UND92,96

No big surprise, but UND is picked as the pre-season NCC favorite. link.

I was unaware of her injuries. Thanks for the info.

It's good to see that what is apparently going to be a weakness this year--quality depth on the interior--should be a big strength next year. With Boese, Langen, Kimbrough and Ledger rotating inside, that's potentially as much quality depth as I can recall. I would say that players like Glynn and Draayer had better elevate their play this season or they may not get much p.t. next year. Does anybody know what the deal is with Sannes? Still injured? She was a pretty heralded recruit a couple years ago, although I know she had a very bad knee injury as a sr. in high school. I know it's still quite early, but among the recruiting class of two years ago--Jahner, Sannes, Draayer, Maffin and Werdell--only Jahner has clearly shown that she can play at a high level. I wouldn't think Roebuck would give scholarships to players from states without reciprocity very often due to the higher expense and the fact that there are so many good players in Minnesota, so you would think Maffin (from Iowa) and Werdell (from Illinois) were thought to be potential impact players.

Wow. This is quite a class Roebuck and staff have put together, needless to say. With Guinn and Langen already starters as freshmen, and with this group coming in, UND should be well-stocked for several years.

Here's the official press release regarding the signings of Blackwell and Wills: link. It sounds like both should be very good additions to the program.

It looks to me like there may be some positive signs regarding Kimbrough's decision. One, there was a recruiting article in the Des Moines paper in which Iowa division I women's programs' recruiting was discussed, and her name was not mentioned as being part of the Iowa St.'s expected five-person recruiting class. Two, there was a list of expected dI signees from the state of Minnesota in the Star-Tribune, and although there were a couple of Iowa St. commitments, she was not listed as one of them. Hopefully we get some good news in the next couple of days.

It appears we can expect LOI's from Blackwell and Wills for the men, and Kayla Baagason for the women. Still no word on Kimbrough's intentions. Any word on other potential signees?

I figured he might surface closer to home, such as Concordia-St. Paul, but I don't believe he's played anywhere since 2002. Ditto for Jamel Alkins.

You make some great points here, Bob. I would only add that I think the scheme would work even better with a little bit better running game. I wouldn't want to completely rely on the running game like UNO does, but I would like to have a back who can make some big plays now and then. Again, I mean no disrespect to Roland or even Strouth. I just think Dressler might be able to give the running game a little different dimension than what it's recently had by bringing both elusiveness and breakaway speed.

There was a post in a different thread also about Vernon not wanting to be this far from home. I can't help but wonder why he bothered to take an official visit to UND if that's the case?

They throw the ball quite well and they have an excellent receiver. When they run, they use a lot of misdirection to compensate for the fact that their o-line is on the small side. Defensively, it does appear that they are quite a bit weaker this year than they were last season. I suspect Grand Valley will try to run the ball and control the clock, and I think they will have success doing that. It would be a mistake to try cover the good receiver, Samp, one on one. He's not far below Kircus was in ability. I'm not sure they have enough offensive weapons to pick up the slack if GVSU puts their top cover corner on Samp and rolls a safety to his side on every play. I don't believe Winona will be able to run very effectively on the Grand Valley defense, so how much the Lakers can keep Samp under control will be a huge key.

I would think that had Boese scored around 20, which is probably about what she'll average this year, the final score would have looked far more respectable. She's too big a part of the offense for this young team to be able to overcome an off game on her part against a really good team.

After watching Day, Logan, Birkel and to a lesser extent Treasure, I really think UND needs to upgrade its talent level and speed at the running back position. I have nothing but respect for Roland, how hard he runs and what he's given the Sioux the last two years. But there's just no substitute for having a back who can take it 60-70 yards on any given play. We haven't had that since Phillip Moore. I think Logan showed that a very small back can be effective, even against the UND defense. That's why I'd like to see Dressler get a shot next season as the featured back. He's the same size as Logan, and while he may not be quite as fast, they're in the same ball park in that regard.

She still has an ankle injury, I believe.

It would not have been a problem. There are four high school championship games, with the 9-man and A games being on Friday. The AA and AAA games are later on Saturday, so if the Sioux had hosted, the game would have been played at about noon on Saturday with no conflicts.

Parks, Swan and Stoute all played well tonight in UND's win over Pulley. Pulley only dressed 7 players, so it was surprising to me that they were able to keep the game close. It appears that the Sioux will have a lot of offensive ability this season, but defensively they are really poor right now. I'd like to see an eight man rotation of Ryp, Lindahl, Parks, MJ, Nobles, Doyle, Swan and Stoute. Anybody know who the kid was who was apparently on a recruiting visit?

