yzerman19

Hitler, Stalin, Mao, Whitey Bulger, Ted Bundy, Mafiaman

you are pure evil...LOL

Gov. Newsome was just on the national media signaling for extended shutdown. I receive the same data that he does, but apparently I see things differently. I see trailing indicators remaining steady but leading indicators trending down...significantly. We also just had a study come out of USC with the belief that there is higher immunity in the general population than previously believed. Newsome signaled that the rules in CA could apply through the summer into the fall. He reinforced vaccine and testing... Looks like the goal posts moved. I am fortunate to have job security through this with the ability to work from home and to be in a healthcare sector that is not hurt by this. I do feel the pain of my children missing their friends and their activities. My daughter especially misses her friends and teacher. My son is reeling in fear that the Brick Hockey Tournament he worked so hard to earn a place at will be canceled. I can't imagine if financial insecurity was added to my plate as it is for many. Everybody needs hope of normalcy returning before we all break down. Public Health is not the superordinate objective of a people or their government. It is one of a number of things- our politicians need to remember that. America is literally a month from chaos...I pray that politics does not blind policy makers.

hands down we need to do this. We could be looking at stagflation on an unprecedented level...high unemployment, high inflation, negative GDP...

Now the real danger looms...inflation...only way out of this economic disaster will be massive inflation across sectors.

Insurance isn't a gift where you spend $40/mo to get $1M. Its pooled risk. You can't get a new policy while being hospitalized for pneumonia, but you can get it after you recover.

Of course not.

I'm guessing that you couldn't buy a new policy if you had COVID, not that COVID nullified an existing policy.

I don't think anyone is being forced to go out into public. This is about when the government goes from policing activity to recommending activity. Recommendations: Elderly, immune compromised, poorly managed pre-exisiting conditions...stay at home, be smart. Think you might be sick or have been exposed...stay home, be smart. Otherwise healthy, no reason to be concerned...limit potential exposures, be smart. Sidenote- we are DEFINITIVELY seeing a decline in COVID leading indicators in CA...knock on wood. We've seen leading indicators drop now for the third week.

I can only speak to CA. We have ramped up telemedicine to try and deliver more care that way. There isn't a huge difference in reimbursement there vs E & M visits in person, but it is less. In CA, we still have significant capitation in place, so for those groups, they are not feeling any ding. The FFS specialty practices that rely on procedures are getting crushed, but we believe that demand is just pent up and once COVID lifts, there will be an explosion of utilization in things like ortho and cardiology.

I have 5/1, 5/15, and 6/1 as the 3 possible re-entry dates for some major projects at work. Even if its 6/1, that 3 months before school starts again...that's enough of a runway.

I think in my case, alcohol is saving lives!!!

multiplying by 2 on a trailing indicator...not the right approach...

I still stand by deaths as a bad measure in terms of this virus. It is a lagging indicator. Also, unlike the historical measure of pandemics (which kill indiscriminately and kill kids), it is killing the old and sick at a highly disproportionate rate. This group is especially vulnerable to any pathogen. I see a nobel laureate physician from HIV research is now calling it man-made. That in an effort to find a cure for HIV, the bug was engineered and accidentally got out of the Wuhan biolab. This was mocked in the beginning and discounted as fake news. Now its getting attention again from a non-partisan researcher. This theory would also lend to the rationale behind all of the lockdowns...if there was intel that this thing was man-made, we had to go to extremes, because we didn't know the heck it would do...a group of Indian researchers also determined it was man-made and they were blacklisted until they renegged...we might never know the truth.

Remember when you’re a hammer, everything looks like a nail. These epidemiologists have literally been studying this their whole life and are “geeked” to play with their toy models.

His linemates have 4 Stanley cup rings... But yeah, Dunc was an excellent player in his own right

Have you read about the wonderful results of the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation polio vaccines in Africa? I’ll not allow any vaccine created or pushed by them in the bodies of anyone I care about. It’s disgusting what happened...and the media have never talked about it...paralysis, law suits, vaccine strain of Polio afflicting tens of thousands.

Duncan had an office like Ovi. Goalies knew he was setting up at the circle and they knew he was going to shoot short-side upper. They still couldn't stop it. That DOT line had Mr. Electric in Osh, Mr. I am always in the right spot and end up with the puck Toewser, and Mr. Wrister in Dunc.

This is an interesting read: https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/covid-19-deaths-compared-with-swine-flu/

2017 we had the CDC reported death count from flu at 80,000... We're at 34,000 covid deaths... One side will say: Think of how bad it would've been if we didn't shut everything down. Other side will say: What a joke, this really was the flu So, no matter the outcome at this point nothing is decided...

4330 NHL games in that lineup...

As long as it isnt a DNA editor vaccine...

Remdesivir is the one...it’s been considered for at least a month.

Younger, less likelihood of other conditions, less likely to experience the full brunt of the virus, better likelihood of quick 100% recovery. Not sure where the long-lasting effects comment comes from. This hasn't been around long enough to know that.

1. The demand for non-covid cases will be pent up. Expect a near capacity surge after the crisis lifts. 2. Much of “insured” are actually self-funded, so the insurance company isn’t risk-bearing, the employer is. 3. If at the end of the year on the fully-insured land at a loss ratio less than 85, the insurers will need to true that up per the ACA. end of the day, you won’t see a check, but you might see some premium relief next year.