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Everything posted by UND92,96

  1. I see that the ND Dept. of Health coronavirus page is now reporting serology test results. At present, the test results are approximately 3.3% positive. While I realize you can't necessarily extrapolate those numbers across the state, it is interesting to note that if accurate, that would be mean that the state is catching about 1 in 10 cases. That's in line with what many experts have speculated. Also, it would mean that the mortality rate in North Dakota would be .24 %--almost identical to what the CDC is now saying.
  2. Also, Burgum mentioned in his press conference on Tuesday that he fully expected a slight uptick in the rate of positives, due to the state doing more "targeted" testing. In other words, this isn't at all unexpected.
  3. Until we get a rapid result test that's both accurate and widely available, there's probably not much more that can be done. Has anybody read anything about the timeline for that being available?
  4. Some potentially promising news regarding the likelihood of the spread of the virus in schools: https://www.yahoo.com/news/australian-study-coronavirus-spread-15-143300550.html
  5. Just 27 new positives announced today for ND out of 2,145 tests done. One additional death.
  6. According to the following article, approximately two-thirds of ND's coronavirus-related deaths have been people in nursing homes and assisted living facilities. I hadn't seen where this info had been reported before. https://www.grandforksherald.com/newsmd/coronavirus/6484796-Gov.-Burgum-details-COVID-19-nursing-home-deaths-in-telephone-town-hall
  7. I'm afraid this is going to be an ongoing problem until such time as a rapid-result test is available, and long-term care facility employees can be tested daily. I read somewhere that 84% of Minnesota's 485 coronavirus deaths have occurred in long-term care facilities. And obviously, their lockdown has been longer and more stringent than ND's.
  8. The University of Washington model is currently predicting 38 deaths in ND from coronavirus by August. From 2014 to 2017, ND averaged roughly 150 deaths per year from flu/pneumonia. I realize this is not the same experience of those in the NY metro area and perhaps the northeast in general, but it would be interesting to see how other states compare to ND in this regard.
  9. Not sure if you're referring to reports of people in South Korea testing positive for a second time, but it appears those were likely false positives. https://www.livescience.com/coronavirus-reinfections-were-false-positives.html
  10. Current ND numbers: Ages 1-39: 660 known cases, 0 deaths. Ages 40-69: 424 known cases, 3 deaths (.7% mortality rate, although may prove to be significantly lower once antibody tests show true infection rate). Ages 70-plus: 107 known cases, 22 deaths (20.6% mortality rate).
  11. My apologies if this was discussed earlier in this thread, but the current virus numbers from Singapore show a mortality rate there of .09%. If accurate, that would be pretty amazing.
  12. How is this issue being dealt with in daycare facilities? Or are they not operating anymore? I believe they are, but admittedly I don't know that for a fact.
  13. Interesting articles on how the controversial Swedish approach to the virus is going: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-04-19/sweden-says-controversial-covid-19-strategy-is-proving-effective https://uk.news.yahoo.com/coronavirus-sweden-stockholm-herd-immunity-144733606.html
  14. A lot of people have been asking about how essential LM is/was, but Governor Burgum said in the press conference yesterday that the feds (Office of Homeland Security) consider them to be essential, and as such they would have been operating regardless of what state they were in.
  15. It appears that northeast North Dakota has fared better than nearly any other part of the country so far in terms of positive tests. Collectively, Grand Forks, Traill, Steele, Griggs, Nelson, Ramsey, Walsh, Cavalier and Pembina Counties have a population of about 120,000. There have been a total of 17 positive tests so far, and the rate of positive tests is just 1.23% (17/1318).
  16. I certainly can't vouch for its accuracy, but there was article yesterday (sorry, no link but it was re-printed in the Herald) whereby a Minnesota state health economist said there is reason to believe that the true number of infected in MN is actually 100 times higher than the number of positive tests. If true (a big "if"), the mortality rate so far in MN could be as low as .04%.
  17. Mandy Pearson from UMD seems to have done a very good job there. Might be a name to watch.
  18. Agreed, UNLESS the school board finally faces reality and changes the high school boundary line. If the east half of Grand Forks went to Central and the west half to Red River, and then eliminate or at least severely curtail the ability to attend the school outside your district, and things would even out quickly and probably permanently. And it wouldn't just be hockey that would even out. The difference in girls team sports between the schools over the past 20-plus years is pretty astounding.
  19. Sounds like UMC is also going to drop football, per another David Brown tweet.
  20. He was mentioned as a key returnee for Central in the Herald preview for local high school tennis just 10 days ago, so evidently this was a very recent development.
  21. I have no problem with this choice. Although it does make the specifics of the job listing curious. Let's hope he has a staff lined up that can recruit the twin cities better than what has been done recently.
  22. I am out of the loop when it comes to NSIC basketball. Is there a general consensus with regard to who the top few NSIC coaches are at present?
  23. I would love to see what Thorson could do recruiting in the twin cities metro. He's got the connections.
  24. A boundary which equalizes things for hockey would actually serve to equalize things for all other sports. As I've mentioned before, as long as South and the southerly portion of Schroeder middle schools are entirely in the RR district, RR has a massive advantage athletically in everything other than hockey, which is obviously a unique situation right now. Put Schroeder entirely in the Central district, and have Valley Middle School be the one where there's a split, and everything becomes evened out. Maybe now that RR is the one at a disadvantage for hockey it makes it somewhat less controversial to force a change, since both schools would potentially be benefitted in some way?
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