I'm pretty sure that UND would have had to get USD's permission to move the game to a day other than Saturday, and USD would have no incentive to oblige. Plus, I suspect that Dale Lennon himself would not have been in favor of moving the game to a different day.

It would appear that UNO hit the jackpot with Day kind of like UND did in basketball with Beasley. Day's juco stats were good but not spectacular. The fact that he didn't even start or get that many carries early in the season would also suggest that they didn't really know what they had until four or five games into the season.

If it wasn't for the fact that there's a home hockey series this weekend, this probably would have been a good game to play at night. I've never noticed a drop-off in hockey attendance due to deer hunting, but it has definitely affected football attendance over the years. I look at this game as huge for more than the obvious playoff implications. To potentially finish at 3-3 in the NCC and in fourth place would make this season a big failure in my estimation considering the expectations. The defense needs to put last week behind them and get back to dominating. Losing at home is not an option.

Is Wills viewed as more of a 4 or a 3? He might be a little small for the 4 at 6'6" unless he's pretty strong. He does sound like a high-quality prospect, though. Would it be safe to assume that Ryp's replacement will have to be a juco? It would seem that the odds of signing a high school big man good enough to contribute immediately are remote.

And that would support why we can move the ball against a team like Ferris St., who had pretty decent talent on defense, but not against a team like Augie, who has struggled badly in conference play this year. Every team in the NCC knows exactly what we're trying to do, and we apparently don't have enough talent right now to score points with the schemes we're currently using against teams that are familiar with us. I just don't think that having a great defense necessarily means that you have to have a conservative, predictable, low-risk offense. That kind of offense can work if you have superior talent, but if not, it's a problem.

UND offense against its four non-conference opponents--43 ppg UND offense against first five conference opponents--18.6 ppg One the one hand, perhaps the huge difference could be explained away by the contention that the conference teams are just generally better than the non-conference opponents. But could it also be that our offense has become so predictable that perhaps conference teams know exactly what to expect and are better able to defend it? Is there really any excuse for not putting up bigger point totals against lower level NCC teams like Augie and Mankato? I realize predictability does not in and of itself preclude offensive success, with UNO being a prime example of that. They're arguably even more predictable than we are, and yet they can seem to run the ball and score a lot of points year after year (except, apparently, for in the playoffs, where they never seem to win). So my question is, are our offensive problems due to a scheme that no longer works as well as perhaps it once did; is it a problem of not having enough talent or experiece on offense; or is it simply faulty execution? It seems clear to me that it's not simply a quarterback issue. Inconsistent quarterback play certainly hasn't helped matters, but the running game hasn't been all that strong, either. Being last or second-to-last in the NCC in nearly every offensive category should never happen, in my opinion.

In 2000, UND actually led the NCC in scoring offense with just under 34 per game (conference games only). This year, it appears that the offense will average under 20 per game in conference play, and will likely finish 6th in that category. With an unsettled quarterback situation, no receivers returning next year with big stats, the loss of the primary ball carrier of the past two years, and the need to replace two linemen, there will be a lot of work to do this spring to make this offense something that is a strength rather than a liability.

Although Dale Lennon has obviously done some great things as head coach, and hopefully will continue to do so for many more years, his road record against playoff caliber teams is pretty bad. In fact, I'm not sure there's been a single road win against a playoff-type team in his tenure. 1999 UND 7, SDSU 21 UND 13, NW Mo. St. 20 2000 UND 13, NDSU 16 UND 25, UNO 27 2001 no road games against a playoff caliber team 2002 UND 12, UNC 28 UND 17, UNO 20 2003 UND 24, Mesa St. 31 2004 UND 17, SCSU 21 UND 17, UNO 27 We'll generally win nearly all the home games, and usually the road games against teams we clearly should beat. But in terms of road games against teams where we're not a clear favorite or are an underdog, it's an almost guaranteed loss. I certainly don't expect to win all of these games, or even most of them, but to win none in six years isn't too good. Unfortunately, I don't think there's a team in dII where the difference between how they play at home and on the road is larger than what it is at UND. I don't attribute it to the Alerus because this problem pre-dates that by several years. I think you have to go back ten years to 1994 since we last won a really big road game, that being in the Fargodome. We've won at the Fargodome since, of course, but the 1996, 1998 and 2002 NDSU teams really weren't very strong. Until this trend is reversed, I'm not sure we'll have another deep playoff run because the odds are that in any given year, there will be at least two difficult road games. Next year, for example, we have SCSU and UNO here, but we'll have to go to Winona and USD.