Jump to content
SiouxSports.com Forum

CarpeRemote

Members
  • Content Count

    261
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    1

Posts posted by CarpeRemote


  1. On 8/14/2020 at 4:05 PM, UNDlaw80 said:

     

     

    I understand the politics behind the right-wing's push to use current social unrest to position themselves as the 'law and order' party; espousing that crime and violence will prevail if liberals take office.    

    But you do realize 8 of the top 10 most dangerous states (murder and violent crime rate) are staunch conservative ones.  Right?     

    https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2020/01/13/most-dangerous-states-in-america-violent-crime-murder-rate/40968963/

     

    Spending about the same amount of time researching as you did, and having personal experience in several of those states; I’d guess 80-90% of the referred-to violent criminals in those areas vote Democrat or have never voted. 


  2. On 8/13/2020 at 3:16 PM, jdub27 said:
    On 8/13/2020 at 12:57 AM, CarpeRemote said:

    Both 401s and IRAs are deferred, but in 2019 congress passed legislation to collect significantly more taxes from your inherited IRA by eliminating the stretch-rule.

    So this is something that Trump signed into law and was approved by a Republican led house then correct? 

    Crazy how both sides come off as a dumpster fire.

    Yes.
    To be fair, iirc it was attached to the emergency  budget bill the house sent to the senate to keep the government funded through December . The senate refused to pass the original Secure Act as written but when it was attached to the emergency budget it passed and was signed. 
     

    To your point, the original opposition wasn’t to these specific aspects, but rather to the Senate asking for 529 money to be applicable to home schooling, which the house opposed, supposedly under pressure from the teacher lobby. 


  3. 28 minutes ago, AlphaMikeFoxtrot said:

     

    Tax your inheritance? I doubt you have anywhere near the amount worth taxing coming to you.

     

    Tax your 401k? Do you mean IRA? 401k is tax-deferred. 

     

    Sweet post bro.

    Biden’s plan is to eliminate step-up basis on inheritance.
     

    It will effect everyone with non-qualified stock. Dad buys 1000 shares of Tesla in 2012, he dies, you pay taxes on over $1,000,000. With his proposal of treating capital gains as income, for some people you could be paying $380,000 federal taxes plus 3-7% state taxes on. At this point it’s unclear whether the death or the sale would be the tax trigger event. 
    Same applies to your huge gain on Nvidia, Apple etc. 
     

    Both 401s and IRAs are deferred, but in 2019 congress passed legislation to collect significantly more taxes from your inherited IRA by eliminating the stretch-rule.

    Prior, your dad dies, leaves 500k in the Ira. You are 45 so you get to stretch RMD taxable withdrawals over your lifetime based on your age, saving a ton in taxes. Now we must liquidate the IRA (which is often the product of the decedent’s 401k)  and pay all the taxes in 10 years. 

    • Upvote 1

  4. 4 hours ago, TheFlop said:

    More evidence that herd immunity is the answer....and Fauci basically admits it.  The ironic thing is that those that have done best with Covid....are those with an immune system that has grown strong by fighting off similar viruses.  With all of this social distancing/quarantining going on people don't have the chance to catch the more minor viruses......that would help strengthen their immune system.....and have them ready to fight off more severe viruses when they pop up.  

    https://www.ledger-enquirer.com/news/coronavirus/article244852012.html

    The article explains boosted immune response to the new c-19 due to a lifetime of exposures to common corona viruses (229E etc)

    I assume that’s your point since it’s a form of herd immunity. In the current situation, herd immunity is generally used in terms of exposure to only c-19

    • Upvote 4

  5. 3 hours ago, mikejm said:

    Name an assumption.

    You realize how easy it is to send in the ballot of every family member in your household, your old mom’s house, your grandparents in the nursing home, and any family member who doesn’t care? I could literally vote three times in this election. 
     

    Roughly knowing a family member’s signature is easy, and if it wasn’t I guarantee the election board isn’t going to toss it unless it’s an X. 

    That being said, it’s all about which base is most motivated to “get out the vote”


  6. 2 hours ago, UND1983 said:

    I see Birx and Fauci are now suggesting goggles and/or face shields.  No I am not joking.

    Let’s be fair. In the broader context, he answered a question truthfully. He didn’t bring it up. 
     

    When asked if we could get to the point they would be recommended.  

    "It might, if you really want perfect protection of the mucosal surfaces." 

    "You have mucosa in the nose, mucosa in the mouth, but you also have mucosa in the eye," he continued. "Theoretically, you should protect all the mucosal surfaces.”

     

    He noted that goggles and eye or face shields are "not universally recommended".. "but if you really want to be complete, you should probably use it if you can."


