RedFrog
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Posts posted by RedFrog
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17 minutes ago, Godsmack said:
So does a tie do anything for either Omaha or CC tonight, Pairwise speaking?
CC has a really funky comparison grid. They are winning their comparison with us (4 H2H wins will do that), but they are losing comparisons to 3 teams below them in Omaha, Arizona State and Augustana. They had a chance to flip the Augustana with a good showing against UNO (common opponent). Now they have DU left as common opponents to all 3, and I'm not sure a clean sweep of DU will flip those.
I'm not sure how they factor the winning percentage in those. ASU has a COp record of 3-3-1 with a .5625 rating where CC is 4-4-1 and at .3125.
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On 2/2/2024 at 12:52 PM, RedFrog said:
Made a Google Sheet. Very basic and will expand upon it as things narrow down. Still too many variables right now.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Cqw98NtmwDaV1JzRNUu1eyiGTtDZXmN4hjt3Mk0TIfA/edit?usp=sharing
Need 1 point from WMU next weekend to lock up home ice ... and check a box!
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Need to mention that I thought the pre- and early game atmosphere last night was one of the better fan efforts of the year. I did miss the Denver series, so I can't compare to that weekend.
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On 2/2/2024 at 12:52 PM, RedFrog said:
Made a Google Sheet. Very basic and will expand upon it as things narrow down. Still too many variables right now.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Cqw98NtmwDaV1JzRNUu1eyiGTtDZXmN4hjt3Mk0TIfA/edit?usp=sharing
Nice to be able to update this and reduce the magic numbers. 3 for home ice. We also eliminated Duluth from Penrose contention tonight.
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7 hours ago, bcblues said:
Well, homestretch. Time to put up or shut up. We need some stability and good solid back-to-basics hockey.
1) Persson need to bring his A game. Cut down on the deflections, and distribute the puck wisely.
2) We REALLY need to put an end to the give-away-to-the-opponent passes in out D-zone. Several of our losses this year can be attributed to this.
3) Our scorers need to score.
4) And for Christ sake, don't take stupid penalties!
1) Persson played well tonight ... a couple of great saves in the third period, but not much challenge otherwise.
2) Giveaways in the D zone were there for the taking tonight, Duluth just wasn't pressuring. It seemed to clean up the second half of the game, but it was still a problem.
3) Scorers scored, Gaber, Blake, Berg (x2), Perron, and McLaughlin. Now it's time to get Schmaltzy his first of the year.
4) Jamernick's penalty was of the stupid variety, otherwise I thought the boys played pretty disciplined. I am getting tired of seeing Ludvig get bumped constantly and wouldn't mind someone taking a roughing to send a message. Was good to see some of that when the boys took exception to the scrum with Blake in the third.
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Schmaltz .... yup, I am sure.
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If only winning National Championships was easy.
Think of the team Michigan had a couple of years ago with all the first round talent, hell, look at them this year with the talent they have and they are currently on the wrong side of the bubble. The last championship Michigan won was in 1998. They must be an also-ran.
The parity in college hockey has and continues to increase making it significantly more difficult to make that final 4 game run.
There is no reason to not have expectations that this years' team has the ability to compete for a national championship. Those who think two bad weekends against CC during the regular season, or the season ending results of the last 7 years somehow make that impossible are just fear mongering.
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On 2/3/2024 at 10:08 AM, jk said:
Talking about winning the league and going far in the national tournament this early feels jinxy to me, but ... I do appreciate the nice little spreadsheet.
Starting to think you are right ...
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11 minutes ago, brianvf said:Tonight's game will tell a lot about this team.
Was just thinking the same thing. Will this team learn that they will run into this style of play numerous times leading into and throughout the playoffs and make the necessary adjustments both strategically (coaching) and in level of effort/quality of play (players), or will they be satisfied and chalk it up to CC just having our number this year?
Put the black jerseys away for tonight, bring out the greens and play the Sioux Hockey you are capable of.
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Any viewing options for the EDC games today?
Edit: Found it
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48 minutes ago, Goon said:
I love this spread sheet. Great work from @RedFrog
Gotta give a stick tap to @The Sicatoka for some really good recommendations and insight.
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What is up with the CCHA this year? Mankato is their highest Pairwise team at 29 and the AHA has two teams higher (RIT 22 and Holy Cross 27). I don't have the inter-conference records but the CCHA must have been blasted this year.
Another note is on CC. They have a couple of comparisons they are losing to Augustana and Arizona State that will take a sweep of DU at the end of the year to flip. Those two comparisons could prove very costly to their NCAA aspirations.
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Thinking of the upcoming series at CC and think we are going to need to bring our best. CC is playing well and is on the wrong side of the bubble. This weekend should be a playoff style of game and I'm eager to see how the boys come out of the bye week.
Have to admit I miss Johannes in the lineup, even though everyone who has stepped in has played well. I feel he is a heart-and-soul type of player for this team.- 7
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17 minutes ago, Sodbuster said:
I hate these no UND hockey weekends in mid winter.
The final weekend without until the end of March ... use it to rest up for the stretch run and post-season!
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7 hours ago, siouxforce19 said:
No. In the first year of the NCHC, when St Cloud won it, they were not a 1 seed. They ended up losing in the regional final to Minnesota, who was the 1 seed in that regional.
Thank you!
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8 hours ago, The Sicatoka said:
"Games better" ... simplistic analysis, but talking games not points (because that gets complicated fast):
- UND up 7 pts on SCSU; SCSU has to be three games better down the stretch.
- Up 10-11 on CC, DU; those have to be four games better.
- Up 12 on WMU; they'd need to be four games better (and that would likely mean they'd have H2H tiebreaker).
- Up 16-17 on UNO, UMD; that's six games better.
With everyone with eight games left say UND goes just 4-4, CC or DU has to go 8-0 (four better) to pass; SCSU? 7-1.
If UND goes 6-2 it's over; SCSU can't be "three better" (9 and negative 1).
Spot on! I couldn't quite figure out how to easily put that and you nailed it.
I continue to update the spreadsheet recently adding the upcoming opponents. If there is anything that you would like me to add or have a suggestion, please fire away!
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Cqw98NtmwDaV1JzRNUu1eyiGTtDZXmN4hjt3Mk0TIfA/edit?usp=sharing
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Has each Penrose cup champ been a 1 seed in the NCAA tournament?
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1 minute ago, fightingsioux4life said:
Come on, do you really think our comments mean anything?
Butterfly effect.
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A comment in another thread got me thinking about when is the right time for this team to have another regulation loss? It has to happen, right?
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2 hours ago, jk said:
Talking about winning the league and going far in the national tournament this early feels jinxy to me, but ... I do appreciate the nice little spreadsheet.
I'm just as superstitious, but I have found that this year's team is occupying more of my thoughts than normal and need a way to productively use that energy.
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20 hours ago, RedFrog said:
Made a Google Sheet. Very basic and will expand upon it as things narrow down. Still too many variables right now.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Cqw98NtmwDaV1JzRNUu1eyiGTtDZXmN4hjt3Mk0TIfA/edit?usp=sharing
Box #1 checked - Can not finish last in the conference.
Home ice magic # is now 6.
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Made a Google Sheet. Very basic and will expand upon it as things narrow down. Still too many variables right now.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Cqw98NtmwDaV1JzRNUu1eyiGTtDZXmN4hjt3Mk0TIfA/edit?usp=sharing
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Duluth @ UND (Saturday night)
in Men's Hockey
Posted
Any word on why Albrecht took Perron's spot on Berg's line in the 3rd? It was likely after we took the lead and so maybe it was for defensive purposes?