee look on their loss to a highly ranked UCA team as one which shouldn't drop them out of the top 8?  Who knows?

    When it comes to SDSU and UND for seeding, I would absolutely not put the Jacks ahead of UND (if they beat UNI).  Yes, their win is better but they would have 3 losses with one of those losses coming at home to someone UND has beaten.  Your W/L record has to be the first criteria, then you start parsing the details after that.  Also, we aren't talking about which team is the last team in the playoff field here...we are talking about seeding.  Otherwise we would be REALLY arguing about SOS and whose wins are better.  As it stands, the Jacks will still have any opportunity to prove it on the field.

    I can see arguments for both SDSU and UND. I keep pointing to Tuesdays rankings, because imo, if you think SDSU has a better resume, then you put them at #9, UND #10. Winning against a team that would finish under .500 should not move a team ahead of anyone. If that happens, UND fans will have the right to be upset.

  5. 11 minutes ago, UNDColorado said:

    Wouldn't we want Sam to beat UCA since Sam is rated higher? I would think a UCA loss would drop them out of the top 8. I am probably wrong so someone please chime in.

    Yes we would, not sure why I did that, fixed on my original post.

  6. 52 minutes ago, Westside said:

    For those that will be scoreboard & game watching Saturday during UND's bye....

    Looks like UCA @ SHSU is 2:30 on espn3.  SDSU @ UNI 4:00 on espn3. 

    Add Richmond @ William & Mary at 11am.

    Nice separation between each games start times.

    Richmond @ William & Mary - 11am

    UCA @ SHSU - 2:30pm

    SDSU @ UNI - 4pm

    If two out of the 3 teams that are in bold win, UND is a lock for a seed. If only one wins, then it'll be interesting. IMO, I'm still not sold that Richmond or SDSU would get a seed before UND with a win on Saturday. Would prefer there not to be a discussion though with both losing on Saturday. Love the start times to these games!

  7. 2 minutes ago, Oxbow6 said:

    Let's say both Poly and the Griz win Saturday.....both will be 7-4 but Poly will be 5-3 in the conference and the Griz will sit at 4-4. Would the Griz get into the playoffs with a .500 conference record ahead of Poly?

    Poly / Griz should be an open and shut case. There's really no argument to be made for Griz > Poly. Poly has the head to head win, best win out of either team (SDSU), much stronger SOS.

    Arguments can be made when it comes to SDSU / UND and who is higher. Not one for Poly / Griz.

  8. 4 minutes ago, CMSioux said:

    Based on last year's choices we know the scenario changes based on what they need to say to diss UND. Perhaps there is a longer-term NCAA payback for the nickname then we were lead to believe?  

    Wouldn't that be something, this years committee is Quality wins > bad losses, last years was Bad Losses > Quality wins.

  9. 2 hours ago, Oxbow6 said:

    When #7 UCA losses and UND then still stays at #9 come Sunday it'll be the Fix 2.0.

    Who knows how it'll end up, but I'll have a huge problem if this scenario plays out.

    I think there's an argument for both UND and SDSU to get the #8 seed, it's basically a coin flip. It wouldn't be so much with SDSU getting the seed that would be infuriating, it'd be with them jumping UND to get it. It would be them beating a team that would be 5-6, while UND had a bye. If you think they have the better overall resume, then you vote them #9 this week and I have no problem with it.

  10. Were there any surprises from the selection committee last night? Especially in the 7-10 spots? Maybe Central Arkansas jumping Richmond, but everybody had to figure that UND would be 9 and SDSU would be 10, right? So, the committee's rankings come out, like most had to have expected and all of a sudden it appears SDSU is a lock to jump UND with a win over a team that would end up being a game under 500?

    What changed between Tuesday (day) and after the updated committee selections came out? I guess I'll wait to see what the national guys have to say, but found the local reporters reactions really weird. Were they surprised SDSU was #10?

    If SDSU would jump UND with a win, wouldn't it make more sense to just put them #9 this week? Would make everything less messy. Maybe it's a how the game is played situation. If SDSU wins by 6 or less, than they'll stay behind UND. If they win big, then they'd jump. I'd really like someone that knows what's going on to break down the scenarios.

  11. New Playoff Projection from Craig Haley. Tonight is obviously more important where they are ranked, but Craig seems to be as knowledgeable as it gets (believe he was the only one who predicted that UND wouldn't make it last year).

    Playoff Projection.jpg

  12. 7 minutes ago, UNDColorado said:

    Good point. I have noticed that for some reason if Montana happens to be down, the general public seems to think the Big Sky is down. They just cannot accept that other teams might be better that year.

    Also- It is now safe to say that Montana did not play US this year.

    Montana is still a really tough team to play when they are at home. They've struggled a lot though on the road, so a lot of playing Montana is where.

  13. 13 minutes ago, Kap said:

    Do the coaches want touch backs? I am not positive but I think every NAU drive that started from a kickoff was short of the 25. I'm pretty sure Taubs can drive the kick off into the end zone. Maybe we can lay off the kicker until we know what is expected from the kicker. He might be doing exactly what the coaches want him to do even though he can kick it longer. It looks to me like he's kicking it higher and shorter than he otherwise could. 

    I'm pretty sure he can't do it consistently. If he could, he would have done it against Weber State, instead of having them return every single ball out to the 50.

    • Upvote 1
  14. 20 minutes ago, siouxfan512 said:

    Just read through this and there was almost more UND talk than NDSU. What's with McFeely crushing on UND? Not complaining, its fun to see UND get some attention overall in the region.

    Not the overall view of Bison fans, but there are a few on there who said they don't want to play us. I was actually kind of surprised by it all, but thats what makes football fun. Would love to play NDSU in the playoffs. I think that would be a great game and a fun matchup.

    The only reason McFeely is talking UND up so much, is because it drives a lot of NDSU fans crazy. McFeely is a guy that will always take the opposite side of what the majority feels. He'd say the opposite thing if he was doing this with the Herald and UND fans were asking questions.

    • Upvote 1
  15. Richmond lost today too, which was big since they were most likely #11 or #12. SDSU though I'm nervous about. They beat USD by 7 today and will play @ UNI next week. Could be enough to jump UND.

  16. 2 minutes ago, Feff said:

    It is but as of this week we were still out of the top 8. The playoff committee and the rankings have consistently not given UND much credit so far. Do I think UND should be seeded? You bet. Do I think it'll happen when the final rankings are put out? I really don't know. 

    It'll be close, Chattanooga losing today should do it if you believe this weeks FCS Committee rankings. That'd move UND up to #9 this week. Final week #8 plays #5. If Central Arkansas loses to SHSU, UND should move up 1 more and finish #8. We'll see though. 

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