  7. 10 minutes ago, BarnWinterSportsEngelstad said:

    Louie Gohmert wearing a suit and tie: Rep. Louie Gohmert, R-Texas, questions Attorney General William Barr during a House Judiciary Committee hearing on the oversight of the Department of Justice on Capitol Hill, Tuesday, July 28, 2020 in Washington. (Chip Somodevilla/Pool via AP)

    Rep. Louie Gohmert, a Texas Republican who has frequently refused to wear a mask, has tested positive for coronavirus.

    "I can't help but wonder if by keeping a mask on and keeping it in place, that if I might have put some germs or some of the virus onto the mask and breathed it in," Gohmert said. He added that he has been wearing a mask more during the past two weeks than he has in the past three or four months.

    "I can't help but think that if I hadn't been wearing a mask so much in the last 10 days or so, I really wonder if I would have gotten it," Gohmert added. "You know, moving the mask around, getting it just right, we're bound to put some virus on the mask that I sucked in.

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/louie-gohmert-whos-refused-to-wear-a-mask-tests-positive-for-covid-19/ar-BB17ku0w?ocid=msedgdhp

    image.png

    “Doc, I catch Covid when I shake hands then fiddle with my mask”

    Doc, “Don’t do that” 


  8. 1 hour ago, Hayduke1 said:

    Trump is bats#$t crazy.  He retweeted a bats#$t crazy idea from a group that includes a "doctor" with a supposed cure for Covid-19.  You guessed it, hydroxychloroquin. Or something like that. 

    https://news.yahoo.com/trump-shares-tweet-covid-misinformation-deleted-video-fauci-masks-125845165.html

    One of the proponents is Dr. Stella Immanuel.  Here is more on her:

    "Immanuel is also a minister, with sermons posted to YouTube. The description of one upload reads, “How long are we going to allow the gay agenda, secular humanism, Illuminati and the demonic New World Order to destroy our homes, families and the social fiber of America.” Immanuel has also claimed that some medical issues are caused by dream sex with demons and that alien DNA is currently being used in some medical treatments."

     

    I'm pretty sure the cultists will find some way to try to justify this.  They are such crazy loyalists 

    LOL

    Six degrees of Kevin Bacon. I believe in you; you can do better. 


  9. 5 minutes ago, Bison06 said:

    I think that is a fair question for Walz. Why was masking and socially distancing not the plan from the get go?
    Lockdown and crippling the economy while ruining countless lives seemed like a better plan?

    Because he isn’t Zoltan? 


  10. 1 hour ago, streetsahead said:

    I think the disconnect comes from the fact that if you accept the premise that the masks are not to protect you but to protect everyone else from your respiratory droplets, etc then letting people decide for themselves undermines the whole idea. And I understand that you may not accept that premise and there has been lots of contradictory information presented regarding the efficacy of masks and why they should or shouldn't be used. I'm just saying I think that's the reason maskers are so upset with anti-maskers and vice-versa (for lack of better terms). There's just a fundamental disconnect.

    Good way of putting it. 


  11. 15 minutes ago, petey23 said:

    As the media has switched the narrative from number of deaths to number of positive cases they count on very few people asking why.

    I realize that number of deaths lag from the number of cases but you will never see it noted that the death rate over the last month seems to have shrunk by about 300% from .05 to .017. 

    If you look at the numbers based on positive cases and number of deaths from the start up until a month ago about 50,000 more deaths would have been expected between June 22 and today if the rate had held. 

     

    True,
    I guess it matters what media someone uses. I see that pointed out repeatedly.

    It’s easy to see that the increased testing is on healthier people, therefore lower death rate. We know with therapeutics we are losing a lower % of the at-risk.
     

    But there two sets of stats, the at-risk, and everyone else. Despite better therapeutics a relatively large % of “at-risk” get sick as hell, so  they aren’t eating out or going to sporting events, and we shouldn’t reasonably expect differently. 
     

     For the most part,  at-risk folks are retirees with money and time, and the economy be broken without them.  It is what it is and it won’t change until a vaccine. 
     


  12. 54 minutes ago, Bison06 said:

    A couple ways, if the person reporting on it has a specific way of viewing it.

    First way would be by reporting absolute numbers, which is what most papers are doing. 100 tests were done, we found one positive. Media reports we found one positive. 1000 tests were done we found 10 positives. Media reports we have 10x as many positive cases now than we did before. Percentage wise, it’s the same.

    If, as has been suggested, we are testing people multiple times and they come back positive multiple times and each time they are counted as positive. Then that’s obvious how that inflates the data. 
     

    Hospitalizations and deaths are really the only stat I care to see and even deaths are under major scrutiny in my book as they’ve admitted to not distinguishing between people who died with or people who died because of covid. 

     

    From a decision making standpoint looking backward at deaths doesn’t really effect the math used for decision making. What matters is how many new positives we are getting today vs yesterday. 
     

    I see your point with flaws in counting a positive twice inflates overall infections. But when this happens, pick any % of double dipping, the rate of transmission still doesn’t change appreciably as long as the error rate stays roughly the same. Modeling with large numbers will count those errors as noise, which it probably is in larger states. (Theoretically, a moderate non recurring double dip in a low population state could skew Rt for a few days but would push it the opposite direction a few days later)  

    Not perfection but they are getting pretty good at considering what is important to interpret and how to do the math. 
     

