U.S. falls to Russia, needs to beat Swiss (incorrect)

[krangodance]

you can read the story here:

http://www.areavoices.com/undhockey/?blog=50529

this is not true. if the u.s. loses to switzerland, then there will be at least a three way tie between the u.s., switzerland, and latvia. i say at least because if france can find a way to upset sweden, then sweden would be involved in that tie as well, making it a four way tie.

in either case, there would be a round-robin of wins, which would mean goal differential would be used as the tie-breaker. considering the u.s. currently has a gd of +2 and the swiss have a gd of -5, they would have to beat us by at least seven goals before they'd have a chance of making it to the quarter-finals.

more than likely, the four teams from our group who advance will be russia, sweden, u.s.a., and latvia. in fact, if the u.s. beats the swiss and sweden does find a way to actually lose to lowly france, then the u.s. would finish 2nd in the group.

[krangodance]

sweden won.

as long as the u.s. either wins or loses by six goals or less, we're in the quarterfinals.

[krangodance]

sweden won.

as long as the u.s. either wins or loses by six goals or less, we're in the quarterfinals.

my bad. i didn't consider that our gd would go down as their's goes up.

we currently have a gd of +2, latvia is +1 and the swiss are -5. based on that, here's where the u.s. finishes depending on what happens:

win: 3rd place

lose by 1: 3rd

lose by 2: 4th

lose by 3: 4th

lose by 4 or more: 5th

basically, we have to either win or lose by three or less to make the quarterfinals.

i know, i'm having an arguement with myself here.