    Where we could/will see the “number of tests” skewing Rt data is if we start asking very large groups of asymptomatic people to test in a short period. Such as several universities testing entire student bodies in September. 


  13. 1 minute ago, Bison06 said:

    Even if it isn’t the sole reason, what percentage of inflation are you ok with making significant decisions off of?

    We are making massively impactful decisions off of this data and they have basically admitted the data is inflated. 

    How is that ok?

    Too many variables at this point. Lack of kits, slowdown at some labs, most exposed don’t get tested at all because they already know the answer, or asymptomatic people who feel fine get tested anyway etc. 

    It’s an algebraic equation with so many variables they are forced to go off large numbers. Every input is debatable. It’s clearly not perfect. Decision makers watch rate of transmission and hospitalizations in zones.
     

    https://rt.live 

     

    • Upvote 1

  14. 5 hours ago, TheFlop said:

    More evidence that there is strong likelihood that it is aerosol which would make wearing cloth masks the equivalent of trying to keep mosquitos away from you by wearing a fishing net on your head. 

    https://news.yahoo.com/scientists-report-airborne-coronavirus-probably-infectious-090340015.html

    That’s what you took away from this?

    It says the virus can exist on droplets under 5 microns.
     

    Masks, cloth or N95s reduce incremental exposure. For most people the less you breathe in, the less sick you get. 
     

    If one interpreted this as ‘cloth masks are useless’ then you would also interpret it as N95s are useless. 
     

    Not trying to change your mind Because I won’t, but it needed pointed out. 

    • Upvote 1

  15. 3 hours ago, Oxbow6 said:

    ND... 82/3739/1. 2.2%. Active cases down too.

    Oxbow, You like the stats.
    You are probably watching Rt already but here’s the link. Dr Scott Gottlieb (former head of FDA) has consistently been the most reliable source throughout imo. He says Rate of Transmission plus hospitalizations are the two most important stats state and local governments should use to make decisions, rather than actual positives or % positives.
     

    He thinks for the most part schools should open, and says the economy should open, but pause, not revert, in hot spots with very high Rt or high hospital usage. 
     

    Some of the big population states have moved to green or are almost green. The highest red states tend to have lower populations so despite the massive numbers it can be seen as glass half full.

     

    https://rt.live

    • Upvote 1

  16. 1 hour ago, UNDlaw80 said:

     

    Sadly the issue of masks has become a flash-point for a culture war; albeit one where the Right is slowly aquiescing to reason.   This was illustrated perfectly when Mitch McConnell started advocating for masks and needed to tell his constituency “We must have no stigma, none,”  

    Agree some people have taken immovable positions due to cultural cognition, there is some right/left component amongst hard cores, but the media loves elevating a political fights.  

    I don’t see the media’s version from my own  boots-on-the-ground standpoint  

    Some people just think it’s sensible to wear masks, including 6 family members who have never voted for a democrat. I also have 3 family members who’ve never voted for a republican who refuse to wear masks except when required. 

    Then there are those making it political which is a much smaller group than advertised..imho 

     


  17. 31 minutes ago, Oxbow6 said:

    Hmmmmmmm.....interesting. It has been reiterated repeatedly here not wearing masks everywhere in public kills people. Just looking for advice from the mask warriors.

    If a private property owner doesn’t require masks, people who dislike masks should shop there. Anyone that jaws at them are out of line. 
     

    People wanting an extra level of protection should go elsewhere but shouldn’t catch guff from anyone no matter where they are. 

    • Upvote 2

  18. 5 minutes ago, Oxbow6 said:

    Went to a local grocery store early this morning (with a mask on).......half the employees not wearing masks. Store policy doesn't mandate masks at this point. In the future what should be my verbal and/or physical response to those "buffoons"? 

    If you are in a store that doesn’t require masks why would you care? 


  19. 5 minutes ago, Bison06 said:

    Lies have consequences. If their ultimate goal was to earn the nation’s trust when they roll out recommendations, beginning with a lie is the opposite of what should have been done.

    Agree 100%. The moment the SG made the statements it felt like PT Barnum was in charge. The reactions from my friends in the healthcare community were virtual horrified laughs out loud 


  20. 11 hours ago, Hayduke1 said:

    Gotta speak the truth and repeat.  Cuz, well, true medical professionals know that advocating face mask usage for all is the right thing to do. 

    If they do not advocate their usage, they shouldn't be considered professionals and should probably become pizza delivery drivers.  Although they'd still have to wear a mask. 

    Agree with your mask position, but due to your ridiculous lack of civility, respect, and social skills I’ve become a Great White groupie and volunteering at nursing homes. 

    • Upvote 2
×
×
  • Create New...